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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Zoo Da Mand 4y 26 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 40 | 59 (3) | 62 (1) | 44 (5) | 53 (5) | 60 (3) | 56 (2) | 57 (3) | 66 (2) | 74 (2) | - | 30 | 28 | 11 | 33 | 58 | 42 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Derrygrath Laurab 3y 5 | S Knights — 20% R144 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 47 (5) | 58 (5) | 57 (2) | 39 (3) | 69 (4) | 55 (1) | 61 (3) | 50 (3) | 54 (5) | - | 20 | 31 | 32 | 20 | 53 | 41 | 2 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Harlequin Roseb 3y 36 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 53 (3) | 47 (5) | 47 (4) | 60 (2) | 57 (2) | 48 (5) | 50 (5) | 56 (2) | 79 (4) | - | 27 | 25 | - | 27 | 53 | 33 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lissome Lillyb 3yREP 6 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 46 (3) | 51 (2) | 54 (3) | 53 (2) | 37 (4) | 46 (3) | 57 (2) | 49 (5) | 63 (3) | 76 (1) | 23 | 30 | 12 | 26 | 51 | 41 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Rumour Has Itb 1y 5 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 56 | 56 (3) | 35 (6) | 64 (1) | 38 (5) | 51 (5) | 43 (3) | 51 (4) | 57 (2) | 58 (2) | - | 28 | 39 | 8 | 33 | 50 | 44 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zoo Da Man | 28.47 | 28.72 | 28.74 | 54 | +0.27 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Derrygrath Laura | 28.57 | 28.78 | 28.64 | 52 | +0.07 | Down from A5 | |
| 3 | Harlequin Rose | 28.28 | 28.81 | 29.12 | 49 | +0.84 | Best trap, down from A4 | |
| 4 | Assarula Bunty | 28.62 | 29.09 | 28.84 | 42 | +0.22 | Big step up from A9 | |
| 6 | Rumour Has It | 28.54 | 28.91 | 28.79 | 48 | +0.25 | Best CD win rate |
The last race of the card returns to Yarmouth's fair, cambered layout and the usual pattern holds — trap 3 is the best box in A6 462m races here at 23%, with trap 5 the weakest at 18%, though the gaps are tighter than at some other grades today. The top-rated dog wins 23% here, a reasonable figure. Only five go to post after a scratching. Zoo Da Man combines the fastest recorded time in the field with the highest average performance rating, a rare case of both primary signals pointing the same way, while Harlequin Rose offers a big peak figure from a higher grade and the best trap on the card. Assarula Bunty faces the toughest task, stepping up sharply from much easier company.
The pick with both the fastest recorded time and the highest average performance rating in the field, a rare case of the two strongest signals pointing the same way. He finishes strongly from off the pace, which suits Yarmouth's long straight, and has hit the frame in more than half of his nine runs at this exact course and distance. He finished third here last time out and his form has stayed broadly around this level, with nothing in his recent history to discount. Trap 1 is only a middling box, but the strength of his primary numbers outweighs that.
Drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box on today's numbers, and carries a strong peak rating of 79, though that came against tougher A4 company and needs some discounting here. She was well beaten last time out. Her course and distance record is reasonable with four places from ten runs. If she rediscovers anything like her higher-grade form, the trap advantage could be decisive.
Drops down from a run of A5 races, which should offer a touch of class relief against this field, though she was beaten well last time out. She finishes well from off the pace and has hit the frame in a fifth of her ten course and distance runs. A workmanlike sort without any standout number to lean on.
Faces by far the toughest task in the race, stepping up sharply from A9 level, three grades below today's company. Her small course and distance sample of five runs looks promising on the surface, two wins and three places, but that form was earned in much easier races. Her recorded speed is also the slowest in this field. A big step into the unknown.
Owns the best course and distance win rate in the field, two wins and four places from ten runs, and has settled into A6 after racing at A7 level recently, giving a touch of class cushion. She fires fast early but tends to lose ground late, a mixed profile on this long straight. A solid without spectacular each-way claim.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the best box in A6 462m races here at 23.0% from 248 runs. The top-rated dog wins 23.2%, a reasonable figure for this grade.
T1:19.2% T2:20.4% T3:23.0% T4:19.2% T5:17.5% T6:18.1%
1,554 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Zoo Da Man | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Derrygrath Laura | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Harlequin Rose | 54 | 41 | All-Rounder |
4Lissome Lilly | 50 | 51 | All-Rounder |
6Rumour Has It | 58 | 26 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 462m | 659m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zoo Da Man | 0.625 | 0.642 |
| 2 | Derrygrath Laura | 0.622 | — |
| 3 | Harlequin Rose | 0.623 | — |
| 4 | Lissome Lilly | 0.623 | — |
| 6 | Rumour Has It | 0.626 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.