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Star Sports Stayers Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rapido Bennyd 2y 36 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 59 | 100 (1) | 61 (5) | 64 (3) | 66 (3) | 96 (1) | 91 (1) | 79 (2) | 71 (2) | 69 (3) | 61 (4) | 40 | 30 | 41 | 30 | 77 | 49 | 2 | 4/11F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hello Me Mand 3y 22 | D Alcorn — 17% R65 W11 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 8 | 54 (4) | 63 (2) | 57 (3) | 99 (1) | 75 (5) | 83 (3) | 72 (4) | 61 (4) | 59 (3) | 66 (2) | 19 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 68 | 39 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Nicothebumblebeed 2y 24 | G Ralton — 23% R13 W3 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 24 | 10 | 68 (5) | 100 (1) | 84 (2) | 74 (4) | 75 (4) | 65 (4) | 60 (6) | 64 (4) | 69 (5) | 62 (5) | 26 | 23 | 16 | 23 | 75 | 36 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Yawnb 3y 19 | C Ingham — 31% R16 W5 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 58 | 45 (6) | 93 (2) | 100 (1) | 99 (2) | 68 (6) | 94 (2) | 100 (1) | 57 (2) | 59 (3) | 100 (1) | 38 | 68 | 70 | 53 | 80 | 59 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Imonlytwinkb 3y 25 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 67 | 82 (5) | 96 (2) | 80 (2) | 57 (1) | 69 (3) | 54 (4) | 51 (3) | 84 (5) | - | - | 39 | 30 | 12 | 30 | 75 | 51 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapido Benny | 36.73 | 36.73 | 36.73 | 52 | 0.00 | Won last time | |
| 2 | Hello Me Man | 36.76 | 37.08 | 37.25 | 36 | +0.49 | Stepping up in trip | |
| 3 | Nicothebumblebee | 36.96 | 37.41 | 37.40 | 24 | +0.44 | Good trap, modest speed | |
| 4 | Swift Yawn | 36.48 | 36.63 | 36.59 | 60 | +0.11 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Imonlytwink | 36.65 | 36.81 | 36.65 | 52 | 0.00 | Best trap, 0 wins C&D |
Star Pelaw's 590m staying trip is usually one of the most one-sided distances in UK racing for trap bias, but in Open company specifically it's trap 6 and trap 3 that have been the standout boxes this season rather than the traditional trap 1 - trap 6 wins nearly 28% of races at this level, with trap 4 the weakest at just over 15%. Swift Yawn is drawn in that weaker box tonight but has been putting up some of the biggest performance figures on the card, regularly touching the high 90s. Rapido Benny, fresh from a win last time out at this exact trip, looks his biggest threat. Expect the stronger stayers to assert themselves as the race unwinds.
The standout on raw ability - four of his last six runs have been rated 93 or higher, including a win, and he's also the fastest dog in this field on the clock. Trainer Ingham has the best win rate of any connection in the race at 35%. His course and distance record backs it up too, with two wins and three places from five runs. The one query is a below-par last run over a longer 640m trip, but that looks more about the unfamiliar distance than a loss of form. The trap here is the weakest in this grade, which does take some shine off an otherwise outstanding profile, but the size of his edge on raw ability is hard to ignore.
Won last time out at this exact course, distance and grade with a career-best 100-rated performance, and the underlying form has been consistently strong - four of his last six runs have been rated 61 or higher, including two wins. Trap 1 is only a middling draw in this specific grade rather than the powerhouse it usually is at Star Pelaw, but the form is good enough to matter regardless of the draw.
Has mostly been racing over the shorter 435m trip lately, finishing midfield in A4 and A5 company, and steps back up to this longer 590m distance tonight. He has raced here before with mixed results - a win among the runs but also a couple of below-par efforts. The step up in trip adds a layer of uncertainty to an otherwise moderate profile.
Drawn in a solid box - trap 3 has been the second-best draw in this grade at Star Pelaw over 590m. The form has been up and down, with a big 100-rated win three runs back but a more modest fifth last time out. A strong finisher who benefits from a truly run race, but his times on the clock are the slowest of this line-up, so he'll need the pace up front to be genuine.
Gets the best draw in the field tonight - trap 6 has been the strongest box in this grade over 590m. The form is respectable rather than spectacular, with a big 96-rated run two starts back but nothing at this course and distance to fall back on, having failed to win in two attempts here. Fast into stride but tends to weaken late, which could be an issue over the longer trip if pressed.
Key insight: Trap 6 has been the strongest box in Open company over 590m at Star Pelaw this season, at 27.8% from 54 runs, with trap 4 the weakest at 15.1%. This is a reversal of the track's usual heavy inside bias, seen only in this specific grade at this trip. The top-rated dog wins nearly 31% of the time - a reliable signal at this level.
T1:18.5% T2:19.6% T3:25.0% T4:15.1% T5:23.3% T6:27.8%
319 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 590m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Rapido Benny | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Hello Me Man | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Nicothebumblebee | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Swift Yawn | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Imonlytwink | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 590m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (590m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 261m | 435m | 480m | 500m | 590m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rapido Benny | — | — | 0.607 | 0.589 | 0.623 | — |
| 2 | Hello Me Man | — | 0.610 | — | — | 0.628 | — |
| 3 | Nicothebumblebee | 0.623 | 0.611 | — | — | 0.634 | — |
| 4 | Swift Yawn | — | — | — | — | 0.621 | 0.628 |
| 6 | Imonlytwink | — | — | — | 0.602 | 0.624 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.