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The Future of Racing: PGR TV Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Onyergostarb 2y 47 | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 28 | 41 (2) | 34 (5) | 35 (5) | 35 (4) | 56 (1) | 36 (4) | 33 (6) | 36 (5) | 56 (1) | 41 (3) | 24 | 35 | 42 | 30 | 39 | 22 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mcdara Julieb 1y | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 51 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | 51 | 40 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Never Too Lateb 1y 5 | J J Fenwick — 18% R498 W92 P271 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 44 | 39 (4) | 51 (4) | 55 (2) | 71 (1) | 29 (4) | 55 (3) | 70 (1) | 50 (4) | 45 (2) | 52 (2) | 4 | 43 | 16 | 37 | 51 | 41 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Dakotas Renaeb 2y 38 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 58 | 33 (4) | 41 (4) | 46 (2) | 43 (2) | 24 (4) | 28 (2) | 18 (5) | 17 (6) | 24 (4) | 48 (3) | 1 | 16 | 11 | 16 | 41 | 23 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Deejay Charlied 1y | B J Mcphillips — 18% R55 W10 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 2 | 5/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ El Stueyd 3yN/R 13 | J Walton — 10% R58 W6 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 56 | 23 (5) | 38 (5) | 26 (5) | 26 (5) | 19 (6) | 19 (6) | 14 (5) | 51 (1) | 33 (5) | 29 (4) | 23 | 22 | - | 13 | 28 | 22 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Onyergostar | 29.90 | 30.30 | 30.30 | 56 | +0.40 | Fastest + best speed, off since March | |
| 2 | Mcdara Julie | — | — | — | — | — | Only 1 run, no clock data | |
| 3 | Never Too Late | 30.18 | 30.43 | 30.18 | 51 | 0.00 | Best track suitability | |
| 4 | Dakotas Renae | 30.02 | 30.20 | 30.69 | 50 | +0.67 | Strong trainer form | |
| 5 | Deejay Charlie | No previous race form recorded. | — | First-time runner | ||||
| 6 | El Stuey | 30.00 | 30.73 | 31.13 | 33 | +1.13 | Weak form throughout | |
The last of three A8 races on the card over Newcastle's fair 480m, where the long home straight tends to give finishers time to arrive. At this grade, trap 5 has been the strongest box and trap 2 the weakest, though tonight's trap 5 runner is a first-timer with nothing to go on. Dakotas Renae and El Stuey both show plenty of early pace and could set the tempo for the finishers coming from behind. Onyergostar is the fastest of this six on the clock by a clear margin, but she hasn't raced since the spring — the form is there on paper, the question is whether the freshening up has taken the sharpness off her.
Clearly the fastest dog in this field on the clock and finishes strongly from off the pace, which suits the long home straight here. The catch is she hasn't raced since March — a lengthy break that raises a fitness question even with obvious ability on paper. Her best recent form, when last seen, was competitive at this level, and if the layoff hasn't blunted her she looks the class of this field.
Her trainer is enjoying a strong spell, winning close to 30% of runners, which is the standout point in her favour. She's sharp away from the boxes and tends to lead into the first turn, giving her control over how the race unfolds early. Recent form has been modest but the trainer angle keeps her firmly in this.
Only one run into her career so far, a respectable third-place effort, so there's very little to judge her by beyond that single outing. No recorded time data to compare her against this field, which makes her one of the hardest runners in the race to assess with any real confidence.
An established, consistent performer with six races on the book and the best course suitability figure in this field, suggesting she's well suited to Newcastle specifically. She finishes strongly from off the pace, which plays to the track's long straight, and her recent form has settled in the low-to-mid 50s. A solid, if unspectacular, case built on genuine proven ability rather than a single big effort.
A first-time runner with no form to assess, though she does have the benefit of trap 5, statistically the strongest box at this grade and trip. Impossible to form a real view on a complete newcomer, however good the draw looks on paper.
Fast into her stride but fades quickly once the race develops, and her recent form has been weak throughout, rarely troubling the front-runners. The slowest recorded speed rating among the proven runners in this field is a real concern.
Key insight: Trap 5 has been the strongest box at this grade and trip (24.4%) with trap 2 the weakest (14.7%). The fastest dog in the field wins more often than the blended top pick here (23.5% vs 20.8%) — speed is the better guide.
T1:19.3% T2:14.7% T3:21.8% T4:17.5% T5:24.4% T6:17.9%
1,436 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Onyergostar | 37 | 86 | Closer |
2Mcdara Julie | — | — | No data |
3Never Too Late | 42 | 68 | Closer |
4Dakotas Renae | 64 | 32 | Fader |
5Deejay Charlie | — | — | No data |
6El Stuey | 58 | 8 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Onyergostar | — | 0.633 |
| 2 | Mcdara Julie | — | 0.641 |
| 3 | Never Too Late | — | 0.634 |
| 4 | Dakotas Renae | 0.615 | 0.629 |
| 5 | Deejay Charlie | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.