| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cape Bridged 2y 28 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 43 | 73 (1) | 52 (3) | 69 (1) | 61 (2) | 59 (3) | 55 (2) | 56 (3) | 63 (1) | 58 (1) | 36 (5) | 32 | 40 | 18 | 38 | 57 | 39 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Above Or Belowd 2y 28 | V K Thom — 22% R107 W24 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 45 | 60 (2) | 69 (1) | 57 (2) | 50 (2) | 60 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 54 | 31 | 54 | 60 | 43 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Lilac Ladyb 3y 6 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 53 (4) | 65 (1) | 50 (4) | 55 (2) | 50 (5) | 33 (4) | 62 (1) | 54 (2) | 47 (2) | - | 38 | 14 | - | 36 | 51 | 44 | 6 | 12/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Longvale Elleb 2y 15 | P I Cross — 17% R139 W23 P77 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 59 | 58 (4) | 64 (3) | 47 (5) | 70 (1) | 59 (3) | 51 (3) | 45 (4) | 55 (6) | 66 (3) | 62 (2) | 16 | 14 | 3 | 14 | 57 | 40 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Solana Jetd 2y 26 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 60 (2) | 64 (2) | 46 (5) | 68 (2) | 71 (2) | 56 (4) | 62 (3) | 54 (4) | 46 (4) | - | 16 | 21 | 42 | 27 | 59 | 38 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lady Wrightb 1y 5 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 56 | 56 (3) | 70 (1) | 35 (6) | 50 (5) | 48 (4) | 61 (2) | 52 (4) | 71 (4) | 52 (1) | - | 22 | 26 | 7 | 34 | 54 | 40 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cape Bridge | 28.44 | 28.76 | 28.92 | 43 | +0.48 | Best CD win rate | |
| 2 | Above Or Below | 28.51 | 28.70 | 28.74 | 46 | +0.23 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Lilac Lady | 28.44 | 28.86 | 28.44 | 48 | 0.00 | Up two grades | |
| 4 | Longvale Elle | 28.43 | 28.69 | 28.43 | 51 | 0.00 | Best trap on card | |
| 5 | Solana Jet | 28.35 | 28.65 | 28.55 | 52 | +0.20 | 0 wins/10 CD | |
| 6 | Lady Wright | 28.36 | 28.73 | 28.40 | 52 | +0.04 | Won last time, up in grade |
Yarmouth's fair, cambered oval continues to spread the winners around fairly evenly, and today's A5 numbers put trap 4 out in front at 24% with trap 2 the weakest at 17%. The top-rated dog wins just over a quarter of these A5 races here, a healthy figure that suggests the ratings hold up well at this grade, and with the long home straight rewarding a strong finish, several closers in this field look well suited. Above Or Below arrives full of confidence after finishing second here last time out and carries the strongest overall figures in the race, even though she is drawn in the weakest box on today's numbers. Solana Jet and Lady Wright both offer plenty of raw pace and could easily get involved if the market leader has any weakness.
Carries the highest average performance rating in the field at 60 and finished second here last time out at this exact grade, showing she is fully up to today's level. Trained by a yard with a strong 26% win rate, and her course and distance record is outstanding, two wins and six places from seven runs, an 86% strike rate for hitting the frame at this exact combination. She finishes well off the pace, which suits the long Yarmouth straight. Drawn in trap 2, statistically the weakest box today, but her overall case is the strongest on offer.
Shares the fastest recorded time in the field and finished second here last time out at this exact grade with a strong rating of 64. She is a reliable finisher off the pace, exactly what this long straight rewards, and her form has been remarkably consistent. The one blot is a course and distance record with three places but no wins from ten runs, suggesting she has struggled to get her nose in front here specifically. The clearest threat to the selection on raw pace.
Owns the best course and distance record in the field by some distance, three wins and five places from nine runs at this exact combination, and finished third here last time out already at this grade. Stepping up from A6 company recently, which should suit given how comfortably she has handled it. Her recorded pace is the slowest of this group, though, which is the one thing holding her back from a stronger case.
Won last time out but that was at A7, two grades below today's level, so her recent figures need some discounting against this much stronger field. Solid course and distance record with two wins and five places from ten runs. A versatile runner who can race handy or come from off the pace, but the scale of the class rise makes her hard to fully trust.
Drawn in trap 4, the best-performing box on today's numbers, and already competitive at this grade having finished third here last time out. Her running style, fast away but prone to fade, is a slight risk given how long the Yarmouth straight is, and her course and distance sample is thin with just one win and one place from six runs. The trap is the main thing in her favour.
Trained by the yard with the best win rate in this field at 30%, and shares the fastest recorded time on offer. She won last time out, though that was at the easier A6 grade, and today represents a step up. Her course and distance record is solid, two wins and four places from nine runs. A fair trap and a in-form yard make her worth including, even with the rise in class.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins 25.3% of A5 462m races at Yarmouth, a solid figure. Trap 4 is the best box at 24.1% from 270 runs, trap 2 the weakest at 17.0% from 247 runs.
T1:20.4% T2:17.0% T3:21.1% T4:24.1% T5:19.2% T6:19.8%
1,562 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Cape Bridge | 47 | 55 | Closer |
2Above Or Below | 47 | 62 | Closer |
3Lilac Lady | 53 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Longvale Elle | 56 | 44 | Fader |
5Solana Jet | 41 | 73 | Closer |
6Lady Wright | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 325m | 400m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cape Bridge | — | — | — | 0.622 |
| 2 | Above Or Below | — | — | — | 0.621 |
| 3 | Lilac Lady | — | — | — | 0.624 |
| 4 | Longvale Elle | — | 0.558 | 0.553 | 0.621 |
| 5 | Solana Jet | — | — | — | 0.620 |
| 6 | Lady Wright | — | — | — | 0.621 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.