| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Inab 1y 25 | G A Foot — 19% R294 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 43 (4) | 52 (2) | 67 (1) | 56 (4) | 41 (5) | 70 (1) | 45 (3) | 47 (5) | 67 (2) | 42 (4) | 17 | 9 | - | 9 | 50 | 37 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 2 | ▶ Violets Girlb 2yN/R 24 | M R Sillars — 10% R10 W1 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 43 | 20 (4) | 24 (5) | 43 (5) | 33 (5) | 55 (1) | 20 (4) | 92 (5) | 27 (1) | 22 (2) | - | 30 | 41 | - | - | 42 | 40 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Brynoffa Beeb 3y 15 | S R Miller — 14% R216 W30 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 51 (5) | 44 (5) | 40 (6) | 52 (4) | 58 (3) | 64 (2) | 63 (2) | 54 (4) | 72 (1) | 19 (5) | 30 | 6 | 30 | 13 | 45 | 35 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Abbeyside Endab 2y 15 | S G Tighe — 39% R62 W24 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 51 (5) | 77 (2) | 85 (1) | 71 (2) | 59 (3) | 77 (1) | 24 (5) | 31 (1) | 61 (3) | 53 (4) | 31 | 27 | - | 31 | 36 | 34 | 4 | 15/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Mall Could Dod 3yN/R 18 | K A Kennedy — 24% R95 W23 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 54 | 71 (2) | 72 (2) | 50 (5) | 67 (4) | 80 (1) | 42 (6) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 52 (4) | 53 (2) | 32 | 37 | 46 | 32 | 54 | 47 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mid Tipp Frankyd 3y 6 | C M Dibb — 12% R309 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 63 (2) | 67 (2) | 47 (4) | 55 (4) | 54 (3) | 71 (1) | 46 (4) | 70 (1) | 56 (3) | 46 (5) | 30 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 36 | 2 | 5/1 | |
Mall Could Do has the best speed in the field at 61 — nearly 10 points clear of the closest challenger — and that's the dominant metric at A6 where SpeedR1 wins 30.2% and SpeedR2 wins 26.7%. Combined speed rates of 57% for the top 2 fastest dogs tells you speed decides this grade. Her avgP of 54 is the best in the field, and form reads 52→53→29→23→47 — the 29 and 23 look like troubled runs (the 28.46s time confirms a very slow run). At her best, she's a 52-53 performer stepping down from A5 where she ran 4th (26.54s) and 2nd at A6 (27.39s). The A6 2nd confirms she handles this grade. T5 at 23.4% from 64 runs is the second-best structural draw — a strong position that's 40% above expected rate. As an All-Rounder (EP 51, CS 49, pace consistency 79), she'll sit just behind T1's front-running pace and be well-positioned to pounce when the Fader weakens. Suitability is the best in the field: track 37, distance 32, trap 32, class 46 — that class suit 46 confirms she handles A5-A6 level. Trainer Kennedy at 24% is moderate.
DANGER: T1 at 33.3% is impossible to ignore — one in three races from this draw. EP 72 gives her the pace to exploit it. But low suitability (Tk9, D9) and erratic form (13-67 range) cap confidence. She could wire the field or fade to nothing.
Zero distance suitability and wildly inconsistent form (19-91 range). The T2 structural advantage is real but the individual profile is too unreliable.
Dead trap + Closer + poor suitability + 0% trainer = the worst combination of factors in this race. Can be confidently opposed.
Elite trainer but lowest form in the field at a grade where ratings predict outcomes. The mismatch between trainer quality and dog quality makes this one to avoid.
Good draw and best bend but stepping up from A7 with a 10-point avgP gap to the pick. Place contender but outclassed on the key metrics.
NORMAL SEPARATION: R1 32.2% vs R3 14.5% = 17.7pp. Ratings work at A6. T1 massively dominant at 33.3%. SpeedR1 wins 30.2% and SpeedR2 wins 26.7% — speed is very predictive.
T1:33.3% T2:21.7% T3:11.9% T4:16.1% T5:23.4% T6:22.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tommys Ina | 72 | 0 | Fader |
2Violets Girl | 45 | 63 | Closer |
3Brynoffa Bee | 49 | 57 | Closer |
4Abbeyside Enda | 47 | 51 | All-Rounder |
5Mall Could Do | 51 | 49 | All-Rounder |
6Mid Tipp Franky | 53 | 49 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.