CORAL BRIGHTON BELLE TRIAL STAKES - DIVISION A
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Avarua Sarahb 2y 26 | R P Rees — 23% R141 W32 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 77 | 53 (5) | 89 (1) | 87 (1) | 73 (3) | 68 (2) | 81 (2) | 74 (2) | 87 (1) | 83 (1) | 61 (2) | 57 | 40 | 39 | - | 80 | 69 | 3 | 12/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Raebella Bulletb 2y 6 | B S Green — 20% R422 W83 P248 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 14 | 0 | 67 (3) | 87 (6) | 74 (1) | 88 (2) | 87 (1) | 61 (1) | 86 (3) | 65 (1) | 73 (3) | - | 23 | 62 | 14 | 25 | 76 | 62 | 5 | 6/5 | |
| 3 | ▶ Alana The Secondb 2y 27 | M E Wiley — 19% R510 W99 P262 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 25 | 85 (2) | 100 (1) | 91 (2) | 79 (3) | 55 (6) | 75 (4) | 47 (6) | 71 (6) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 21 | - | 27 | - | 86 | 63 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bubbly Amberb 2y 36 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 47 | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 88 (1) | 77 (2) | 100 (3) | 100 (1) | 66 (1) | - | 19 | - | 27 | - | 70 | 52 | 2 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Rapido Rosinb 2y 25 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 87 | 62 | 67 (3) | 69 (3) | 77 (3) | 59 (3) | 68 (5) | 73 (6) | 62 (2) | 68 (3) | - | - | 58 | 50 | 37 | - | 77 | 69 | 1 | 1/1F | |
Alana The Second is the pick. She's a pure closer with an exceptional performance rating (P=86, the field's second-best after Avarua Sarah's P=80), elite class movement (CS=100, suggesting sharp acceleration against grade), and solid suitability (12.0 mean). Crucially, she's positioned as a dedicated closer (PP=Closer), aligning perfectly with Hove 515m's structural bias favoring late runners (only 21% all-the-way winners). Her speed rating is weak (Spd=15), but this is appropriate for a closer who'll sit mid-field or deep early and rely on class movement and tactical timing. Her bend rating is weak (Bnd=25), confirming she won't be in the lead early—she'll be recovering from a deep position. Her form line (P71, P100, P100, P99, P69, P87) is exceptional and shows she can produce elite performances: three consecutive P100 and P99 results three-to-five races ago demonstrate peak form, and her recent P87 finish shows she's maintained form. Trainer M E Wiley's TWR of 18% is reasonable. Trap 3 at Hove 515m is weak in conditions (7.69% win rate), but Alana The Second's elite class movement and performance rating transcend trap disadvantage. Her profile is made for this venue and distance: she'll sit mid-field through the bend and first straight, then explode past Avarua Sarah and other mid-field runners in the final 100m, using her class movement advantage to steal the race late.
Danger as likely leader. Strong early credentials and trap position. But fade profile makes her vulnerable to closers in final stages at this closer-friendly venue.
Danger as a closing threat with elite speed and trap advantage (T4: 31.25%). But poor suitability for Hove conditions and inconsistent form limit confidence vs. Alana The Second.
Conditional danger. Historical form and speed suggest top threat. But recent collapse (P25, P22) contradicts credentials and introduces uncertainty. Form must have stabilized at acceptable level for her to threaten here.
Middle-tier runner lacking the speed or closing mechanism to win. Low speed and zero bend rating are significant liabilities. Unlikely to be competitive against faster closers or stronger early runners.
Hove 515m is the circuit's most closer-friendly distance (only 21% all-the-way winners—lowest in UK). Late runners and closers structurally dominate. This race features Avarua Sarah (likely leader) but also has two genuine closers (Alana The Second with elite class movement, Bubbly Amber with elite speed). The track structure favors closers over all-the-way types. Alana The Second aligns perfectly with this profile.
T4 DOMINANT at 31.25% (16 wins), T1 strong at 21.43% (28 runs). T5 DEAD at 5.88% (17 runs). Small sample (103 runs in OR 515m).
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 515m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Avarua Sarah | 84 | 0 | Fader |
2Raebella Bullet | 54 | 0 | All-Rounder |
3Alana The Second | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Bubbly Amber | 50 | 100 | Closer |
6Rapido Rosin | 41 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.