Welcome to Star Pelaw Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Franklins Paceb 4y 32 | C M Dibb — 13% R323 W41 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 58 (5) | 53 (2) | 23 (2) | 54 (3) | 26 (2) | 54 (2) | 27 (2) | 59 (3) | 21 (2) | - | 31 | 18 | 25 | 50 | 56 | 40 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rocking Skyeb 2y 2 | C M Dibb — 13% R323 W41 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 15 (5) | 49 (5) | 46 (4) | 61 (2) | 65 (1) | 24 (3) | 20 (4) | 25 (3) | 18 (5) | 24 (3) | 35 | 20 | 15 | 25 | 54 | 43 | 2 | 25/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dairyland Shanb 1y 13 | N Chapman — 25% R71 W18 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | 50 | 42 (3) | 50 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 46 | 22 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mcdara Bellab 1y 10 | G A Foot — 23% R262 W60 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 54 | 62 (2) | 60 (2) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 33 | 51 | 30 | 50 | 62 | 55 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rolo Twirlb 2y 5 | C M Dibb — 13% R323 W41 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 62 | 62 (3) | 36 (6) | 36 (1) | 43 (6) | 34 (5) | 47 (5) | 50 (6) | 49 (5) | 38 (5) | 47 (5) | 30 | 28 | 21 | 13 | 46 | 44 | 5 | 8/11F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ That Soundb 4y 34 | N Chapman — 25% R71 W18 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 44 | 40 (5) | 43 (6) | 48 (5) | 52 (6) | 52 (3) | 66 (2) | 22 (4) | 47 (3) | 16 (6) | 48 (4) | 18 | 9 | - | 6 | 48 | 25 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklins Pace | 26.73 | 26.90 | 26.73 | 51 | 0.00 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 2 | Rocking Skye | 26.61 | 26.80 | 26.98 | 52 | +0.37 | Dropped form | |
| 3 | Dairyland Shan | 27.02 | 27.24 | 27.46 | 29 | +0.44 | Limited form | |
| 4 | Mcdara Bella | 26.58 | 26.73 | 26.58 | 59 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Rolo Twirl | 26.64 | 26.94 | 26.64 | 53 | 0.00 | Fader profile | |
| 6 | That Sound | 26.68 | 27.09 | 27.57 | 36 | +0.89 | Inconsistent |
Star Pelaw's 435m trip rewards dogs that get across into the first two at the opening bend - this is a tight circuit with the highest rate of all-the-way winners in the country, and trap 1 is the standout box in A6 company here, winning almost 27% of races from this grade. Trap 3 is the one to worry about least - a poor 12% strike rate confirms the inside bias runs deep even mid-pack. Mcdara Bella races from trap 4 tonight but has been the standout on raw pace and recent form, clocking the fastest times in the field by a clear margin; Franklins Pace, drawn in the prized trap 1, will look to use the rail early and make the leaders work to get past him. Expect the inside runners to dictate a workmanlike gallop.
The form here reads 62, 60, 64 across her last three starts - clearly the best and most consistent dog in this field, and she's also the fastest on the clock by a comfortable margin. Runner-up in each of her last two at this exact grade and trip, and won emphatically the time before that. Course and distance record is excellent too - a win and two more places from three runs here. Trap 4 isn't the very best draw at Star Pelaw but it's far from a bad one, and with this much of an edge on raw ability and speed, the pick.
Drawn in trap 1, which is comfortably the best box in this grade at Star Pelaw - almost 27% of A6 races here go to the inside runner. Placed in five of his last six starts without quite getting his head in front, finishing 5th last time out at this grade and trip after a string of seconds. Reliably competitive, and the rail draw gives him every chance to be involved again, but he needs to find that little bit extra to turn placed form into a win.
Won at this course and distance back in May and has shown ability at this level, but the form has gone the wrong way since - fifth last time out at the minor D4 grade having dropped in class. Trap 2 offers no strong bias either way at this track. On his best form from two months ago he'd be competitive, but there is nothing recent to suggest he is anywhere near that level right now.
Only two starts to his name so far, both at this grade and track, finishing third both times. Too early to read much into such a small sample, and he now faces the worst draw in the race - trap 3 has managed just a 12% strike rate in A6 company here, the clear dead box. The slowest of the six on the clock as things stand.
Fast away but tends to lose ground in the closing stages, and the form has been in the 30s and 40s for most of the last six runs before a much-improved 3rd last time out. That recent run is worth noting - it shows she still has more to offer - but eight course and distance runs here without a win is a poor record at this specific venue and trip.
Quick to begin but fades in the closing stages, and the pace figures have been erratic rather than reliable. Form has drifted from the low 50s down to 40 over the last six runs, and the slowest recorded time of the six tonight does not inspire confidence. Trainer Chapman does have a healthy overall win rate, but this looks the weaker of her two runners in the race.
Key insight: Trap 1 is comfortably the best box in A6 grade at Star Pelaw over 435m (26.8% from 82 runs), while trap 3 is a near dead draw at just 12.0% from 100 runs. The top-rated dog wins nearly a third of the time in this grade - one of the more reliable composite readings at this track.
T1:26.8% T2:20.2% T3:12.0% T4:22.3% T5:18.5% T6:21.2%
542 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Franklins Pace | 43 | 65 | Closer |
2Rocking Skye | 44 | 67 | Closer |
3Dairyland Shan | 47 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Mcdara Bella | 53 | 56 | Closer |
5Rolo Twirl | 56 | 44 | Fader |
6That Sound | 60 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 435m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (435m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 280m | 305m | 435m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklins Pace | 0.624 | — | — | 0.618 | — |
| 2 | Rocking Skye | 0.635 | — | — | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Dairyland Shan | — | — | — | 0.626 | — |
| 4 | Mcdara Bella | — | — | — | 0.614 | — |
| 5 | Rolo Twirl | 0.611 | 0.598 | — | 0.619 | — |
| 6 | That Sound | — | — | 0.621 | 0.623 | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.