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The Tim Fenwick/Peewee Herman/Gimpy McGee last days of Rome race
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Fine By Meb 3yREP 24 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 45 | 53 (4) | 63 (3) | 73 (2) | 55 (5) | 56 (5) | 67 (4) | 68 (3) | 82 (1) | 81 (1) | 69 (2) | 39 | 35 | 41 | 28 | 64 | 44 | 4 | 15/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Szoboszlaib 1yREP 22 | J T Edgar — 17% R536 W89 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 42 | 77 (1) | 49 (5) | 63 (3) | 56 (4) | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 56 (3) | 72 (1) | 55 (2) | 42 (5) | 40 | 28 | - | 37 | 61 | 42 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Opera Boyd 3yREP 25 | P Lithgow — 11% R9 W1 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 35 | 51 (5) | 65 (3) | 65 (3) | 59 (5) | 59 (3) | 85 (1) | 66 (2) | 60 (3) | 70 (2) | 71 (4) | 51 | 35 | - | 20 | 63 | 34 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Solway Leod 1yREP 33 | D Little — 21% R121 W25 P71 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 57 | 36 (6) | 78 (1) | 29 (3) | 26 (6) | 49 (5) | 70 (1) | 57 (2) | 42 (5) | 45 (4) | 65 (1) | 27 | 31 | - | 42 | 55 | 37 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Chasing Aineb 2yREP 8 | P Rutherford — 18% R331 W59 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 50 (5) | 69 (3) | 61 (3) | 64 (2) | 59 (4) | 60 (5) | 82 (1) | 77 (1) | 68 (2) | 69 (1) | 42 | 48 | 17 | 34 | 63 | 53 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fine By Me | 29.05 | 29.33 | 29.87 | 45 | +0.82 | Strong trainer form | |
| 2 | Szoboszlai | 29.07 | 29.48 | 29.23 | 52 | +0.16 | Won last time | |
| 3 | Opera Boy | 28.93 | 29.25 | 29.45 | 55 | +0.52 | Fastest in field | |
| 4 | Solway Leo | 29.15 | 29.51 | 30.10 | 37 | +0.95 | Well beaten last time | |
| 5 | Chasing Aine | 29.10 | 29.33 | 29.53 | 49 | +0.43 | Strong trainer form |
This A3 grade race is run over Newcastle's fair 480m trip, where the long home straight generally lets a strong finisher get there — the raw numbers back that up, with the clock mattering far more than the draw at this course and grade. Opera Boy and Szoboszlai both do their best work from off the pace, and with Solway Leo and Chasing Aine both going fast early and likely to soften each other up, there should be plenty for the closers to run at. On the clock, Opera Boy is comfortably the fastest of these six and has the best finishing speed in the field too — everything points to her being the one doing the passing in the closing stages.
The fastest dog in this field by a clear margin on recent times, and she backs that up with one of the best closing speed figures around — she's the type who keeps finding more in the final furlong rather than flattening out. Recent form has settled in the low-to-mid 60s after a bumpy patch, and at this track's long straight that finishing gear is exactly what's needed. A sound, if unspectacular, box draw in trap 3, one of the better boxes at this trip.
Carries the best average form in this field and her trainer is among the strongest at the track, winning close to a third of the time from a decent sample. She's a touch short of the very fastest on the clock but makes up for it with genuine consistency — form of 53, 63, 74, 55, 56, 67 shows she rarely runs a bad race. The main danger to the selection if pace holds up for the closers.
Won last time out at a slightly higher grade and comes here with obvious claims on that evidence — form of 77, 49, 63, 56, 53, 75 shows the class is there even if it isn't always on the surface. A confirmed closer who does her best work in the final stages, which suits a track where the home straight gives finishers time to arrive. Trap 2 hasn't been the kindest box at this trip.
Fast away from the traps but fades quickly once the race develops, and was well beaten last time out finishing last. The slowest recorded time in this field is a concern against a strong field of finishers, and she'll likely be doing the early work for others to pick up the pieces behind her.
Fast into her stride but has a tendency to lose ground late, and drawn in trap 5, statistically the weakest box at this grade and trip. Her trainer is enjoying a strong spell, winning close to a third of runners, which keeps her interesting, but the running style and the draw are both working against her tonight.
Key insight: The top-rated dog on the blended model only wins 17.7% of the time at this grade and trip — well below the track's usual level — while the fastest dog in the field wins 23.5%. Speed is clearly the number to trust here, not the composite.
T1:21.2% T2:16.4% T3:21.2% T4:20.8% T5:15.1% T6:15.2%
1,959 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Fine By Me | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Szoboszlai | 38 | 75 | Closer |
3Opera Boy | 38 | 89 | Closer |
4Solway Leo | 62 | 6 | Fader |
5Chasing Aine | 59 | 23 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fine By Me | — | 0.611 | — |
| 2 | Szoboszlai | — | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Opera Boy | — | 0.609 | — |
| 4 | Solway Leo | 0.605 | 0.615 | 0.563 |
| 5 | Chasing Aine | — | 0.611 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.