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Star Sports 435m Standard Div N
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Up To Mischiefd 3y 26 | G Walker — 21% R62 W13 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 43 | 93 (1) | 89 (1) | 68 (2) | 83 (1) | 36 (4) | 31 (4) | 84 (1) | 72 (2) | 68 (2) | 62 (5) | 69 | 37 | 37 | 68 | 80 | 53 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ This Approachd 2y 25 | R J Holloway — 17% R288 W50 P141 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 91 | 100 | 93 (1) | 56 (4) | 92 (1) | 95 (1) | 59 (5) | 94 (1) | 44 (5) | 51 (4) | 64 (5) | 78 (4) | 3 | - | 56 | - | 76 | 53 | 1 | 4/9F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Jaydee Babyd 3y 24 | D Wilkinson — 32% R37 W12 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 59 | 72 (4) | 64 (4) | 60 (4) | 66 (5) | 75 (3) | 95 (1) | 87 (2) | 95 (1) | 90 (1) | 50 (6) | 29 | 23 | 8 | 31 | 73 | 39 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Moonveen Jemimab 2y 15 | D Alcorn — 17% R65 W11 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 44 | 66 (4) | 80 (3) | 76 (3) | 62 (4) | 65 (4) | 74 (2) | 98 (1) | 67 (5) | 88 (1) | 60 (4) | 46 | 15 | 27 | 22 | 73 | 40 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ St Edmunds Dand 2y 15 | P B Philpott — 18% R129 W23 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 25 (3) | 26 (4) | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 22 (4) | 20 (6) | 23 (4) | 27 (3) | 24 (3) | 27 (2) | 45 | - | - | - | 25 | 46 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mary Geeb 2y 17 | G A Foot — 23% R262 W60 P156 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 45 | 70 (2) | 96 (6) | 73 (1) | 66 (3) | 91 (3) | 71 (5) | 68 (1) | 49 (2) | - | - | 31 | 26 | 20 | 39 | 75 | 38 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Up To Mischief | 25.81 | 26.18 | 25.81 | 57 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | This Approach | All recent form at 500m - no course and distance experience at 435m here. | — | Stepping down in trip | ||||
| 3 | Jaydee Baby | 25.87 | 26.12 | 26.28 | 50 | +0.41 | Strong trainer form | |
| 4 | Moonveen Jemima | 25.67 | 26.26 | 26.35 | 49 | +0.68 | Consistent placer | |
| 5 | St Edmunds Dan | Recent form all at much lower D-grade over the shorter 270m sprint. | — | Big step up in grade | ||||
| 6 | Mary Gee | 25.87 | 26.42 | 26.29 | 44 | +0.42 | Volatile form | |
Back to the standard 435m trip at Star Pelaw, where trap 1 remains the strongest box in Open company, winning over a quarter of races here. This Approach doesn't have that draw, but the raw pace on show is exceptional - comfortably the fastest recorded times in the field, built on four wins from his last six starts. Those wins came at the longer 500m trip rather than tonight's shorter test, which is the one query, but speed of that order tends to transfer. Up To Mischief, drawn in the favoured trap 1 with a flawless course and distance record, looks the more rounded package and the closest thing to a sure thing if the pace merchant fails to settle in at the shorter trip.
The times here are exceptional - comfortably the fastest recorded speed in the field, with four wins from his last six starts rated in the low-to-mid 90s. Every one of those wins came at the longer 500m trip rather than tonight's 435m, so there is a genuine question over how the speed translates to the shorter test, and trap 2 has been one of the weaker draws in Open company here. But speed this far clear of the rest of the field is hard to oppose, and dogs with this level of pace typically have more than enough in reserve to cope with a shorter trip.
Won his last two starts at A2 grade with strong 93 and 89-rated performances, and steps up to Open company on the back of that. Gets the best draw in the field - trap 1 has been the standout box at this level - and his course and distance record could hardly be better: three wins and six places from six runs at this exact combination, meaning he's never finished out of the frame here. The most complete and proven profile at tonight's actual trip.
Trainer Wilkinson has the best win rate of any connection in this race at 30%, and the course and distance record backs it up - three wins and four places from nine runs here. Recent form has been solid without being spectacular, finishing fourth in his last two starts at the top level. A fair each-way type who could easily figure in the finish.
A model of consistency, rarely finishing out of the first four across her last six starts, with the odd big effort mixed in - an 80-rated run three back at the tougher A1 grade shows there's a decent gear when needed. Ten course and distance runs have brought two wins and three places, a fair record. Trap 4 is a below-average draw at this level, which will make it harder for her patient running style to get into contention.
A significant step up in grade tonight - all of his recent form has come at the much lower D-grade level over a shorter 270m sprint, with modest ratings in the low-to-mid 20s. Nothing in his recent profile suggests he can live with Open-standard opposition over this longer trip. A big ask on what he's shown so far.
Form has been up and down - a big 96-rated effort two runs back followed by a well-below-par sixth, then a solid runner-up finish last time out. Ten course and distance runs have produced two wins and four places, a reasonable overall record. Trap 6 has actually been the second-best draw in this grade, which gives her a fighting chance if she brings her better form.
Key insight: Trap 1 remains the strongest box in Open company at Star Pelaw over 435m, winning 25.5% from 165 runs. The top-rated dog wins nearly 31% of the time at this level, one of the more reliable readings on the card.
T1:25.5% T2:15.9% T3:18.5% T4:17.0% T5:14.7% T6:22.7%
1,008 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Up To Mischief | 50 | 47 | All-Rounder |
2This Approach | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Jaydee Baby | 57 | 58 | All-Rounder |
4Moonveen Jemima | 41 | 75 | Closer |
5St Edmunds Dan | — | — | No data |
6Mary Gee | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 435m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (435m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 270m | 275m | 435m | 450m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Up To Mischief | 0.612 | — | — | 0.602 | 0.617 | — | — |
| 2 | This Approach | — | — | — | — | — | 0.585 | 0.550 |
| 3 | Jaydee Baby | — | — | 0.647 | 0.600 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Moonveen Jemima | — | — | — | 0.604 | — | — | — |
| 5 | St Edmunds Dan | — | 0.614 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Mary Gee | — | — | — | 0.607 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.