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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Antigua Lumiered 4y 25 | J R Hall — 18% R308 W54 P161 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 72 (2) | 84 (1) | 62 (4) | 72 (3) | 64 (2) | 82 (1) | 68 (3) | 64 (4) | 66 (3) | 63 (4) | 39 | 42 | 32 | 43 | 71 | 54 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballintemple Genb 2y 17 | J R Hall — 18% R308 W54 P161 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | 23 | 37 (6) | 49 (5) | 60 (4) | 87 (1) | 51 (4) | 55 (5) | 51 (5) | 54 (5) | 48 (6) | 59 (4) | 18 | 25 | - | 16 | 54 | 33 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ceejay Sparkleb 2y 28 | R Lambe — 26% R124 W32 P76 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 50 | 67 (3) | 54 (5) | 72 (3) | 87 (3) | 69 (1) | 58 (2) | 86 (3) | 69 (2) | 65 (3) | - | 16 | 32 | 31 | 27 | 69 | 48 | 2 | 10/11F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Zilchb 3y 28 | P A Holder — 14% R112 W16 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 58 (4) | 49 (6) | 73 (3) | 86 (1) | 66 (4) | 54 (4) | 86 (1) | 66 (3) | 69 (3) | 53 (6) | 37 | 33 | 35 | 26 | 65 | 45 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hows Thatd 2y 26 | P Meek — 19% R83 W16 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 85 (1) | 57 (3) | 59 (5) | 56 (5) | 55 (5) | 61 (3) | 53 (4) | 70 (6) | 99 (3) | - | 1 | 9 | 20 | 15 | 66 | 44 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Headford Killiand 2y 6 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 52 | 82 (1) | 48 (6) | 77 (1) | 62 (2) | 72 (2) | 58 (4) | 62 (2) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 43 (5) | 46 | 26 | - | 45 | 65 | 52 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Ceejay Sparkle | 28.47 | 28.86 | 28.99 | 55 | +0.52 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Swift Zilch | 28.67 | 28.95 | 29.13 | 48 | +0.46 | ||
| 6 | Headford Killian | 28.71 | 29.00 | 28.71 | 53 | 0.00 | ||
| 1 | Antigua Lumiere | 28.72 | 29.03 | 28.77 | 51 | +0.05 | ||
| 5 | Hows That | 28.76 | 29.02 | 28.76 | 51 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Ballintemple Gen | 28.80 | 29.25 | 29.93 | 29 | +1.13 |
Dunstall Park's 480-metre A2 grade is the highest open-race tier on today's card, featuring the best dogs at the track. From 553 runs, speed rank 1 wins 22.6% — comfortably ahead of composite at 16.7%. The trap bias shows trap 3 dominant at 21.5%, with trap 2 weakest at 12.8%. This is the classiest 480m race on the card and every dog has proven ability. Ceejay Sparkle brings the best raw speed and a powerhouse trainer in Lambe (32%), while Antigua Lumiere has the highest average performance at 71 — genuine A1-quality form. The pace should be strong throughout with Antigua Lumiere and Knockboy Doris both showing early speed. This sets it up for the closers and strong finishers, which plays into Ceejay Sparkle's hands.
The fastest dog in this field with a speed rating of 55, drawn in the best trap at A2 grade (trap 3, 21.5% from 93 runs). That's the same two-signal speed-and-trap stack that has been the strongest edge throughout today's card. Her best time of 28.47 is the quickest in the field, proving the speed is genuine and not just a model artefact. Trained by Lambe, who operates at a 32% win rate — the best on the card. Average performance of 63 is below Antigua Lumiere's 71, so she's not the classiest dog in the race, but the structural advantages of speed, trap, and trainer are compelling. Peak rating of 87 shows she can hit big numbers. Two wins from eight course and distance starts.
The highest-rated dog in this field by some margin with an average performance of 71 — genuine A1-quality form that towers above the rest. Has been racing at A1 and A2 level consistently with ratings of 59, 60, 83, 72 in recent starts, showing she can produce big performances at the top level. Three wins from 10 course and distance starts prove she handles the track. But her speed rating of 50 is only fourth-best in this field, which at a track where speed dominates is a notable disadvantage. Trap 1 is reasonable at 19.2%. She'll likely be prominent early and try to dictate, but if the faster dogs are close at the bend, they could run her down.
A consistent A2-A3 performer with an average performance of 65 — solid at this level without being exceptional. Has two wins from eight course and distance starts. But trap 2 is the worst-performing box at A2 grade at just 12.8% from 78 runs, which is a massive structural disadvantage. Her speed rating of 51 is middling. Recent form of 64, 68, 55 is steady but the draw kills her chances statistically. A dog who would be interesting from a different trap but can't overcome this one.
Average performance of 60 shows she's competitive at A2-A3 level without threatening the very best. Has one win from five course and distance starts. Her speed rating of 54 is the second-best in the field and she ran a 79 rating last time which is excellent. Trap 4 is middling at 18.7%. The recent improvement is interesting but she's never won at A2 at this track, and while the 79 last time was impressive, it came in a small field. Could hit the frame but the top two look stronger.
Has the weakest speed in the field at 40 and her recent form shows a steep decline — ratings of 38 and 51 from her last two, well below the A2 standard. Two wins from 10 course and distance starts prove she's won here before but those were at a higher level of form. Trap 5 is the second-worst at 14.1%. With the lowest speed in a grade where speed rank 1 wins nearly 23%, she's swimming against the tide. Hard to see how she gets involved against this quality of opposition.
Average performance of 64 shows genuine A2 quality and her peak of 88 is the highest in the field — proof of an enormous ceiling. Trap 6 is reasonable at 18.5%. But her last run was rated just 42, and her form over the last four of 42, 65, 73, 60 shows frustrating inconsistency. Speed rating of 53 is middling. She's capable of winning any A2 race on her best day but predicting when that day comes is impossible. If she produces anything near her peak of 88, she'll blow this field apart — but the evidence suggests that's unlikely.
Key insight: Speed rank 1 wins 22.58% from 124 runs. Trap 3 best at 21.51%. Trap 2 worst at 12.82%. Composite R3 oddly outperforms R1 — the composite model is unreliable at this grade.
T1:19.23% T2:12.82% T3:21.51% T4:18.68% T5:14.13% T6:18.48%
553 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Antigua Lumiere | 17 | 100 | Closer |
2Ballintemple Gen | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Ceejay Sparkle | 49 | 60 | Closer |
4Swift Zilch | 52 | 36 | All-Rounder |
5Hows That | 97 | 0 | Fader |
6Headford Killian | 51 | 40 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Antigua Lumiere | — | — | 0.605 | 0.613 |
| 2 | Ballintemple Gen | — | — | 0.609 | 0.607 |
| 3 | Ceejay Sparkle | — | — | 0.601 | — |
| 4 | Swift Zilch | — | — | 0.603 | — |
| 5 | Hows That | 0.628 | 0.629 | 0.605 | — |
| 6 | Headford Killian | — | — | 0.604 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.