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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bramble Skyb 4y 36 | C L Hardy — 20% R206 W41 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 42 (6) | 48 (5) | 49 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 54 (3) | 54 (4) | 54 (4) | 46 (6) | 57 (3) | 35 | 36 | 21 | 33 | 51 | 45 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Blackhouse Loveb 2y 24 | S Ray — 14% R408 W58 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 47 | 50 (5) | 56 (5) | 60 (3) | 57 (4) | 76 (2) | 78 (1) | 58 (4) | 76 (1) | 61 (2) | 47 (5) | 35 | 33 | 22 | 30 | 54 | 47 | 2 | 10/11F | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackhouse Bobbyd 4y 15 | S Ray — 14% R408 W58 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 53 | 47 (5) | 50 (3) | 53 (4) | 71 (1) | 45 (5) | 53 (3) | 39 (6) | 45 (5) | 71 (1) | 24 (6) | 28 | 27 | 41 | 25 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 11/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Withme Withoutmeb 1y 7 | C L Hardy — 20% R206 W41 P126 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 52 | 50 (6) | 50 (6) | 78 (1) | 53 (3) | 54 (4) | 74 (1) | 62 (2) | 69 (1) | 47 (4) | 45 (4) | 16 | 11 | - | - | 45 | 34 | 5 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Emers Biddyb 2y 17 | P Singlewood — 20% R124 W25 P70 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 61 | 37 (5) | 41 (6) | 51 (4) | 44 (5) | 69 (1) | 55 (2) | 59 (2) | 49 (5) | 53 (3) | 60 (2) | 32 | 27 | 32 | 31 | 54 | 46 | 1 | 3/1 | |
The joint-best performer at P54 with the only Front Runner profile in the race (EP 56, CS 46, bend 61, PC 82). The bend 61 is the best in the field, meaning she will navigate Newcastle's bends — which take some getting used to — better than any other runner. Her EP 56 ensures she leads through the first bend, and CS 46 provides enough sustainability that she won't collapse like an extreme Fader. Speed 55 is the best in the field, and at conditions where speed rank 1 wins 21%, holding the fastest speed is meaningful. Suitability is moderate (T27/D31/Tr32/C32) — nothing exceptional but no red flags. Recent form at Newcastle A6 shows 1st, 2nd, 4th — a win and a place at A6, stepping up to A5 tonight. Singlewood at 40% is STRONG tier — the best trainer in the field by a wide margin, and at A5 conditions this adds genuine confidence. T6 at 15.85% from 265 runs is the weakest structural position, which is a headwind. However, Singlewood at 40% historically produces results regardless of trap position, and the Front Runner profile means she dictates the pace rather than being affected by trap dynamics. The convergence of joint-best P + best speed + best bend + only Front Runner + 40% trainer overcomes the T6 structural weakness. She goes to the front, sustains with CS 46, and with the best speed she can hold off the closers.
DANGER: CS 83 + EP 44 + P54 (joint-best) + PC 91 (best consistency). The closing profile on Newcastle's fair track makes her the main threat. T2 structural weakness and moderate suitability are the negatives. If Biddy weakens at all in the straight, Love is the one who catches her.
CS 97 is exceptional but P51 and poorest suitability in the field limit her ceiling. Will close into the places from the rail but unlikely to win. Consistent 3rd-4th form tells the story.
Dominant trap (21.52% from 381r) is a genuine structural advantage but P39 (lowest by 12+ points) is too far behind the field. No amount of trap bias bridges that quality gap at A5.
Distance suit 0 and class suit 0 mean zero form at this CD at this grade. P45 is too low. No angle for a pick regardless of trap position.
NORMAL separation (R1 21.32% vs R3 15.85%, 5.5pp gap). T3 and T4 dominant but T4 is unoccupied tonight (5-runner field). T3 occupied by Blackhouse Bobby. T6 is weakest at 15.85%. Speed R1 wins 21%. Singlewood at 40% if present would be a strong signal.
T1:19.73% T2:16.58% T3:21.52% T4:20.50% T5:17.55% T6:15.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bramble Sky | 37 | 97 | Closer |
2Blackhouse Love | 44 | 83 | Closer |
3Blackhouse Bobby | 54 | 39 | All-Rounder |
5Withme Withoutme | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Emers Biddy | 56 | 46 | Front Runner |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.