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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Natalieb 3y 5 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 53 | 38 (5) | 47 (5) | 52 (4) | 44 (5) | 50 (5) | 55 (5) | 59 (3) | 63 (3) | 57 (3) | 72 (1) | 20 | 24 | 35 | 15 | 53 | 39 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Derrygrath Freyab 3y 15 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 45 | 56 (5) | 46 (5) | 47 (5) | 54 (4) | 53 (4) | 51 (4) | 73 (2) | 35 (6) | 63 (4) | 68 (4) | 24 | 33 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 41 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Drumdoit Busterd 5y 37 | S Knights — 20% R144 W29 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 42 (6) | 50 (4) | 56 (3) | 45 (5) | 57 (3) | 50 (5) | 53 (5) | 49 (5) | 47 (5) | 46 (5) | 21 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 50 | 35 | 4 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Laughil Pippab 3y 17 | R D Copping — 15% R81 W12 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 47 | 66 (1) | 75 (3) | 72 (4) | 71 (6) | 75 (3) | 63 (3) | 71 (1) | 60 (2) | 64 (6) | 48 (5) | 31 | 31 | 7 | - | 69 | 23 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Zephyr Rampaged 3y 17 | I J Barnard — 21% R257 W54 P150 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 51 | 49 (4) | 66 (1) | 48 (4) | 55 (2) | 37 (6) | 43 (5) | 46 (5) | 41 (5) | 50 (4) | 68 (1) | 19 | 19 | 12 | 31 | 51 | 34 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Natalie | 28.45 | 28.74 | 28.87 | 49 | +0.42 | Best CD record | |
| 2 | Derrygrath Freya | 28.24 | 28.72 | 28.73 | 56 | +0.49 | Weakest trap | |
| 4 | Drumdoit Buster | 28.57 | 28.74 | 28.80 | 49 | +0.23 | 0 CD places/10 | |
| 5 | Laughil Pippa | Recent form almost entirely from 942m marathon races, not this 462m trip. Times not directly comparable. | — | Form at 942m, not 462m | ||||
| 6 | Zephyr Rampage | 28.61 | 29.03 | 28.97 | 40 | +0.36 | Won last time, up in grade | |
Yarmouth remains the fairest track around, a well-cambered galloping oval that rarely punishes a dog for its draw and gives closers plenty of the long straight to work with. Today's A5 numbers put trap 4 out in front at 24% and trap 2 lagging at just 17%, though the top-rated dog historically wins a healthy 25% of these races here, a touch above the UK baseline, so the model carries some real weight in this grade. Only five go to post after a scratching leaves trap 3 empty. Droopys Natalie is the one with genuine course and distance form in this field, a front runner who should get across cleanly, while Zephyr Rampage arrives fresh off a win but steps up sharply in grade and Laughil Pippa's figures are built almost entirely at a completely different, much longer distance.
The pick of the field on genuine course and distance evidence, with two wins and two places from ten runs at this exact track and trip. A front runner who is quick away and tends to lead, which suits the earlier stages here, and her form has stayed entirely within the A4 and A5 bands recently so there is nothing to discount. She was only fifth last time out but her overall record at this level, and specifically at this venue, marks her out as the one with the strongest proven claims. Trap 1 has been a solid box on today's numbers, adding a little extra to her case.
Owns the fastest reliable recorded time in the field and finishes powerfully off the pace, which plays into Yarmouth's long run to the line. Her course and distance record is thin, just one place from ten runs here, and she is drawn in trap 2, statistically the weakest box on today's card. If she can overcome the draw, the raw pace on offer makes her the biggest threat to the selection.
Sits in trap 4, the best-performing box on today's numbers, but has never managed so much as a place from ten runs at this exact course and distance, which is hard to ignore. Form is steady but modest, all within the A4 and A5 bands, without ever threatening the front of the field. The trap is a point in his favour but the record here says he needs a lot to go right.
Carries the highest average performance rating in the field on paper, but almost all of that form comes from marathon races at 942 metres, more than double today's trip, with only two runs ever recorded at this actual course and distance. Her distance suitability reading is at rock bottom as a result. There is talent in there somewhere but this is genuinely unknown territory at 462 metres, and the step down in trip is a real unknown rather than a proven strength.
Arrives on the back of a win last time out, though that success came at the easier A6 grade and today represents a step up in class. His course and distance record is solid, two wins and three places from ten runs, and he is a versatile runner who can sit up with the pace or drop in behind. The recorded times are modest, but the recent winning form and a reasonable trap make him worth including in calculations.
Key insight: Trap 4 is the best-performing box at A5 462m Yarmouth at 24.1% from 270 runs. The top-rated dog wins 25.3% here, a solid figure that suggests the ratings hold up reasonably well at this grade.
T1:20.4% T2:17.0% T3:21.1% T4:24.1% T5:19.2% T6:19.8%
1,562 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Natalie | 57 | 45 | Front Runner |
2Derrygrath Freya | 44 | 71 | Closer |
4Drumdoit Buster | 54 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Laughil Pippa | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Zephyr Rampage | 50 | 41 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 462m | 712m | 716m | 843m | 905m | 942m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Natalie | 0.623 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Derrygrath Freya | 0.621 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Drumdoit Buster | 0.622 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Laughil Pippa | 0.623 | 0.620 | 0.642 | 0.642 | 0.644 | 0.629 |
| 6 | Zephyr Rampage | 0.627 | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.