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Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Alnwick Kennyd 2y 44 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 31 (3) | 47 (4) | 28 (3) | 29 (2) | 20 (6) | 41 (6) | 54 (3) | 37 (3) | 50 (1) | 32 (4) | 26 | 25 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 18 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aboxoffrogsb 2y 15 | C L Hardy — 19% R236 W45 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 47 (2) | 43 (2) | 38 (6) | 69 (1) | 45 (5) | 22 (5) | 23 (4) | 21 (6) | 41 (2) | 40 (5) | 29 | 27 | - | - | 40 | 28 | 3 | 13/8 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Babs Brandyb 4y 44 | J Walton — 10% R58 W6 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 23 (5) | 54 (3) | 27 (5) | 26 (6) | 46 (5) | 33 (6) | 35 (4) | 31 (2) | 41 (2) | - | 25 | 33 | - | - | 36 | 17 | 4 | 18/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lasting Dreamd 1y | S Roberts — 16% R178 W29 P98 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 14 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | 10 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Alnwick Tinab 2y 27 | A Harrison — 22% R543 W118 P320 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 38 (3) | 29 (6) | 50 (1) | 34 (1) | 31 (6) | 49 (1) | 20 (6) | 24 (4) | 28 (3) | 24 (5) | 9 | 21 | 14 | 21 | 26 | 16 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alnwick Kenny | 17.65 | 17.87 | 17.65 | 53 | 0.00 | Closer at a sprint | |
| 3 | Aboxoffrogs | 17.65 | 17.82 | 17.96 | 49 | +0.31 | Worst trap here | |
| 4 | Babs Brandy | 18.22 | 18.22 | 18.22 | 29 | 0.00 | Best trap here | |
| 5 | Lasting Dream | — | — | — | — | — | Well held last time | |
| 6 | Alnwick Tina | 17.54 | 17.70 | 17.81 | 56 | +0.27 | Best early pace + speed |
This is a sprint over 290m, a trip where early pace and a sharp getaway decide far more than anything to do with suitability scores or closing gears — there simply isn't the room or the time for a dog to come from behind. The sample at this exact grade and trip is on the small side, but trap 4 has produced the most winners while trap 3 has been the poorest performer, so the draw carries some weight. Alnwick Tina is the fastest of these six on the clock and also has the sharpest early pace in the field, which at this distance is close to everything — she should be up with the pace from the first few strides and hard to peg back from there.
The fastest dog in this field on recent times and has the sharpest early pace of the six too — at a 290m sprint, that combination is close to everything that matters. She does tend to lose a little ground in the closing stages, but over such a short trip there isn't much race left for that to matter once she's built a lead. Her trainer has a solid overall record to add to the case.
Finishes off races well from off the pace, which is a tougher ask over this short trip where there's little time to make up ground. Her trainer has a decent overall record, and her recent form has settled around the high 20s to low 40s — not spectacular but competitive enough at this level. The most likely of the closing types to still be involved if the pace up front isn't too hot.
Another who does her best work from behind, which is the wrong profile for a 290m sprint where the race is often over before the closers can get going. Drawn in trap 3, statistically the weakest box at this exact grade and trip — a double concern. Form has been modest without a real standout run to point to.
Quick away from the traps and tends to lead, which is exactly the sort of running style that wins sprints, and she's drawn in trap 4, the best-performing box at this grade and trip. The concern is the clock — her recorded times are the slowest in this field by some way, so the pace profile and the draw are doing a lot of the work to make her interesting.
Only one recent run to assess, finishing last at a tougher grade, so there's very little evidence to build a case on. Nothing in the limited data suggests she's competitive against this field, and she'll need to find plenty of improvement to figure in the finish.
Key insight: A small sample at this exact combination, but trap 4 stands out as the best box (24.5%) while trap 3 has been poor (11.8%). The blended top pick has actually underperformed here (14.6%) — early pace and raw speed are a better guide at this sprint trip.
T1:17.7% T2:13.7% T3:11.8% T4:24.5% T5:15.9% T6:22.5%
295 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 290m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 290m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (290m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Alnwick Kenny | 0.616 | 0.641 |
| 3 | Aboxoffrogs | 0.615 | 0.636 |
| 4 | Babs Brandy | 0.628 | 0.641 |
| 5 | Lasting Dream | — | 0.653 |
| 6 | Alnwick Tina | 0.610 | 0.636 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.