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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Murrow Jabalid 1yN/R 23 | R Fitch — 21% R66 W14 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 46 | 59 (5) | 76 (2) | 59 (5) | 80 (1) | 64 (3) | 68 (3) | - | - | - | - | 1 | 27 | 12 | 25 | 67 | 38 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ My Kneecapb 1y 15 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 78 (2) | 72 (1) | 56 (3) | 64 (1) | 58 (1) | 36 (3) | 45 (4) | 37 (3) | 47 (5) | - | 15 | 25 | 18 | 39 | 60 | 41 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Assarula Judyb 1yREP 7 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 55 | 51 (6) | 67 (4) | 52 (1) | 59 (2) | 38 (1) | 53 (5) | - | - | - | - | 54 | 43 | - | 48 | 54 | 48 | 5 | 15/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Aayamza Cryptob 2y 17 | S Knights — 20% R144 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 52 | 59 (5) | 79 (1) | 68 (2) | 60 (4) | 56 (5) | 63 (1) | 67 (3) | 75 (3) | 76 (2) | - | 32 | 16 | 12 | 35 | 68 | 46 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Value Addedd 2y 17 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 72 (2) | 50 (6) | 39 (6) | 67 (3) | 52 (5) | 58 (5) | 85 (1) | 78 (1) | 53 (4) | 43 (5) | 48 | 53 | 16 | 29 | 57 | 50 | 2 | 11/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Frankton Tend 1y 25 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 63 (3) | 42 (6) | 59 (3) | 64 (4) | 66 (3) | 80 (1) | 74 (1) | 48 (6) | 58 (3) | - | 25 | 21 | - | 18 | 60 | 36 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Murrow Jabali | 28.15 | 28.36 | 28.66 | 49 | +0.51 | Small CD sample | |
| 2 | My Kneecap | 28.19 | 28.83 | 28.26 | 45 | +0.07 | Best CD win rate | |
| 3 | Whitewood Gigi | 28.20 | 28.20 | 28.20 | 58 | 0.00 | Only 1 career run | |
| 4 | Aayamza Crypto | 28.26 | 28.42 | 28.26 | 52 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Value Added | 27.93 | 28.60 | 28.71 | 47 | +0.78 | Dropping from A2 | |
| 6 | Frankton Ten | 28.16 | 28.47 | 28.82 | 45 | +0.66 | Worst trap |
Yarmouth's fair, well-cambered layout gives every runner a genuine chance from the draw, and today's A3 numbers back that up with trap 3 the pick of the boxes at 24% and trap 6 the weakest at 15%. The top-rated dog wins 21% of these A3 races here, close to the national baseline, so there is room for pace, proven grade form and course knowledge to add real value over the raw ratings. This looks a red-hot renewal with two dogs, Whitewood Gigi and Aayamza Crypto, both arriving off big wins at A4 last time out and stepping up together, while My Kneecap has rocketed into form after a run of much easier races. Aayamza Crypto's recent form has been forged entirely within this grade, which counts for plenty against opposition still finding its level.
The pick on proven grade form — his last three starts have all come at this exact A3 level, unlike most of his rivals who are stepping up or dropping down, and he arrives off a win at A4 last time out with a strong rating of 79. His course and distance record backs it up too, two wins and four places from eight runs, comfortably the most reliable body of work at this exact combination. He finishes strongly from off the pace, which suits Yarmouth's long run to the line, and trap 4 is a fair enough box to work from.
On the numbers alone this is the most exciting runner in the race, the fastest recorded time, the highest rated recent performance at 79, drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box today, and trained by a yard with a strong 33% win rate. But this is only her second recorded run and the figures come from a single victory at A4, so it is a genuine caveat rather than an established form line. If those numbers hold up in open competition against more experienced rivals, she wins this with something to spare.
A fast-early type who has had a brief run in open company recently and holds a strong record over this course and distance, a win and two places from just five attempts. His overall form is volatile, ranging from a rating of 80 down to the high 50s, and his running style suggests he can lead but weaken late, which is a risk on Yarmouth's long straight. Enough ability to figure but the inconsistency is a concern.
Boasts the best course and distance record in the field, three wins and four places from ten runs at this exact track and trip. She has rocketed up through the grades recently, racing at A6 to A8 level before landing a big second-placed run at A3 last time out with a career-best rating of 78. That form line needs treating with some caution given how sharply she has stepped up, but the raw course and distance affinity is a genuine positive. Drawn in trap 2, statistically the weakest box today alongside trap 6.
Drops down after a run of races at A2 and A1, tougher company than today's, which should flatter her figures at this level, and she owns the highest peak rating in the field at 85. But she was well beaten last time out and her recent form has been patchy. There is talent in there on the drop in grade, but the last performance is a concern.
A consistent front runner who is quick to the bend and has held his form at A3 and A4 level, with two wins and two places from eight runs at this course and distance. He was beaten well last time out, though, and is drawn in trap 6, the weakest box on today's numbers, which is a real obstacle to overcome from a track where every trap still gets a fair run.
Key insight: Trap 3 is comfortably the best box in A3 462m races here at 24.4% from 307 runs, while trap 6 is weakest at 15.0%. The top-rated dog wins 21.3%, close to the UK baseline, meaning the model alone is only a moderate guide at this grade.
T1:20.5% T2:16.0% T3:24.4% T4:17.9% T5:16.3% T6:15.0%
1,676 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Murrow Jabali | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2My Kneecap | 45 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Assarula Judy | 54 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Aayamza Crypto | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Value Added | 46 | 59 | Closer |
6Frankton Ten | 56 | 50 | Front Runner |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 462m | 659m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | My Kneecap | 0.624 | — |
| 3 | Assarula Judy | 0.621 | — |
| 4 | Aayamza Crypto | 0.616 | 0.632 |
| 5 | Value Added | 0.619 | — |
| 6 | Frankton Ten | 0.616 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.