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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Amoreb 1y 32 | J B Thompson — 18% R499 W90 P273 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 45 | 37 (2) | 36 (4) | 30 (1) | 21 (5) | 24 (4) | 24 (3) | 20 (4) | 18 (6) | 22 (3) | 22 (5) | 17 | 30 | - | 14 | 25 | 23 | 1 | 10/11F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Catunda Apollod 4y 34 | J M Walton — 21% R232 W49 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | - | 21 (2) | 20 (5) | 21 (2) | 26 (4) | 24 (3) | 19 (2) | 16 (6) | 19 (6) | 18 (5) | - | 25 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 4 | 12/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Baby Swirlb 3y 4 | C D Marston — 15% R457 W67 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | - | 21 (4) | 26 (3) | 21 (4) | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 20 (4) | 16 (6) | 25 (3) | 21 (5) | 20 | 22 | 17 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 14/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Thirty Secondsd 3y 4 | C D Marston — 15% R457 W67 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 55 | 30 (1) | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 22 (3) | 16 (6) | 22 (6) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 23 (3) | 25 (3) | 29 | 28 | 18 | 24 | 22 | 24 | 3 | 15/8 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Stackemup Pollyb 2y 16 | J M Walton — 21% R232 W49 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | - | 23 (3) | 17 (6) | 13 (6) | 17 (6) | 17 (6) | 15 (6) | 16 (6) | 17 (6) | 25 (2) | 21 (4) | 21 | 20 | 17 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Darver Foreverd 5y 26 | J M Walton — 21% R232 W49 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 50 | 34 (4) | 35 (3) | 33 (3) | 28 (4) | 25 (6) | 33 (6) | 33 (3) | 23 (3) | 29 (3) | - | 27 | 40 | - | 25 | 32 | 32 | 2 | 4/1 | ||
Darver Forever is the clear class standout with avgP 32 — 7 points above the next best (Vixons Amore at 25) and 10 above the mid-field. In a D4 264m sprint, that's a massive gap. She's drawn in T6 — the DOMINANT trap at 21.04% from 347 runs, the best structural position. Speed 55 is the best in the field (tied with Thirty Seconds' 54 as near-best, but Darver Forever's is marginally higher). All-Rounder profile (EP 50, CS 47, PCon 87) with the highest pace consistency in the field means she repeats her runs reliably — and at 264m, an All-Rounder who gets out reasonably fast from the best trap should be there at the finish. Form reads 33→23→29→28→29, which is consistent around the 28-29 mark with a 33 peak. Her most recent was a 3rd at D4 T5 (16.09 at 50/1 — massively overpriced by the market), and she's also been competitive at 480m A10 level. Track suit 40 is the best in the field. Trainer Walton at 16% is weak — the one negative — but the dog's class, speed, and structural position override. At 264m sprints that play tight, the combination of dominant trap + best speed + best avgP is the winning convergence.
DANGER: Best speed in the field (58) from the second-best trap (T1 at 19.5%). Thompson's placement is a positive. But EP 43 means she won't lead and at 264m that's a significant handicap. If the leaders crowd each other, she benefits from the rail.
Three consecutive near-last finishes from T2, worst avgP (20), no pace data, and poorest suitability scores. Can be confidently opposed.
Dead T3 draw (13.79%), near-worst avgP, no pace data, and three poor results from inside draws. The structural headwind alone is enough to dismiss, and the individual profile confirms it.
Best EP and bend in the field with decent speed, but a beaten favourite from T4 who couldn't convert. Will push for the lead but the avgP (22) and conversion record suggest he'll be involved without winning.
Three consecutive 6ths from T5 at D4 264m. The evidence is comprehensive — she can't compete at this level from this draw. Avoid.
T6 dominant at 21.04% from 347 runs — outside draw is best at D4 sprints. T1 second at 19.5%. T3 is dead at 13.79% from 348 runs. Composite R1 at 23.44% gives good separation — the best-rated dog has a genuine edge. Speed R1 at 25.66% is the strongest single predictor. Trainers Russell (44.44%) and Griffiths (28.57%) dominate from small samples.
T1:19.5%(241r) T2:17.84%(269r) T3:13.79%(348r) T4:16.62%(355r) T5:18.7%(385r) T6:21.04%(347r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 264m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.