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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Captainannieb 4yN/R 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 20 (3) | 23 (2) | 13 (6) | 15 (4) | 18 (3) | 12 (6) | 11 (5) | 25 (2) | 15 (5) | 20 (3) | 20 | 14 | - | 7 | 17 | 16 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Quivers Questb 2y 8 | J A Danahar — 18% R312 W55 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 32 | 84 (1) | 61 (3) | 72 (2) | 73 (3) | 66 (2) | 75 (2) | 61 (4) | 75 (2) | 73 (2) | 84 (1) | 63 | 40 | 11 | 40 | 71 | 62 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Epic Evelynb 3y 11 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 58 | 92 (1) | 74 (2) | 69 (2) | 61 (3) | 70 (2) | 89 (1) | 49 (6) | 91 (1) | 68 (2) | 94 (1) | 51 | 76 | 63 | 68 | 79 | 71 | 1 | 1/2F | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Tiktokd 2y 8 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 60 | 57 (4) | 72 (2) | 77 (1) | 69 (3) | 46 (5) | 20 (2) | 38 (5) | 60 (3) | 54 (5) | 76 (2) | 34 | 34 | 32 | 33 | 66 | 52 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Hawkfield Faithb 4y 23 | D S Davy — 22% R417 W91 P260 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 47 | 33 (2) | 30 (5) | 42 (1) | 32 (3) | 35 (2) | 29 (5) | 54 (5) | 57 (4) | 32 (4) | 32 (4) | 47 | 34 | 45 | 42 | 45 | 44 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Affleck Salsabilb 2y 16 | C Darch — 22% R381 W85 P215 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 46 | 66 (3) | 64 (3) | 60 (4) | 27 (4) | 38 (1) | 26 (4) | 58 (3) | 82 (1) | 27 (4) | 64 (3) | 61 | 31 | 30 | 39 | 57 | 53 | 3 | 7/2 | |
Epic Evelyn is the class standout with performance 79—8 points above Quivers Quest (71) and 13 points above Hawkfield Tiktok (66). This is genuine convergence of form and structure: h3Score 82.01 is the field's highest, she's drawn in T3 (neutral 18.56%, 167 runs), and backed by D S Davy (20%, awareness tier). At Valley 460m, an 8-point class advantage in elite A2 racing is significant—she doesn't need structural perfection to dominate. Drawn in neutral T3 rather than dominant T1 (Captainannie is there with 17 perf—wasted draw), but the form advantage overrides the neutral trap. PredictedPosition 1 makes perfect sense: she's the best form by distance, competitive on trap, and has trainer backing.
Quivers Quest is DANGER with confidence: he's the obvious second-choice with strong form (71), strong h3Score (80.81), and neutral trap (T2 18.44%). Model rank 2 is appropriate given the 8-point form gap to Epic Evelyn. If the pick has any weakness (pace/bend issue unsuitable to Valley), Quivers Quest is the likely beneficiary. At odds shorter than 2.5, he offers poor value; longer odds reflect genuine contention.
Affleck Salsabil is unlikely to trouble the top two. Third-level form (57 vs 79), neutral trap, and moderate trainer make her a marginal contender. Avoid unless odds suggest outlier value.
Hawkfield Tiktok is unlikely to feature. Dead trap (16.78%), 13-point form deficit to pick, and rank 4 prediction suggest marginal contention. Avoid.
Hawkfield Faith is unlikely to figure. 34-point form deficit to the pick, below-average A2 performance (45), and rank 5 prediction all suggest marginal contention. Avoid.
Captainannie can be confidently opposed. Performance 17 in an elite A2 race is a fundamental mismatch that no trap advantage overcomes. Even the dominant T1 at 25.97% cannot elevate a dog with 62-point form gap. This appears to be a class error—she doesn't belong in A2 elite. Avoid completely.
Valley 460m A2 shows T1 as exceptionally dominant at 25.97%—9pp above expected baseline—but the pick (T3) is neutral-to-slight-plus with the highest form (79 perf). Elite A2 races show strong performance separation (R1 28.00% vs R3 15.47%—12.53pp gap), meaning ratings matter tremendously. The pick's class edge (79 perf) is more powerful than trap bias when the form gap is this large. Favourite wins ~35% at this grade historically.
T1:25.97% DOMINANT (154 runs) | T5:19.08% (173 runs) | T3:18.56% (167 runs) | T2:18.44% (179 runs) | T6:18.01% (161 runs) | T4:16.78% (149 runs)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 460m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Captainannie | — | — | No data |
2Quivers Quest | 28 | 95 | Closer |
3Epic Evelyn | 55 | 50 | Front Runner |
4Hawkfield Tiktok | 54 | 34 | All-Rounder |
5Hawkfield Faith | 50 | 32 | All-Rounder |
6Affleck Salsabil | 47 | 54 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.