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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tally Ho Swiftd 3y 19 | N Chapman — 25% R71 W18 P42 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 43 | 67 (3) | 86 (1) | 76 (2) | 57 (5) | 75 (3) | 87 (2) | 74 (3) | 91 (1) | 59 (5) | 65 (4) | 41 | 35 | 27 | 35 | 74 | 42 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Moanteen Puddingb 2y 25 | G A Foot — 23% R262 W60 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 53 | 46 (5) | 92 (1) | 90 (1) | 93 (1) | 77 (2) | 93 (1) | 54 (5) | 70 (2) | 69 (4) | 24 (5) | 63 | 66 | 44 | 65 | 76 | 56 | 1 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Smell The Bucksb 3y 25 | G A Foot — 23% R262 W60 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 48 | 72 (2) | 53 (5) | 58 (5) | 93 (1) | 62 (4) | 62 (4) | 67 (2) | 89 (1) | 43 (1) | 73 (3) | 31 | 40 | 17 | 32 | 68 | 44 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lagile Octoberd 3y 17 | J K Storrie — 15% R13 W2 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 52 | 87 (1) | 74 (2) | 68 (3) | 68 (2) | 82 (1) | 45 (5) | 50 (5) | 54 (5) | 59 (3) | 74 (2) | 31 | 24 | 10 | 41 | 70 | 43 | 2 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ King Pauld 2y 26 | G Walker — 21% R62 W13 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 41 | 52 (5) | 72 (2) | 53 (5) | 68 (3) | 87 (1) | 48 (5) | 61 (4) | 69 (3) | 78 (1) | 58 (3) | 30 | 38 | 10 | 25 | 63 | 34 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tally Ho Swift | 26.08 | 26.35 | 26.29 | 48 | +0.21 | Consistent placer | |
| 3 | Moanteen Pudding | 25.74 | 26.13 | 26.31 | 57 | +0.57 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Smell The Bucks | 25.75 | 26.32 | 26.16 | 56 | +0.41 | Tested at tougher grade | |
| 5 | Lagile October | 25.94 | 26.38 | 25.94 | 55 | 0.00 | Won last time at lower grade | |
| 6 | King Paul | 25.97 | 26.40 | 26.66 | 43 | +0.69 | Weakest trap |
The final race of the night is A2 grade over 435m, and here it's trap 3 and trap 4 that share top billing at Star Pelaw, both winning around a quarter of races, while trap 6 is a near-dead draw at under 9%. Moanteen Pudding ticks every box tonight - the best draw, the fastest recorded time, and by far the strongest recent form, with four wins from her last six starts. Smell The Bucks, drawn in the other strong box, arrives having tested himself at the tougher A1 level and looks the biggest threat if the favourite has an off night.
Four wins from her last six starts, including victories at this exact grade and the tougher Open level, with ratings regularly in the low-to-mid 90s. Also the fastest dog in the field on the clock. Gets the best draw in the race too - trap 3 shares top billing in A2 grade here at over 25%. Her course and distance record is outstanding: four wins and six places from eight runs. The one blemish is a below-par run last time out over a longer 480m trip, but that looks more about the unfamiliar distance than a loss of form. Every major factor - form, speed and draw - points the same way.
Has been testing himself at the tougher A1 grade in his last two starts, finishing runner-up last time out with a 72-rated effort - solid form against stronger opposition. Drops back to A2 tonight and gets the other strong draw in the field, trap 4 sharing top billing at this grade. Nine course and distance runs have brought two wins and four places, including a big 93-rated win at this exact grade a few weeks back.
A reliable if unspectacular presence in this grade, with ten course and distance runs producing two wins and four places. Won at the easier A3 grade two runs back before stepping up. Trap 1 is a below-average draw in A2 company here, and the recent form of 67, 86, 76 doesn't quite match the pace-setters in this field.
Won last time out at the easier A3 grade with a strong 87-rated performance, and has been competitive at that level throughout recent form. Ten course and distance runs at this trip have brought two wins and five places, a solid overall record. Trap 5 is a below-average draw in this grade, which will make stepping up to A2 company a tougher ask.
Drawn in trap 6, which has been close to a dead box in A2 grade at Star Pelaw, winning under 9% of races. Form has been moderate, finishing fifth last time out, with the slowest recorded time of anyone in this field. A big performance would be needed to overcome both the modest form and the difficult draw.
Key insight: Traps 3 and 4 share the strongest draws in A2 grade here at around 25% each, while trap 6 is close to a dead draw at just 8.7% - among the most one-sided trap splits on the whole card. The top-rated dog's win rate is modest at 22%, so the trap and form signals both carry real weight tonight.
T1:16.7% T2:17.2% T3:25.4% T4:25.3% T5:13.0% T6:8.7%
388 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tally Ho Swift | 42 | 64 | Closer |
3Moanteen Pudding | 72 | 0 | Fader |
4Smell The Bucks | 54 | 45 | All-Rounder |
5Lagile October | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6King Paul | 47 | 52 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 435m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (435m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 435m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tally Ho Swift | — | 0.606 | — |
| 3 | Moanteen Pudding | 0.627 | 0.601 | 0.615 |
| 4 | Smell The Bucks | 0.595 | 0.605 | — |
| 5 | Lagile October | — | 0.606 | — |
| 6 | King Paul | — | 0.607 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.