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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Please Nancyb 2y 14 | S R Miller — 14% R220 W31 P100 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 41 | 61 (4) | 92 (1) | 52 (4) | 56 (4) | 90 (1) | 72 (2) | 61 (5) | 54 (4) | 51 (5) | 48 (5) | 21 | 25 | - | 24 | 66 | 51 | 6 | 14/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Wonderful Dolceb 3y 63 | G A Foot — 19% R298 W58 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 44 | 42 (5) | 59 (5) | 47 (5) | 99 (2) | 61 (5) | 84 (4) | 72 (3) | 100 (1) | 83 (2) | 93 (1) | 36 | 50 | 26 | 32 | 82 | 67 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Meenagh Miland 3y 5 | J Watson — 29% R21 W6 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 48 | 86 (2) | 60 (6) | 74 (2) | 72 (2) | 66 (5) | 40 (3) | 90 (1) | 77 (2) | 38 (3) | 64 (5) | 77 | 63 | 61 | 74 | 63 | 66 | 1 | 10/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Wheatsheaf Starb 3y 25 | S G Tighe — 38% R64 W24 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 54 | 55 (6) | 84 (2) | 66 (4) | 81 (2) | 96 (1) | 94 (1) | 69 (3) | 77 (2) | 30 (4) | 67 (3) | 48 | 49 | 46 | 62 | 71 | 65 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Jaydee Babyd 2y 18 | D Wilkinson — 28% R40 W11 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 60 | 95 (1) | 87 (2) | 95 (1) | 90 (1) | 50 (6) | 70 (3) | 89 (1) | 72 (2) | 89 (1) | 70 (3) | 19 | 44 | 31 | 43 | 74 | 60 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Santas Bugattid 2y 6 | W Sheldon — 31% R26 W8 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 52 | 68 (3) | 77 (3) | 95 (1) | 68 (4) | 78 (3) | 93 (1) | 54 (6) | 90 (1) | 67 (2) | 88 (1) | 14 | 37 | 13 | 37 | 69 | 55 | 5 | 5/1 | |
Meenagh Milan draws the massively DOMINANT T3 at 35.9% from 39 runs — the single strongest structural signal on the entire Star Pelaw card tonight. More than one in three T3 dogs wins at A2 435m regardless of individual ability. Her individual profile reinforces the structural advantage rather than conflicting with it: she's a Fader (EP 68, CS 0) with the best speed in the field at 59, which is perfect for a tight track where you need to get to the bend first and hold from the inside-ish draw. At Star Pelaw where 46% of races are won all the way, a Fader from T3 with EP 68 is a proven winning combination. Form is erratic: 39→90→77→38→63 — the 90 and 77 show an elite ceiling, the 39 and 38 show she can produce poor runs. But the recent CD form tells the story: 1st at A2 (26.69s) and 2nd at A2 (26.08s) — she's won and placed at this exact level. That 26.08s time is exceptional for A2 435m. Suitability is the best in the field across every dimension: track 63, distance 74, trap 77, class 61 — elite numbers confirming she thrives at Star Pelaw 435m from inside-ish draws at A2 grade. Trainer J Watson at 45% is strong-tier — the second-best trainer signal on the card. The combination of dominant trap (35.9%) + elite suitability (Tk63, D74, Tp77, Cl61) + strong trainer (45%) + CD winning form + best speed (59) is the most comprehensive convergence on the entire card.
DANGER: Best consistent form in the field (five straight 69+) and the only Front Runner, but T5 at 8.8% is a massive structural barrier. She's the most talented dog but the draw may prevent her from showing it. If she overcomes the trap disadvantage, she wins easily — hence the danger tag.
Closer from the dead T1 with 0% trainer. Has class (87 peak) but 5th and 6th in recent A2 runs shows she can't convert it from this draw. Unlikely to feature.
Best avgP (82) but a Closer from the dead T2 at 435m. The high rating comes from staying races where her style works — at this distance from this draw, the structural barriers are too severe.
Elite trainer and good suitability but the form has fallen off a cliff — 30 and 18 in the last two runs after previous 93s. Too much decline to be competitive despite Tighe's involvement.
Has class (88 peak, A2 2nd) but T6 DEAD at 10.8% with trap suit 14 creates a structural+individual double barrier. Needs a lot to go right from the worst available position.
NORMAL SEPARATION but unusual R2>R1 pattern (25.0% vs 20.0%). T3 at 35.9% is the dominant factor. Three dead traps (T1, T5, T6). SpeedR2 (19.1%) beats SpeedR1 (15.9%) — speed alone doesn't predict at A2.
T1:10.5% T2:11.5% T3:35.9% T4:14.3% T5:8.8% T6:10.8%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Please Nancy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Wonderful Dolce | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Meenagh Milan | 68 | 0 | Fader |
4Wheatsheaf Star | 53 | 48 | All-Rounder |
5Jaydee Baby | 57 | 46 | Front Runner |
6Santas Bugatti | 47 | 52 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.