| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Notcomingbackb 2y 5 | J M Walton — 20% R244 W49 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 36 | 40 (4) | 47 (4) | 56 (1) | 41 (4) | 47 (3) | 46 (4) | 41 (4) | 36 (6) | - | - | 27 | 46 | - | 37 | 36 | 36 | 5 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Aero Euphoriab 1y 14 | R Taberner — 20% R722 W142 P418 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 55 (4) | 37 (5) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 54 (3) | 48 (5) | 54 (3) | 65 (1) | 60 (1) | 52 (2) | 47 | 49 | 23 | 45 | 54 | 52 | 3 | 6/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Fabricb 2y 7 | A K Jenkins — 16% R192 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 57 | 56 (3) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 47 (4) | 54 (2) | 46 (4) | 62 (1) | 31 (6) | 46 (4) | 48 (3) | 43 | 47 | - | 47 | 47 | 47 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Bangon Erikab 2y 9 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R609 W113 P343 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 61 | 21 (6) | 60 (2) | 60 (2) | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 58 (1) | 40 (5) | 48 (3) | 53 (2) | 50 (2) | 22 | 34 | 5 | 33 | 51 | 44 | 1 | 11/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Links Baybb 2y 15 | G A Griffiths — 20% R163 W32 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 63 (2) | 52 (4) | 57 (3) | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 45 (5) | 41 (6) | 63 (1) | 51 (4) | 45 (5) | 34 | 41 | 14 | 37 | 51 | 46 | 2 | 7/2 | |
Bangon Erika steps up from A7/A8 to A6 on the back of three progressive wins: A8 T4 P1 (29.02), A7 T5 P2 (28.96), A7 T4 P1 (29.17). That 28.96 from A7 is a particularly strong time that suggests she can compete at A6. Performance form reads 62→52→58→40→48 which looks modest, but the recent actual results tell a different story — she's been winning and placing despite moderate perf ratings, which suggests the closing speed ratio and pace profile are producing better outcomes than the numbers predict. EP 59 is the best in the field and bend 61 is also best — that EP+bend combination at Monmore 480m means she'll be first or second at the first turn from T5. She's technically a Fader (CS 13, PCon 84) which at 480m is normally a concern, but her pace consistency of 84 — the highest in the field — means she repeats her effort reliably. She won't blaze and die; she'll lead steadily. Speed 53 is best in the field. T5 at 16.44% from 219 runs is marginally below expected — a minor structural headwind — but her individual profile (best EP, best bend, best speed, winning form) is strong enough to overcome a 0.3% trap deficit. Trainer Billingham-hine at 16% is weak, but the dog's trajectory overrides the trainer concern.
DANGER: Best avgP (54) with Taberner's 35.29% A6 Monmore strike rate. Closer profile works at the fair 480m layout. Two Monmore A6 T2 runs including a win. The main threat — if the pace collapses ahead, she wins.
Best trap in the race but the worst form by far. AvgP 36 is 18 points adrift of the top two. No amount of structural advantage can overcome that class deficit. Hard to see her featuring.
Inconsistent form with recent decline. Won at A7 but the step to A6 looks a stretch — 31 and 38 perfs since the win. Honest runner from T3 but won't trouble the pick or danger.
Honest All-Rounder but two A6 T6 runs at Monmore both produced poor results (5th, 6th). Form centres around 50 which is below the top two. Will compete but won't threaten the principals.
Relatively flat trap bias at A6 480m with T1 slightly elevated at 23.18% from 289 runs. T5 is marginally the worst at 16.44%. Composite R1 at 22.36% gives decent separation — the best-rated dog has a measurable edge. Trainer Taberner at 35.29% from 34 runs is the standout trainer signal.
T1:23.18%(289r) T2:21.18%(288r) T3:17.91%(268r) T4:19.39%(263r) T5:16.44%(219r) T6:20.92%(239r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Notcomingback | 37 | 71 | Closer |
2Aero Euphoria | 41 | 56 | Closer |
3Swift Fabric | 54 | 20 | All-Rounder |
5Bangon Erika | 59 | 13 | Fader |
6Links Bayb | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.