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CORAL 515 TROPHY FINAL
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Underground Fizzb 2y 24 | P W Young — 19% R1330 W248 P779 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 35 | 76 (2) | 59 (4) | 100 (2) | 84 (4) | 98 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 80 (3) | 82 (3) | 44 | 20 | 45 | 18 | 85 | 65 | 1 | 4/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Alldewayd 2y 16 | P W Young — 19% R1330 W248 P779 Trainer form — last 3 months | 57 | 55 | 40 (6) | 91 (1) | 79 (2) | 84 (1) | 88 (1) | 59 (5) | 52 (6) | 53 (4) | 84 (1) | 67 (2) | 74 | 60 | 51 | 35 | 71 | 66 | 3 | 13/8 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Fantasy Alexd 3y 25 | B S Green — 20% R412 W84 P239 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 54 | 49 (5) | 61 (5) | 63 (4) | 64 (3) | 50 (5) | 61 (4) | 88 (1) | 74 (2) | 87 (1) | 60 (4) | 27 | 51 | 31 | - | 68 | 58 | 4 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Bowmers Sheerand 2y 4 | P W Young — 19% R1330 W248 P779 Trainer form — last 3 months | 48 | 40 | 36 (6) | 85 0 | 82 (1) | 90 (1) | 55 (1) | 60 (5) | 75 (4) | 57 (3) | 66 (5) | - | 35 | 32 | 23 | 25 | 71 | 57 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Bluey Bulletd 2y 26 | P W Young — 19% R1330 W248 P779 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 52 | 84 (1) | 76 (1) | 65 (3) | 49 (3) | 62 (6) | 93 (4) | 67 (1) | 50 (5) | 62 (5) | - | 15 | 27 | 27 | - | 65 | 50 | 6 | 18/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Moving Forced 3y 19 | S A Cahill — 19% R375 W72 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 65 | 49 | 84 (1) | 75 (1) | 63 (3) | 64 (5) | 76 (3) | 68 (2) | 77 (2) | 89 (2) | 94 (1) | - | 58 | 68 | 58 | 58 | 79 | 73 | 2 | 11/8F | ||
Exceptional recent form trajectory: P100→P100→P98 over the last three runs—championship-level performances that are unmissable. Performance rating (85) is the field's highest. P W Young's trainer record (12% TWR) is historically poor, but this dog has clearly found another gear; the form evidence speaks louder than trainer average. T1's 23.81% win rate (21 runs) is the only reliable trap advantage in this OR3 race, a significant structural edge. Mean suit (31.8) is respectable and balanced—adequate on track (20), distance (18), trap (44), class (45). The Closer profile (EP=0, CS=100) is intriguing and crucial: typically indicates pressure early but sustained closing effort, suggesting this dog isn't merely leading but maintaining into the final furlong. The P100 form line (championship-level) aligns with this tactical sustenance. T1 entry + elite current form trajectory + competitive suit profile + Closer profile delivering in recent races = rare convergence of factors. This is not about historical class but about demonstrated current form and condition-specific probability stacking.
Clear second-choice danger; suit advantage (60.5, highest in race) + recent form recovery + Closer profile + solid trainer (S A Cahill 22% TWR) = credible late threat to Underground Fizz, especially if pace falters.
Suit elite (55.0), form recently terrible (P20-25), trap position worst in race. Only viable if recent dip is acute aberration; form deterioration pattern is too clear for confidence.
Decent starting point with recent recovery (P88-74), but Fader profile + below-average suit + track bias against faders = holding horse without standout credentials.
Young trainer + fading form + Fader profile + weak suit = vulnerable; will compete early but lacks closing resources to sustain on 515m.
Weak across all metrics—lowest performance (65), lowest suit (17.2), weak trainer record. Only viable as deepest outsider; no compelling narrative.
T1 is the only trap with consistent edge. T2 faces chronic disadvantage despite Droopys Alldeway's elite suit profile (55.0). Underground Fizz's recent form (P100 sequence) is exceptional and overrides moderate suit mean (31.8). Moving Force's suit edge (60.5) and Closer profile provide credible late-charge threat.
T1 DOMINANT; T2 DEAD
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 515m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Underground Fizz | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Droopys Alldeway | 45 | 44 | All-Rounder |
3Fantasy Alex | 85 | 0 | Fader |
4Bowmers Sheeran | 83 | 0 | Fader |
5Bluey Bullet | 55 | 100 | All-Rounder |
6Moving Force | 26 | 56 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.