| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Loverly Jubleyb 3y 15 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 66 (4) | 60 (3) | 33 (2) | 78 (1) | 53 (4) | 27 (5) | 31 (4) | 71 (2) | 62 (2) | 63 (2) | 36 | 36 | 20 | 43 | 65 | 44 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Clononeen Anab 2yN/R 15 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 58 | 67 (3) | 57 (4) | 26 (5) | 51 (5) | 78 (1) | 60 (2) | 50 (5) | 57 (3) | 44 (4) | - | 18 | 32 | - | 26 | 58 | 41 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Oldtrafford Girlb 2yREP 13 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 34 | 54 (4) | 52 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 5 | - | - | - | 52 | 32 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Unlikely Reggied 2y 16 | V K Thom — 22% R107 W24 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 47 | 65 (3) | 78 (1) | 73 (1) | 70 (1) | 36 (3) | 50 (3) | 52 (4) | 62 (5) | 65 (2) | - | 34 | 23 | - | 37 | 63 | 39 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Muxton Ladyb 2y 37 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 65 | 54 (4) | 62 (3) | 40 (6) | 57 (5) | 72 (3) | 66 (3) | 53 (4) | 89 (1) | 35 (5) | 52 (4) | 17 | 27 | 17 | 13 | 59 | 40 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crypto Only Mateb 2y 17 | S Knights — 20% R144 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 30 | 73 (3) | 66 (2) | 59 (4) | 99 (1) | 68 (5) | 76 (4) | 65 (3) | 50 (4) | - | - | 19 | 21 | 26 | 24 | 70 | 43 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loverly Jubley | 28.27 | 28.44 | 28.53 | 53 | +0.26 | Mixed grade history | |
| 2 | Clononeen Ana | 28.33 | 28.59 | 28.58 | 49 | +0.25 | Modest form | |
| 3 | Lady Danielle | 28.28 | 28.49 | 28.67 | 50 | +0.39 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Unlikely Reggie | 28.39 | 28.71 | 28.60 | 44 | +0.21 | Improving through grades | |
| 5 | Muxton Lady | 27.96 | 28.64 | 28.62 | 52 | +0.66 | Down from A1/A2 | |
| 6 | Crypto Only Mate | 28.26 | 28.42 | 28.33 | 57 | +0.07 | Down from S2/A1, worst trap |
Yarmouth's fair, cambered layout continues to spread the winners around, and today's A3 numbers put trap 3 clearly best at 24% with trap 6 the weakest at 15%. The top-rated dog wins just 21% of these A3 races here, close to the national baseline, so proven course and distance form and a favourable trap carry real weight. Two dogs, Muxton Lady and Crypto Only Mate, arrive with eye-catching figures built at much higher grades, S2 and A1 level, which need discounting against this weaker field. Lady Danielle, by contrast, has an outstanding record at exactly this course, distance and grade, drawn in the best box on the card, and looks the most trustworthy runner in a race full of question marks.
The pick with the strongest all-round case in the race — drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box on today's numbers, and boasting three wins and five places from ten runs at this exact course and distance, comfortably the best proven record in the field. Her form has stayed entirely within the A3 and A4 bands, with no contamination from higher or lower grades, and she finishes strongly from off the pace, which plays perfectly into Yarmouth's long home straight. Trained by a yard with a strong 26% win rate too. This is as clean and well-supported a case as this card offers.
The fastest recorded dog in the field and owner of a huge peak rating of 99, but that figure and much of his recent form comes from S2 and A1 level, a significant step above today's A3 company, so it needs heavy discounting. His course and distance record here is thin, just one place from six runs, and he is drawn in trap 6, the weakest box on the card. If any of that higher-grade class carries over, he is the biggest threat on paper, but this is speculative rather than proven.
A versatile sort whose recent form is a mix of A3, A4 and much easier D2 grades, which makes her true level a little hard to pin down. Third here last time out at today's grade, and her course and distance record shows a win and four places from six runs, a promising ratio from a small sample. Enough to be respected but not the strongest single case in the race.
Similar profile to Loverly Jubley, with recent grades bouncing between A3, A4 and D2 company. Fourth here last time out and her course and distance record is moderate, one win and two places from eight runs. Drawn in trap 2, one of the weaker boxes on today's numbers, which adds to the case against her.
Has climbed steadily through the grades, from A6 up to A3, and matches Lady Danielle's course and distance record with three wins and four places from ten runs. That progression suggests genuine improvement rather than a class drop propping up the figures. His recorded pace here is the slowest in this field, though, which is the one thing standing between him and a stronger case. Trained by the same in-form yard as Lady Danielle.
Drops down from a run of races at A1 and A2 level, tougher company than today's, and her peak rating of 89 is well clear of this field on paper, though it needs discounting given where it was earned. She fires fast early but tends to lose ground late, which is a risk on this long straight. Some class edge on offer but the figures are flattering rather than proven at this level.
Key insight: Trap 3 is comfortably the best box in A3 462m races here at 24.4% from 307 runs, while trap 6 is weakest at 15.0%. The top-rated dog wins 21.3%, close to the UK baseline, meaning proven course and distance form is a valuable tiebreaker at this grade.
T1:20.5% T2:16.0% T3:24.4% T4:17.9% T5:16.3% T6:15.0%
1,676 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Loverly Jubley | 54 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Clononeen Ana | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
3Oldtrafford Girl | 32 | 90 | Closer |
4Unlikely Reggie | 47 | 49 | All-Rounder |
5Muxton Lady | 57 | 32 | Fader |
6Crypto Only Mate | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 462m | 659m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Loverly Jubley | 0.610 | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Oldtrafford Girl | — | 0.623 | — |
| 4 | Unlikely Reggie | — | 0.622 | — |
| 5 | Muxton Lady | — | 0.620 | — |
| 6 | Crypto Only Mate | — | 0.615 | 0.629 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.