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SR Transport Sprint Trophy - Heat One
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lightfoot Jamied 2y 32 | T C Heilbron — 15% R188 W29 P87 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 6 | 76 (2) | 53 (4) | 69 (4) | 82 (4) | 68 (5) | 64 (5) | 66 (5) | 68 (5) | 69 (3) | 79 (2) | 52 | 43 | 23 | 28 | 69 | 59 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Here Comes Bobd 2y 33 | J Watson — 29% R21 W6 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 35 | 68 (4) | 58 (4) | 66 (4) | 39 (2) | 59 (4) | 75 (2) | 52 (3) | 79 (4) | 45 (5) | 100 (1) | 100 | - | - | - | 71 | 81 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Stonepark Hoffad 4y 47 | S Roberts — 19% R177 W34 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 85 | 70 | 72 (1) | 100 (1) | 94 (1) | 100 (1) | 86 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 84 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 | 85 | 77 | 85 | 89 | 89 | 1 | 8/15F | |
| 4 | ▶ Sunnyside Gurkhad 2y 16 | E Soppitt — 38% R24 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 43 | 97 (1) | 70 (2) | 89 (1) | 34 (3) | 74 (2) | 64 (4) | 78 (2) | 45 (6) | 72 (2) | 100 (1) | 85 | 18 | 67 | - | 69 | 63 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Kindb 2y 28 | M Gray — 16% R56 W9 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 100 | 74 (1) | 61 (5) | 72 (2) | 74 (2) | 86 (1) | 68 (3) | 57 (4) | 53 (6) | 64 (3) | 73 (2) | 38 | 38 | - | 35 | 69 | 58 | 2 | 25/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Sunnyside Tedd 2y 13 | E Soppitt — 38% R24 W9 P19 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 57 (6) | 72 (5) | 100 (1) | 57 (3) | 38 (6) | 77 (3) | 85 (2) | 84 (3) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 | 87 | 45 | 72 | 85 | 85 | 3 | 11/4 | |
The standout runner in this race by a wide margin. P89 is the highest in the field by 4 points over the next best, and more importantly is 12 points above the field average — a genuine class override that would be decisive at any distance. Speed 85 is far and away the best in the field (next best is 64). EP 86 and bend 70 mean he will blaze to the first bend and through it with commanding early pace. Yes, he is a Fader (CS 0, PC 91) but at 290m this matters far less — the trip is only two bends, and by the time the fade kicks in, the race is effectively over. His suitability profile is extraordinary: track 85, distance 85, trap 100, class 77 — all best in field by a massive margin. Recent form reads 1st at Sheffield 280m, 1st at Newcastle 290m, 1st at Newcastle 290m — three consecutive sprint wins including two at this exact CD. Trainer Roberts at 14% is the only negative on the entire card, and it is comprehensively overwhelmed by every other data point. This is a class apart runner at sprint distance with proven CD form, dominant early pace, and best-in-field suitability across every dimension.
DANGER: EP 100 and bend 100 could make her the early pace threat, but these numbers are from 480m racing. If the early pace translates to sprint distance, she could challenge — but P69 vs P89 is a huge quality gap. Best of the rest.
Can be confidently opposed. EP 3, bend 6, and Closer profile at 290m means he will be last off the bend with no time to close. The talent is there but the trip is completely wrong.
EP 0 at 290m is the definition of wrong race. Track suit 0 and distance suit 0 confirm it. Watson at 45% is intriguing but can't override the structural impossibility of closing at this trip.
Wrong trip. Speed 30, distance suit 0, and all recent form at 450m. The 20-point P gap to Stonepark Hoffa is insurmountable at sprint distance. Soppitt at 48% is noted but can't compensate.
P85 and excellent suitability (87/72/100/45) with elite trainer make the on-paper case. But zero pace data in a sprint is a fundamental unknown. If he has early pace, he's the main danger to Hoffa. Without that data, can't be the pick.
Only 23 total runs at Newcastle 290m OR3 — trap bias data is statistically meaningless. Must rely entirely on individual runner data, pace profiles, and general sprint principles. At 290m, early pace and bend ability override everything else.
T1:50%(4r) T2:33.3%(6r) T3:0%(3r) T4:0%(2r) T5:25%(4r) T6:0%(4r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 290m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.