Loading...
Ronnies Dad Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Malt Sallyb 4y 16 | D Blackbird — 16% R1106 W178 P611 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 35 | 44 (5) | 68 (1) | 54 (2) | 40 (5) | 61 (2) | 67 (1) | 55 (3) | 49 (4) | 42 (4) | 51 (2) | 31 | 36 | 29 | 36 | 54 | 49 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Tutub 1y 1 | B J Mcphillips — 18% R55 W10 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 56 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 56 | 40 | 1 | 8/11F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alnwick Newsd 3y 6 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 45 (4) | 65 (1) | 59 (1) | 37 (4) | 42 (4) | 43 (4) | 36 (5) | 52 (4) | 58 (2) | 32 (6) | 19 | 28 | 14 | 30 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Munoz Onthe Kopb 2y 1 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Five Alley Macyb 2y 7 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 64 | 62 (1) | 52 (2) | 45 (3) | 52 (2) | 61 (1) | 41 (5) | 38 (5) | 46 (2) | 39 (5) | 39 (4) | - | 31 | 26 | 42 | 50 | 47 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malt Sally | 29.44 | 29.79 | 30.09 | 49 | +0.65 | 2 C&D wins from 6 | |
| 2 | Droopys Tutu | 29.75 | 29.75 | 29.75 | 50 | 0.00 | Only 1 run to date | |
| 3 | Alnwick News | 29.24 | 29.81 | 30.02 | 52 | +0.78 | Fastest in field | |
| 4 | Munoz Onthe Kop | No previous race form recorded. | — | First-time runner | ||||
| 5 | Five Alley Macy | 29.64 | 29.94 | 29.64 | 49 | 0.00 | Best trap statistically | |
Newcastle's 480m trip is a fair test with a long home straight, but the numbers say it isn't quite as even as its reputation suggests — trap 5 has actually been the best box here at close to 20%, and trap 6 the weakest, so the wide draw carries a small edge tonight even before a dog runs a yard. Five Alley Macy gets that favourable draw and goes fast enough early to be involved from the first bend, but she fades hard once the closers get organised, so she'll need the front to be generous. Malt Sally, drawn on the rails, has already won twice from six goes at this track and trip and should be handy throughout without needing the gaps to open. Alnwick News is the fastest of the lot on the clock and improving with every run — she looks the one best placed to be finishing over the top of them if it's an even pace race.
The fastest dog in the race on the clock and clearly working her way into form — a recent peak of 65 followed a string of races in the 40s, so she's trending the right way. Her trainer has a decent overall strike rate across a big sample of runners, which adds a little confidence. Nothing else in the field matches her for pace on recent times, and she looks the type to be arriving late if the leaders go too hard early.
Won two of her last six starts over this course and distance, and both wins came from this very trap — she knows exactly what's required here. Form of 44, 68, 54, 41, 61, 67 (most recent first) is up and down but the peaks are recent, not ancient history, and she's a genuine finisher who keeps coming back for more. The main danger to the selection if the pace sets up for a strong closer.
Only one run into her book so far, a clear second at this grade last time, so there isn't much of a track record to lean on yet. The clock says she's sharp enough to be competitive, but with a single outing behind her it's a guess rather than a certainty how she copes with a stiffer test. Watch the market for a steer on how she's rated in the yard.
A first-time runner with no form to assess whatsoever — there's simply nothing on the book to judge her by. Debutants can go either way at this level and this one is a total unknown until she's had a run under her.
Won last time out at an easier grade and steps up in class today, so there's a question over whether that form translates. She's sharp away from the traps but has a poor record of holding her position late, and drops away once the pace picks up in behind her — the sort of profile that can look good for two bends and then get swallowed up. The favourable draw in trap 5 is the main thing going for her.
Key insight: Trap 5 edges it as the best box at this grade and trip (19.5% from 354 runs) while trap 6 lags clearly behind (14.8% from 311 runs) — a real if modest bias worth respecting.
T1:19.1% T2:17.0% T3:19.2% T4:18.9% T5:19.5% T6:14.8%
2,231 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Malt Sally | 32 | 89 | Closer |
2Droopys Tutu | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Alnwick News | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Munoz Onthe Kop | — | — | No data |
5Five Alley Macy | 63 | 2 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Malt Sally | 0.621 | — |
| 2 | Droopys Tutu | 0.620 | — |
| 3 | Alnwick News | 0.622 | — |
| 4 | Munoz Onthe Kop | — | — |
| 5 | Five Alley Macy | 0.624 | 0.579 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.