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SR Transport Standard Trophy - Heat One
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Born Scoobyd 2y 8 | S Roberts — 19% R175 W34 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 100 | 80 (2) | 65 (3) | 77 (3) | 75 (2) | 93 (1) | 84 (2) | 63 (4) | 70 (2) | 58 (3) | - | 65 | 40 | 26 | 56 | 65 | 61 | 5 | 6/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Bramble Elvisd 4y 13 | C L Hardy — 18% R230 W41 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 50 (5) | 53 (6) | 58 (5) | 67 (2) | 90 (2) | 93 (2) | 92 (2) | 57 (6) | 92 (1) | 81 (2) | 57 | 68 | 40 | 54 | 85 | 76 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Deerjet Rocketd 2y 25 | T C Heilbron — 16% R197 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 38 | 73 (2) | 66 (3) | 57 (5) | 90 (1) | 57 (5) | 64 (3) | 64 (5) | 46 (4) | 57 (5) | 68 (3) | 48 | 19 | 39 | 27 | 63 | 52 | 6 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Droopys Triggerd 2y 15 | S Roberts — 19% R175 W34 P83 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 99 | 55 (5) | 85 (1) | 94 (1) | 56 (6) | 75 (2) | 76 (2) | 57 (5) | 69 (4) | 63 (4) | - | 44 | 74 | 46 | 68 | 71 | 68 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Droopys Linkd 2y 15 | T C Heilbron — 16% R197 W32 P94 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 45 | 63 (4) | 56 (5) | 55 (4) | 50 (5) | 72 (2) | 72 (4) | 49 (6) | 74 (2) | 91 (1) | 52 (5) | 52 | 39 | 37 | 46 | 61 | 56 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Zenith Mikmackerd 2y 8 | J J Fenwick — 19% R505 W95 P289 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 86 (1) | 72 (3) | 55 (4) | 59 (5) | 63 (6) | 88 (4) | 50 (1) | 64 (5) | 88 (3) | - | 38 | 45 | - | 51 | 71 | 62 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
The clear class act at P85 — 14 points above the next best (Droopys Trigger/Zenith Mikmacker at 71). That is a genuine, measurable class override in any context. He is a Closer (EP 0, CS 100, PC 0) who will be dead last early, but with three Faders (all CS 0) blazing the pace ahead of him, the race shape is tailor-made for his profile. Newcastle's lengthy home straight gives closers every chance, and at CS 100 he has maximum closing ability. Drawn in T2 — the best structural trap at 21.31% from 61 runs — adding structural advantage to his class edge. Suitability is the strongest in the field: track 68 (best), distance 54, trap 57, class 40. Recent form at Star Pelaw in OR shows 2nd, 1st, 2nd — a consistent performer at this level. Hardy at 18% is below awareness but the data convergence is overwhelming. Speed 50 is modest but closing speed matters more than raw speed for a Closer on a fair track. When three Faders collapse in front of a CS 100 Closer with a 14-point class advantage drawn in the best trap, the analysis writes itself.
DANGER: Third-best Closer in a race shape that screams for closers. EP 34 gives her a head start over Elvis from the back. If Elvis can't bridge the gap from dead last, Link's superior early position could see her pick up the pieces first.
Pace-setter who will lead early and fade late. CS 0 and PC 0 on a fair galloping track mean he will set a strong tempo for the closers to exploit. His role is to make this race for others.
Closer profile suits the race shape but P63 is too far behind Elvis (P85). Poor track suit (19) and no recent wins. Will close but not close enough.
Will co-lead with Scooby early but CS 0 from the dead trap (8.70%) ensures he fades. Track suit 74 shows he handles Newcastle but the Fader profile at 480m is a dealbreaker on this fair track.
A1 form is impressive but CS 0 Fader in a race with two other CS 0 Faders and a dead trap (11.11%) is a structural nightmare. The pace will be suicidal early and the closers will sweep past in the home straight.
LOW SEPARATION race at OR level (R1 22.92% vs R3 19.57%, 3.4pp gap). T2 has moderate structural advantage. T4 and T6 are dead traps — both occupied by Faders tonight which compounds the problem. Three Faders (T1, T4, T6) will ensure fast early pace that benefits closers.
T1:17.31% T2:21.31% T3:18.18% T4:8.70% T5:25.71% T6:11.11%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Born Scooby | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Bramble Elvis | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Deerjet Rocket | 18 | 100 | Closer |
4Droopys Trigger | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Droopys Link | 34 | 100 | Closer |
6Zenith Mikmacker | 66 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 435m | 450m | 480m | 483m | 500m | 590m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Born Scooby | — | — | 0.594 | 0.608 | 0.583 | — |
| 2 | Bramble Elvis | 0.603 | 0.624 | 0.609 | — | — | 0.618 |
| 3 | Deerjet Rocket | — | 0.618 | 0.605 | 0.615 | — | — |
| 4 | Droopys Trigger | — | — | 0.597 | 0.614 | 0.587 | — |
| 5 | Droopys Link | — | 0.618 | 0.604 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Zenith Mikmacker | — | — | 0.608 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.