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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Comer Samantab 3y 3 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 17 (5) | 15 (6) | 25 (1) | 16 (4) | 14 (5) | 23 (2) | 18 (3) | 15 (6) | 13 (6) | - | 20 | 23 | - | 25 | 26 | 24 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Burkos Bonnieb 3y 24 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 21 (4) | 17 (6) | 23 (4) | 28 (1) | 27 (1) | 22 (3) | 16 (6) | 18 (3) | 20 (3) | 14 (5) | 63 | 34 | 37 | 36 | 34 | 41 | 1 | 5/6F | |
| 3 | ▶ Tobergal Deniseb 3y 14 | A L Jeffery — 20% R388 W77 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 26 (1) | 22 (2) | 15 (5) | 16 (6) | 24 (2) | 23 (2) | 22 (2) | 20 (4) | 19 (4) | 14 (4) | 16 | 20 | 17 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Hawkfield Jasminb 2y 6 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 25 (2) | 18 (3) | 23 (2) | 21 (2) | 17 (3) | 20 (2) | 18 (2) | 19 (3) | 11 (6) | 28 (1) | 25 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Astro Maryb 3y 5 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 16 (5) | 17 (4) | 15 (5) | 12 (5) | 10 (6) | 10 (6) | 15 (4) | 21 (3) | 16 (4) | 19 (2) | 12 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 41 | 29 | 6 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Wet Morningd 4y 33 | A N J Morgan — 14% R1165 W168 P574 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 14 (6) | 22 (3) | 18 (5) | 28 (4) | 16 (1) | 20 (5) | 11 (4) | 28 (5) | 30 (1) | - | 41 | 32 | - | 32 | 29 | 32 | 2 | 7/2 | |
Burkos Bonnie is the structural and form fit for this 260m sprint. She's a confirmed Fader (early pace 5.7, closing speed 4.4) with speed rating 61—the field's clearest best—and trap suitability 63, confirming she belongs in trap 2 at this venue. Her last race (P56, 2nd place at Valley 260m D6) proves she has the form to lead and hold this grade. The Valley 260m environment is built for her: Faders that lead from the break and hold through the bend are the structural winners here. Weakness: This Fader profile means she'll weaken in the final 40m sprint once compression hits, but every dog weakens at 260m—her advantage is absolute: she gets there first and holds it longest. Trap 2 is neutral at 18.8%, not structurally dominant, but her individual metrics (speed 61, suit 63) so far exceed the field that trap becomes irrelevant. She's the race.
Structural and form problem. Trap 6 (neutral 19.1%) with zero documented early pace makes her a passive runner in a race decided by first 100m. Her speed rating (52) is field-average, and she needs everyone ahead to collapse—impossible given Bonnie's pace. Form P38 is positive but irrelevant if she can't reach the bend in contention.
Below-average performance (29 vs 30.6 field average), no documented pace profile, weak trap suitability (25). In a race decided by early pace, a dog with no documented edge has zero narrative. She's a passenger in Bonnie's race.
Trap 1 dominance (20.09%, 43K runs) is real, but form decline is steeper. Last two runs both 6th place (P35, P31) at identical conditions. Speed 51 below average. Form decay overwhelms trap advantage.
Ratings-form mismatch: low composite (28) vs strong perf (36). Low suitability scores (trap 16, distance 20) suggest running style doesn't suit this environment. Recent form shows bigger numbers elsewhere—she'll underperform here relative to her rating.
Clearest negative: dead trap 17.59% + weakest suitability 12 = double headwind. Perf 41 nominal; speed 40 field-worst. Volatile form (P50→P38→P45→P59). Structural underlay.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 260m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.