Loading...
THE FUTURE OF RACING: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Point Breakd 2y 24 | J R Hall — 18% R308 W54 P161 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 31 | 57 (5) | 57 (2) | 46 (3) | 56 (3) | 91 (1) | 58 (2) | 58 (2) | 60 (2) | 51 (4) | 56 (2) | 47 | 34 | 16 | 36 | 59 | 43 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Brainyd 2y 35 | N P Ralph Jnr — 12% R52 W6 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 72 (3) | 55 (3) | 50 (5) | 50 (5) | 64 (2) | 51 (5) | 46 (6) | 52 (4) | 71 (1) | 45 (4) | 10 | 30 | - | - | 57 | 24 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sister Lizzieb 2y 26 | R L Hill — 9% R65 W6 P31 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 78 | 8 | 77 (6) | 60 (1) | 70 (4) | 64 (2) | 74 (3) | 82 (4) | 63 (3) | 63 (5) | 100 (5) | - | 61 | 37 | 18 | - | 71 | 54 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Southwind Nedd 3y 35 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 79 | 74 (4) | 68 (3) | 61 (4) | 42 (4) | 74 (2) | 38 (1) | 27 (4) | 48 (6) | 56 (5) | 87 (1) | 28 | 47 | 25 | - | 64 | 38 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Shes Got Styleb 2y 37 | J R Hall — 18% R308 W54 P161 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 55 | 91 (1) | 38 (5) | 69 (2) | 47 (4) | 49 (6) | 72 (2) | 45 (5) | 50 (5) | 48 (5) | 78 (1) | 30 | 34 | 15 | 30 | 60 | 32 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lynnia Mickd 2y 36 | M T Field — 20% R229 W46 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 49 | 78 (3) | 76 (1) | 58 (4) | 51 (5) | 65 (2) | 62 (3) | 61 (2) | 67 (3) | 63 (3) | 72 (1) | 32 | 41 | 30 | 24 | 66 | 35 | 4 | 11/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sister Lizzie | 40.41 | 40.84 | 40.41 | 78 | 0.00 | ||
| 1 | Point Break | 40.85 | 41.20 | 41.54 | 48 | +0.69 | ||
| 5 | Shes Got Style | 40.98 | 40.98 | 40.98 | 58 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 6 | Lynnia Mick | 41.16 | 41.16 | 41.16 | 49 | 0.00 | ||
| 2 | Droopys Brainy | 41.20 | 41.20 | 41.20 | 47 | 0.00 | ||
| 4 | Southwind Ned | 41.20 | 41.20 | 41.20 | 47 | 0.00 |
Dunstall Park's 660-metre marathon at S3 grade is the least-sampled configuration on the card with just 18 total runs in the condition data — effectively noise rather than a statistically reliable guide. At this distance, stamina and the ability to sustain pace over two bends become critical, and early pace matters less than it does in sprints. This is a race where proven course and distance form counts for far more than speed ratings. Shes Got Style won at this exact course, distance, and grade last time with a 91 rating — that's dominant marathon form and hard to ignore. Sister Lizzie has the best raw talent in the field with an average performance of 71, but she's untested at 660 metres and could find it too far. The race sets up for a battle between proven stamina and raw class.
Won at this exact course, distance, and grade last time out with a commanding 91 rating — the stand-out form line in this race by a wide margin. That performance stamps her as a proven 660-metre dog at this level, which in a marathon race with so little condition data is worth its weight in gold. Her average performance of 45 looks modest on paper, but that's dragged down by 480-metre form that's irrelevant here — what matters is how she handles 660 metres, and the answer is emphatically well. Tends to come from behind with a strong closing run, which is exactly the profile that wins marathon races. Trainer Williams is competent at 19%. This is the safest pick in the race — proven at the distance when most of the field are guessing.
Easily the most talented dog in this field on raw ability — her average performance of 71 is 20 points clear of the next best, and she's been competitive at A2 and A3 level over 480 metres where she's shown genuine quality with peaks of 81 and 86. But this is 660 metres, not 480, and there's no evidence she stays this far. The step up in distance is a major unknown for a dog whose form is all at shorter trips. If she does stay, she wins this comfortably — the talent gap is enormous. But marathon racing is a completely different discipline and class alone doesn't guarantee stamina. A fascinating gamble.
Has been plugging away at 480 metres recently in A5 and A6 grade with modest ratings around the low 40s. Now steps up to 660 metres for what appears to be her first recent attempt at the marathon trip. No course and distance form at this distance to judge whether she'll stay. Average performance of 43 is well below the best in the field. Has some track experience at 480m but 660m is a different game entirely. Hard to recommend without evidence she handles the distance.
Has tried 660 metres before with limited success, though she has broader experience at 480m where she's been competitive at A4-A6 level. Her average performance of 47 is middling for this field, and her recent form shows a mix of 5ths and 6ths that suggests she's struggling. The step up to 660m for a dog who's been running moderate A5 form seems optimistic. Best placed to pick up minor prizes if the front-runners fold.
Has tried this distance before and her form is competitive at S3 level without being dominant. Average performance of 51 is respectable but well behind the best in the field. Her recent form at 480m A3 shows ratings of 68 and 58 which are decent, but the switch from 480 to 660 requires a different skill set. A closer by style, which can work at marathon trips if the pace is genuine early on. Needs things to fall right but is at least experienced at longer distances.
Has been running steadily at A5-A7 level over 480 metres without setting the world alight — ratings in the 40s and 50s are bang average. Now steps up to 660 metres where she's a relative unknown. Average performance of 49 is middling. With no marathon form to judge and nothing in her profile suggesting she'll relish the extra distance, she's hard to recommend. Could surprise but there's nothing to base that hope on.
Key insight: Only 18 runs at this configuration. Condition data is noise — rely on individual dog form and proven stamina.
Insufficient data (18 runs) — no reliable trap bias
18 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 660m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Point Break | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Droopys Brainy | 65 | 29 | Fader |
3Sister Lizzie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Southwind Ned | 41 | 5 | Fader |
5Shes Got Style | 66 | 23 | Fader |
6Lynnia Mick | 59 | 71 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 660m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (660m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | 630m | 650m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Point Break | — | 0.611 | — | — | 0.624 |
| 2 | Droopys Brainy | — | 0.608 | — | — | 0.624 |
| 3 | Sister Lizzie | — | 0.605 | 0.612 | 0.620 | — |
| 4 | Southwind Ned | 0.607 | 0.607 | — | — | 0.624 |
| 5 | Shes Got Style | — | 0.607 | — | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Lynnia Mick | — | 0.604 | — | — | 0.624 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.