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Newcastle Greyhound Stadium Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Mos Aoibhb 1y 6 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 60 | 41 (4) | 28 (2) | 56 (1) | 32 (5) | 60 (4) | 32 (2) | - | - | - | - | 28 | 31 | 17 | 27 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bushfire Jackd 1y 5 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 39 | 51 (1) | 26 (5) | 29 (5) | 54 (3) | 36 (4) | 35 (4) | 44 (4) | 44 (6) | 40 (3) | 33 (4) | 26 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 39 | 38 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ A Bit Of Theod 4y 18 | S Ray — 14% R365 W50 P204 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 61 | 49 (2) | 46 (2) | 47 (2) | 42 (4) | 38 (3) | 45 (2) | 38 (6) | 55 (1) | 50 (3) | 50 (5) | 18 | 18 | 25 | 31 | 46 | 48 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Howay Neymard 1y 1 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | 45 | 35 (5) | 30 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33 | 23 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tina On Fireb 3y 23 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 52 | 41 (2) | 31 (5) | 32 (6) | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 40 (5) | 37 (6) | 32 (6) | 56 (2) | 61 (1) | 27 | 24 | 27 | 24 | 39 | 41 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mos Aoibh | 30.02 | 30.34 | 30.58 | 45 | +0.56 | ||
| 3 | Bushfire Jack | 29.97 | 30.55 | 29.97 | 51 | 0.00 | Stepping up in class | |
| 4 | A Bit Of Theo | 29.91 | 30.04 | 29.94 | 63 | +0.03 | Best speed rating | |
| 5 | Howay Neymar | 30.64 | 30.64 | 30.64 | 29 | 0.00 | Only 2 runs | |
| 6 | Tina On Fire | 29.69 | 30.10 | 30.32 | 59 | +0.63 | Fastest raw time |
Another fair 480m test at Newcastle, where the long home straight usually lets the best finisher through — at this grade specifically, trap 5 has been the strongest box and trap 2 the weakest. Tonight's field has nobody drawn in that favoured trap 5, which flattens the draw as a factor and puts more weight back on raw ability. A Bit Of Theo goes forward from the box and has been comfortably the fastest of this six on the clock, which should let her dictate matters from the front rather than relying on things falling right behind her. Tina On Fire and Bushfire Jack both do their best work from off the pace and will be the ones trying to reel her in if she sets a sharp gallop.
Clearly the fastest dog in this field on recent times, with a healthy margin over the next best, and she also carries the best average performance figure in the race. She's quick to the bend and likes to make the running, which gives her control over how the race is run rather than depending on others. Trap 4 hasn't been among the standout boxes at this grade, but the gap in raw ability looks big enough to matter more than the draw.
Won last time out, but that was at an easier grade and she steps up in class today — always a question mark until proven otherwise. Her trainer is enjoying a strong spell at close to a 30% strike rate, which is a real point in her favour, and she finishes races off well from off the pace. If the step up doesn't faze her, she's the biggest threat to the selection.
Fast into her stride but tends to lose ground late, and drawn in trap 2, statistically the weakest box at this grade and trip. Form has been modest and up and down recently. The running style and the draw are both working against her tonight.
Only two runs into her career so far, both modest efforts, and the slowest recorded time in this field by some way. There simply isn't enough evidence yet to suggest she's competitive against this company.
Shares the fastest recorded time in this field and finishes strongly from off the pace, which suits the long home straight here well. Form has been fairly steady in the high 30s to high 40s. The one best placed to reel in the pace-setters if the leaders go too hard early.
Key insight: Trap 5 has been the strongest box at this grade and trip (24.4%) with trap 2 the weakest (14.7%). The fastest dog in the field wins more often than the blended top pick here (23.5% vs 20.8%) — speed is the better guide.
T1:19.3% T2:14.7% T3:21.8% T4:17.5% T5:24.4% T6:17.9%
1,436 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Mos Aoibh | 62 | 6 | Fader |
3Bushfire Jack | 35 | 74 | Closer |
4A Bit Of Theo | 57 | 50 | Front Runner |
5Howay Neymar | 46 | 43 | All-Rounder |
6Tina On Fire | 50 | 67 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mos Aoibh | 0.608 | 0.632 | 0.588 |
| 3 | Bushfire Jack | — | 0.638 | — |
| 4 | A Bit Of Theo | — | 0.630 | — |
| 5 | Howay Neymar | — | 0.641 | — |
| 6 | Tina On Fire | 0.616 | 0.627 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.