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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Inab 1y 26 | G A Foot — 19% R294 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 57 | 43 (4) | 52 (2) | 67 (1) | 56 (4) | 41 (5) | 61 (2) | 45 (3) | 47 (5) | 67 (2) | 42 (4) | 23 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 53 | 40 | 3 | 5/4F | |
| 2 | ▶ Bogger Dewieb 3y 15 | S Atkinson — 20% R245 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 69 | 46 | 57 (4) | 62 (3) | 59 (3) | 53 (3) | 58 (3) | 55 (4) | 73 (1) | 75 (1) | 59 (2) | 73 (1) | 28 | 28 | - | 27 | 60 | 49 | 2 | 6/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Headford Astridb 2y 13 | S R Miller — 14% R216 W30 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 51 | 20 (5) | 31 (4) | 44 (4) | 38 (5) | 24 (5) | 44 (4) | 32 (1) | 49 (5) | 38 (5) | 16 (3) | 42 | 43 | 26 | - | 39 | 40 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Belle Midnightb 2y 19 | G A Foot — 19% R294 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 45 (3) | 37 (6) | 33 (5) | 50 (3) | 64 (1) | 39 (5) | 38 (4) | 45 (5) | 51 (3) | 43 (4) | 33 | 36 | - | 40 | 48 | 44 | 1 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Krakatoa Lavad 2y 16 | C M Dibb — 12% R309 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 42 | 73 (1) | 39 (5) | 58 (2) | 35 (6) | 40 (4) | 57 (3) | 37 (4) | 38 (6) | 42 (5) | 46 (4) | 3 | 5 | 25 | - | 52 | 35 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mid Tipp Frankyd 3y 5 | C M Dibb — 12% R309 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 63 (2) | 67 (2) | 47 (4) | 55 (4) | 54 (3) | 71 (1) | 46 (4) | 70 (1) | 56 (3) | 46 (5) | 28 | 19 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 37 | 4 | 11/2 | |
The Pred1 projected winner. Belle Midnight is an extreme Closer (EP 27, CS 99, pace consistency 89) who will sit out the back through the first two bends before unleashing a powerful closing run. The form shows a dog who has just won in A7 (P64, 1st) before stepping up to A6 — the class step is modest and she has prior A6 experience (3rd, 4th, 5th in recent months). Average performance at 48 is mid-field but the suitability scores are strong: track 36, distance 40, trap 34 — the best suitability mean among the closers. Trainer G A Foot at 22% is solid. T4 wins 17.5% from 63 runs — neutral, no structural help but no headwind either. The race sets up ideally for her profile: three extreme Faders (all CS 0) will push the pace hard through the first two bends and then collapse, leaving a motorway for the closers to drive through. With CS 99 and pace consistency 89, Belle Midnight is the most reliable closer in the race — she will deliver her run at the same point every time. Speed 50 is moderate but sufficient when the leaders tire.
DANGER — The DOMINANT T1 at 32.6% cannot be ignored, even with a Fader. Speed 55 and bend 57 will have her leading early, and the rail saves ground through every bend. If she finds any improvement on her inconsistent form, the structural advantage could carry her.
Best avg perf (60) and field-best speed (69) with class drop from A5. But EP 0 is extreme — she starts last every race. With three Faders setting genuine pace, the closing opportunity should materialise, but she needs a clean run through traffic.
Extreme Fader in the DEAD T3 — the structural signals could not be clearer. EP 100 means she leads into bend 1, CS 0 means she will not be leading by bend 4. Speed 33 is field-worst. Will provide the pace but nothing else.
Extreme Fader with the worst suitability profile in the race (track 5, distance 0, trap 3). Will contribute to early pace alongside Astrid and Ina but will weaken badly from bend 3. The T5 structural advantage is wasted on this profile.
Strong closer (CS 84, pace consistency 92) who will benefit from the collapsing pace, but third-best closer behind Belle Midnight (CS 99) and Bogger Dewie (CS 100). Poor suitability scores limit his chances. Place contender at best.
T1 is massively dominant at 32.6% from 49 runs. R1 composite wins 32.8% with strong model separation. But the T1 dog tonight is a Fader — the structural advantage may be neutralised by the pace profile mismatch.
T1:32.6% T2:21.7% T3:11.8% T4:17.5% T5:23.4% T6:21.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tommys Ina | 57 | 16 | Fader |
2Bogger Dewie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Headford Astrid | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Belle Midnight | 27 | 99 | Closer |
5Krakatoa Lava | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Mid Tipp Franky | 43 | 84 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.