Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Naphillb 4y 15 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 59 (2) | 64 (2) | 63 (2) | 61 (4) | 59 (2) | 41 (5) | 67 (2) | 68 (2) | 55 (3) | 62 (2) | 37 | 33 | 47 | 37 | 60 | 46 | 2 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crossfield Bellab 2y 26 | R D Copping — 15% R81 W12 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 52 | 56 (3) | 67 (2) | 51 (4) | 70 (4) | 57 (3) | 77 (5) | 86 (2) | 56 (1) | 74 (3) | - | 32 | 41 | 26 | 39 | 66 | 44 | 1 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Bachelord 4y 35 | R D Copping — 15% R81 W12 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 56 | 45 (5) | 66 (5) | 69 (6) | 81 (4) | 72 (2) | 46 (1) | 51 (2) | 57 (3) | - | - | 29 | 40 | 30 | 34 | 62 | 13 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Stonepark Harryd 3y 14 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 37 | 48 (6) | 72 (6) | 47 (1) | 45 (4) | 58 (4) | 43 (2) | 49 (5) | 41 (4) | - | - | 20 | 39 | - | 18 | 51 | 36 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Oh So Luckyb 3y 27 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 57 (3) | 53 (5) | 56 (6) | 68 (4) | 47 (3) | 50 (6) | 46 (4) | 74 (5) | - | - | 30 | 46 | 30 | 15 | 56 | 30 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Heflewanoceand 3y 14 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 39 | 64 (2) | 59 (4) | 73 (1) | 39 (5) | 66 (2) | 60 (4) | 60 (3) | 44 (1) | 42 (6) | - | 25 | 27 | - | 33 | 58 | 36 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naphill | 28.31 | 28.51 | 28.39 | 54 | +0.08 | 0 wins/10 CD | |
| 2 | Crossfield Bella | 28.24 | 28.48 | 28.54 | 54 | +0.30 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Swift Bachelor | 28.21 | 28.63 | 29.57 | 35 | +1.36 | Well below best | |
| 4 | Stonepark Harry | 28.15 | 28.80 | 28.76 | 45 | +0.61 | Grade in-between | |
| 5 | Oh So Lucky | 28.23 | 28.60 | 28.60 | 50 | +0.37 | 0 from 10 CD | |
| 6 | Heflewanocean | 28.34 | 28.67 | 28.58 | 48 | +0.24 | Worst trap |
Yarmouth is the fairest track in the country — a well-cambered oval that gives almost no structural advantage to any trap or running style, and just one in five races here are won by a dog leading throughout, the lowest all-the-way rate in the UK. The long home straight means front-runners are routinely mown down close to home, so patient closers who conserve their pace hold a real edge over sprinters who fire early and fade. Today's numbers show trap 3 edging it at 23% and trap 6 lagging at 13%, but that's more noise than the norm on this circuit — this remains a race about pace management rather than the draw. Naphill and Crossfield Bella share the fastest recorded times in the field, and with a long straight to use it, the two with genuine finishing pace look the ones to beat.
Shares the fastest recorded time in the field and carries the highest average performance rating in the race at 66. She's dropped down through the grades from open and A1 company in recent months, and crucially she's already had two runs at this exact level, finishing second last time out with a strong performance rating of 67, proving she handles A4 form comfortably. Her true form line, built against much stronger opposition, suggests there is more in the tank than her rivals can match, and with a long home straight to use her pace, she looks capable of getting to the front when it counts. Trap 2 is not the strongest draw at Yarmouth, but on a track that barely punishes position, that is a minor concern.
Matches Crossfield Bella as the fastest recorded time in the race and has been the model of consistency at this exact track, trip and grade, placing in six of his last ten runs over course and distance. He's a patient closer who saves his best for the finish, exactly what this long Yarmouth straight rewards, but he's yet to actually get his nose in front in ten attempts at this level, always the bridesmaid. If the selection falters, he's right there to pick up the pieces.
Drawn in trap 3, the best-performing box on today's numbers at 23%, and boasts an outstanding record over course and distance with three wins and five places from nine runs. He's dropping down from tougher A2 and A3 company, which should suit on paper, but his recorded speed here is well below the rest of the field and he was well beaten last time out. The kind of runner who could outrun expectations if the draw tells, but the recent time is a concern.
Modest form overall with an average performance rating around 51, well below the leading pair. Stepped up sharply from A6 to A3 last time and found it too hot, finishing sixth, and today's drop to A4 sits between the two. Some course and distance form with a win and two places from ten runs, but there is little here to suggest he troubles the principals.
Drops down from a sustained run of A2 races, which on paper should flatter her figures against this weaker grade. But she has drawn a complete blank at this exact course and distance, with no wins and no places from ten attempts here, and her distance suitability reading is weak too. Hard to trust despite the class edge on offer.
Already tackled this grade last time out, finishing fourth with a performance rating of 59. Drawn in trap 6, statistically the weakest box on today's numbers at just 13%, which is a real structural knock at this track. A modest but willing sort who is unlikely to reverse form from out there against this opposition.
Key insight: Trap 3 is the best-performing box at A4 462m Yarmouth at 23.4% from 273 runs, trap 6 the weakest at 12.9% from 302 runs. The top-rated dog wins 22.9% here, a touch above the UK baseline.
T1:17.4% T2:16.5% T3:23.4% T4:22.3% T5:17.6% T6:12.9%
1,610 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Naphill | 48 | 56 | Closer |
2Crossfield Bella | 72 | 0 | Fader |
3Swift Bachelor | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Stonepark Harry | 33 | 63 | Closer |
5Oh So Lucky | 52 | 45 | All-Rounder |
6Heflewanocean | 42 | 55 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 462m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Naphill | — | 0.618 | — |
| 2 | Crossfield Bella | — | 0.618 | 0.601 |
| 3 | Swift Bachelor | 0.631 | 0.621 | — |
| 4 | Stonepark Harry | — | 0.622 | — |
| 5 | Oh So Lucky | — | 0.619 | — |
| 6 | Heflewanocean | — | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.