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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Murrow Toasterd 5y 16 | R Fitch — 21% R66 W14 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 47 | 52 (3) | 56 (4) | 55 (2) | 53 (2) | 49 (4) | 60 (2) | 56 (4) | 50 (4) | 67 (2) | 57 (2) | 23 | 32 | 26 | 28 | 55 | 50 | 2 | 5/6F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Trip No Botherb 2y 6 | P I Cross — 17% R139 W23 P77 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 43 | 53 (3) | 41 (4) | 59 (1) | 42 (4) | 51 (4) | 48 (2) | 47 (3) | 39 (3) | 44 (4) | - | 21 | 22 | 8 | 24 | 48 | 41 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rules Dont Applyd 1yN/R 4 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 62 | 50 (3) | 34 (5) | 57 (1) | 35 (5) | 52 (1) | 32 (4) | 32 (4) | 25 (4) | 38 (3) | - | 39 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 42 | 41 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Harlequin Essexb 2y 10 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 64 (1) | 49 (2) | 43 (5) | 41 (5) | 46 (4) | 48 (3) | 42 (2) | 65 (2) | 38 (6) | 53 (4) | 34 | 25 | 19 | 20 | 47 | 44 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Harlequin Xenab 3y 5 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 61 (2) | 58 (1) | 43 (4) | 35 (5) | 52 (2) | 41 (4) | 43 (4) | 42 (3) | 64 (5) | - | 19 | 17 | 3 | 25 | 47 | 40 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Isla Bonitab 2y 25 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 32 | 52 | 41 (5) | 31 (5) | 39 (5) | 43 (6) | 45 (5) | 67 (1) | 31 (4) | 41 (6) | 67 (5) | - | 28 | 33 | 34 | 23 | 42 | 27 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murrow Toaster | 28.45 | 28.63 | 28.59 | 64 | +0.14 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Trip No Bother | 28.70 | 28.93 | 28.73 | 52 | +0.03 | Best trap on card | |
| 3 | Rules Dont Apply | 28.80 | 29.27 | 28.80 | 43 | 0.00 | Modest speed | |
| 4 | Harlequin Essex | 28.71 | 29.03 | 28.71 | 50 | 0.00 | 0 wins/10 CD | |
| 5 | Harlequin Xena | 28.67 | 28.97 | 28.80 | 51 | +0.13 | Weakest trap | |
| 6 | Isla Bonita | 28.82 | 29.18 | 29.58 | 32 | +0.76 | Best CD record, out of form |
Yarmouth's fair, cambered layout continues to treat every trap reasonably evenly, and today's A7 numbers put trap 3 best at 25% with trap 5 weakest at 17%. Interestingly, at this grade it is raw speed rather than the composite rating that carries the most weight at this track — the fastest dog in the field wins over 28% of these A7 races here, well clear of the 23% the top-rated dog manages. That points squarely at Murrow Toaster, who is comfortably the quickest recorded dog in this race and a proven finisher who should love the long run to the line, even though he steps up from easier A6 company. Behind him, Isla Bonita has the best course and distance affinity in the field but arrives out of form, while several others are simply holding position at this level.
Comfortably the fastest recorded dog in this field, well clear of the rest on the clock, and speed is the number one signal at this grade and track. He finishes strongly off the pace, which is exactly what Yarmouth's long home straight rewards, and he has placed in half of his ten runs over this exact course and distance, though he has yet to actually win here. He does step up from easier A6 company today, so there is a genuine class test, but the size of his speed advantage makes him hard to leave out.
Already racing at this level, with his last two runs both at A7, and finished third last time out. Drawn in trap 2, the second-best box on today's numbers, and finishes his races strongly. His course and distance record is modest, one win and two places from ten runs, and his recorded pace sits some way behind the selection, but he is proven at exactly this grade and could easily play a role in the finish.
Drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box on today's numbers, and has two wins and two places from nine runs at this course and distance. His overall form has been modest and inconsistent, with a rating in the low-to-mid 40s recently, and his recorded speed lags well behind the pace-setters in this field. The trap is a genuine positive but there is little else to get excited about.
Finished second last time out at this exact grade with a rating of 49, showing he is competitive here. His running style, fast away but fading late, is a slight concern on Yarmouth's long straight, and he has yet to win in ten attempts at this course and distance despite three places. A fair each-way type without standing out on any single number.
Won last time out, though that was at the easier A8 grade, and steps up to A7 today. She finishes well from off the pace and has a solid course and distance record with a win and three places from ten runs. Drawn in trap 5, the weakest box on today's numbers, which works against her. Some claims but the draw and the step up in company both count against her.
Owns the best course and distance record in the entire field, three wins and three places from ten runs at this exact track and trip, and her peak rating matches the selection's. But she is well out of form right now, beaten a long way last time out with the lowest recorded speed in this race, and her recent ratings have been in freefall. The course and distance affinity is real, but there is too much recent weakness to trust her fully today.
Key insight: At A7 462m here, the fastest dog in the field wins 28.1% of races, well ahead of the top-rated dog on composite at 22.9%. Speed is the stronger signal at this grade. Trap 3 is the best box at 25.0% from 152 runs.
T1:19.1% T2:23.2% T3:25.0% T4:20.0% T5:17.1% T6:21.3%
1,111 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Murrow Toaster | 45 | 84 | Closer |
2Trip No Bother | 45 | 68 | Closer |
3Rules Dont Apply | 54 | 34 | All-Rounder |
4Harlequin Essex | 58 | 35 | Fader |
5Harlequin Xena | 50 | 55 | Closer |
6Isla Bonita | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.