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#Lovethedogs Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bramble Catb 3y 6 | C L Hardy — 20% R206 W41 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 50 | 72 (1) | 55 (4) | 57 (2) | 61 (3) | 70 (2) | 59 (2) | 56 (3) | 28 (3) | 21 (6) | 74 (1) | 36 | 32 | 17 | 28 | 48 | 42 | 5 | 6/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Footfield Squeakd 4y 24 | M Gray — 16% R56 W9 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 50 | 56 (3) | 50 (4) | 55 (3) | 70 (6) | 43 (1) | 40 (5) | 61 (5) | 46 (2) | 50 (5) | - | 33 | 52 | 33 | 45 | 53 | 50 | 3 | 9/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Blackhouse Jeanb 1y 5 | S Ray — 14% R408 W58 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 30 | 60 (3) | 55 (3) | 48 (4) | 43 (6) | 39 (5) | 63 (3) | 53 (4) | 68 (1) | 59 (2) | 54 (3) | 62 | 49 | 7 | 36 | 55 | 53 | 2 | 7/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Fire Height Corab 3y 6 | P Singlewood — 20% R124 W25 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 42 | 70 (6) | 66 (1) | 51 (1) | 53 (3) | 57 (3) | 64 (3) | 55 (2) | 71 (3) | 46 (1) | - | 30 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 56 | 47 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Hurry Up Ivyb 3y 14 | S Ray — 14% R408 W58 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 55 | 44 (5) | 42 (5) | 45 (5) | 77 (1) | 73 (1) | 53 (2) | 58 (3) | 68 (1) | 54 (3) | 40 (5) | 25 | 36 | 40 | 28 | 51 | 44 | 4 | 5/1 | |
The best performer in the field at P56 with a Closer profile (EP 39, CS 76, PC 87) that suits Newcastle's fair galloping track. Speed 52 is competitive and her closing ability (CS 76) means she finishes her races strongly. T5 at 17.55% from 302 runs is neutral — no structural help or hindrance. Suitability is moderate (T31/D31/Tr30/C29) — nothing stands out individually, but there are no red flags either. Recent form shows 3rd A5, 1st A6, 4th A6 — a win at A6 and a competitive 3rd at A5 suggest she can handle this level. Singlewood at 40% is STRONG tier — the best trainer representation in this race by a significant margin, and at A5 conditions that adds genuine weight. The combination of best P (56) + strong trainer (40%) + Closer profile on a fair track + highest speed among the closers makes her the marginal pick in a very tight field. The NORMAL separation (R1 wins 21.32% — meaningful edge for the top-rated runner) supports picking the best P rather than defaulting to trap bias. Speculative confidence because this is an extremely tight race with no clear standout.
DANGER: Dominant trap (20.50% from 444r) + trap suit 62 + CS 78 Closer on fair track. In a tight field with 8 points separating all runners, the structural position could be decisive. Class suit 7 and A6 form are the caveats.
Speed 55 is best in field but P48 (lowest) and poor suitability suggest the ceiling is a place finish. Three consecutive 3rds confirms the pattern — competitive but not a winner.
Track suit 52 (best) and A4 form are positives, but worst speed (40) and weakest trap (16.58%) are significant negatives. Balanced All-Rounder who races handy but lacks the speed to win.
Class suit 40 (best) shows she handles A5, but Fader CS 25 from the worst trap on a fair track means she'll lead early and weaken. Speed 43 below average. Pace-setter role.
NORMAL separation — R1 at 21.32% vs R3 at 15.85%, a 5.5pp gap. Composite rankings have some predictive value. T3 and T4 are the structurally favoured positions — no T3 runner tonight (5-runner field). T4 occupied by Blackhouse Jean. Speed R1 wins 21%. Top trainers: D Little 50% (10r), P Rutherford 21.74% (23r).
T1:19.73% T2:16.58% T3:21.52% T4:20.50% T5:17.55% T6:15.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bramble Cat | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2Footfield Squeak | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Blackhouse Jean | 37 | 78 | Closer |
5Fire Height Cora | 39 | 76 | Closer |
6Hurry Up Ivy | 58 | 25 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.