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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Longacres Sonnyd 3y 27 | P J Doocey — 20% R138 W28 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 100 | 31 (3) | 28 (6) | 50 (5) | 65 (2) | 36 (1) | 52 (5) | 66 (2) | 48 (6) | 52 (5) | 89 (1) | 58 | 58 | - | 70 | 50 | 54 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Casino Brodyd 3y 19 | J M Walton — 20% R244 W49 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 100 | 34 (4) | 33 (3) | 29 (5) | 30 (5) | 41 (1) | 26 (6) | 32 (3) | 24 (5) | 28 (6) | 60 (5) | 24 | 42 | 43 | 37 | 33 | 33 | 1 | 11/10F | |
| 3 | ▶ Vixons Saluteb 1y 25 | J B Thompson — 19% R521 W97 P286 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 15 (6) | 22 (5) | 21 (5) | 22 (6) | 21 (5) | 27 (6) | 37 (4) | 32 (1) | 39 (1) | - | 66 | 53 | - | 51 | 30 | 39 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Cazzers Lassb 4y 32 | C D Marston — 15% R464 W69 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 52 | 31 (5) | 53 (2) | 35 (5) | 55 (2) | 36 (6) | 42 (4) | 51 (3) | 37 (6) | 44 (5) | 36 (5) | 38 | 48 | 25 | 71 | 46 | 48 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Kilwest Beautyb 2yN/R 24 | R Taberner — 20% R725 W143 P422 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 26 | 53 (5) | 74 (5) | 74 (1) | 59 (4) | 76 (3) | 98 (1) | 72 (5) | 81 (2) | 88 (3) | 59 (3) | 54 | 60 | - | 50 | 72 | 66 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Valid Signatured 2y 4 | C D Marston — 15% R464 W69 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 19 (6) | 22 (5) | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 61 (6) | 37 (1) | 25 (5) | 25 (6) | 59 (5) | 23 (5) | 10 | 35 | 14 | 35 | 37 | 33 | 3 | 5/2 | |
Longacres Sonny is the pick on the convergence of dominant T1 draw, explosive early pace, and proven sprint form. EP 76 is by far the best in the field — no other runner with pace data exceeds 51. Bend 100 is the highest possible and shared only with Casino Brody (who has no pace data to exploit it). Speed 58 is the second-best. He's a Fader (CS 0, PCon 0) but at 264m — a tight sprint — the Fader tag is irrelevant because there isn't enough distance for the fade to materialise. His 264m form is outstanding: D3 T1 1st (15.96), trial T1 1st (16.10), trial T1 1st (16.06) — three wins from T1 at sprint distances, one in open competition. The step from D3 to D2 is a class increase but his trial times (16.06, 16.10) suggest he can handle it. Track suit 58 and distance suit 70 are both the best in the field — deep 264m Monmore equity. Trap suit 58 confirms individual T1 success. Trainer Doocey at 34% is the best handler. T1 is the DOMINANT trap at 21.93% from 114 runs. The convergence is overwhelming: dominant trap + best EP by 25 points + best bend + best distance suit + three T1 sprint wins + best trainer.
DANGER: Best speed (61), bend 100, and a D2 win in 15.59. Second-best trap (T2 at 20.72%). The D1 class experience is a positive. But no pace data means we can't assess his break speed — the critical factor at 264m. If he breaks well, he's the main threat to Sonny.
Dead T3 draw despite high individual trap suit. D2 T3 form was 6th and 4th — not competitive. Thompson's handler record is the positive but avgP 30 and the 16 most recent perf are too low for a D2 sprint win.
The dead T4 draw at 8.99% alone disqualifies this runner. Adding a Closer profile at 264m and recent 480m racing (6th, 5th, 5th) makes the case comprehensive. Can be confidently opposed.
Best avgP in the field by a wide margin but trying 264m as a pure Closer with EP 0 and speed 0. At this sprint distance, closing is physically impossible. Her 480m/630m class is irrelevant. Can be confidently opposed at this trip.
No pace data, poor trap suit from T6, and modest D2 form (3rd from T4, 5th from T4). The D3 T3 win shows ability exists but D2 from T6 is a different proposition. Too many unknowns to back.
T1 dominant at 21.93% from 114 runs. T2 second at 20.72%. T4 is catastrophically dead at 8.99% from 89 runs — nearly half expected rate. T3 also dead at 14.93%. Inside draws dominate D2 264m sprints at Monmore. Composite R1 at 19.02% gives modest separation — ratings are a moderate predictor. Speed R1 at 18.67% is modest. Trainers Thompson (29.63% from 27r) and Cowdrill (26.67% from 15r) are the standout handlers.
T1:21.93%(114r) T2:20.72%(111r) T3:14.93%(134r) T4:8.99%(89r) T5:18.82%(85r) T6:17.01%(147r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.