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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Playing Niced 1y 14 | C M Dibb — 12% R309 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 48 | 30 (4) | 16 (5) | 40 (3) | 50 (3) | 13 (5) | 37 (5) | 39 (4) | 46 (4) | 37 (4) | 39 (4) | 17 | 12 | 20 | 16 | 38 | 30 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Syds Ladd 4y 41 | C J Murray — 11% R19 W2 P8 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 53 | 49 (4) | 41 (5) | 54 (4) | 66 (2) | 55 (3) | 16 (5) | 25 (2) | 17 (4) | 31 (1) | 19 (3) | 57 | 31 | 37 | 35 | 25 | 31 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Caseys Babsd 4y 33 | S Atkinson — 20% R245 W50 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 50 | 47 (2) | 57 (2) | 57 (3) | 61 (2) | 51 (3) | 55 (4) | 57 (3) | 68 (1) | 67 (1) | 58 (3) | 44 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 52 | 43 | 6 | 10/11F | |
| 4 | ▶ Tickets Katieb 2y 36 | G A Foot — 19% R294 W56 P170 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | - | 41 (3) | 47 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 18 (4) | 31 (5) | 23 (1) | 24 (2) | - | 7 | 26 | - | - | 23 | 21 | 5 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Society Scaryb 4y 110 | K A Kennedy — 24% R95 W23 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 68 | 70 (1) | 57 (3) | 56 (2) | 46 (5) | 44 (5) | 54 (4) | 59 (2) | 63 (2) | 52 (3) | 64 (1) | 31 | 32 | 40 | 30 | 50 | 43 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Salems Bewitchedd 5y 26 | K A Kennedy — 24% R95 W23 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 47 (5) | 40 (4) | 52 (5) | 47 (2) | 70 (4) | 42 (1) | 52 (5) | 70 (4) | 43 (1) | - | 32 | 28 | 24 | 30 | 50 | 43 | 2 | 7/1 | |
The Pred1 projected winner drawn in the DOMINANT T5 — winning 29.8% from 57 runs at Star Pelaw 435m A7, the highest trap win rate in this race by a clear margin. Society Scary is a Fader (EP 70, CS 27) with the field-best early pace and a 68 bend rating that will put her clear at the first bend. The key question with any Fader at 435m is whether the lead survives — and her recent form says yes. Back-to-back wins at A7 (P64 and P63) show she can sustain enough pace at this grade to hold off the closers. The form trajectory has been erratic (59-36-45-31-21) in terms of average performance, but the most recent two races — 1st and 1st — tell the real story. Trainer K A Kennedy at 28% is the joint-best in the field. Track suit 32 and distance suit 30 are moderate, but the trap suit of 31 confirms she can work from this box. At A7 grade where separation is low, the DOMINANT trap at 29.8% is the strongest structural signal in this race.
DANGER — Best speed in the field (56) with strong closing profile (CS 71). The T3 dead draw (13.5%) is a real problem, but speed R1 wins 33.0% at these conditions. If Society Scary fades, Babs has the closing kick to capitalise.
Improving from a very low base (8-16-34-42-58) but still the weakest performer in the field at avg 38. Low suitability scores and small-sample T1 data mean no structural support. Too raw for this race.
Massive distance question mark — all recent form at 245m sprints. Speed 45 is field-best and the Front Runner profile gives early pace, but can he sustain over 435m? Too many unknowns to consider seriously.
Distance unknown with zero 435m form. Avg perf 23 is field-worst and all recent runs are 245m D4/D5 sprints. The structural advantage of T4 (23.3%) is wasted on a dog with no proven stamina at this trip.
Inconsistent form (41-52-70-43-44) with a poor last run (P40, 5th). Same trainer as the pick but clearly second-string in this race. Neutral trap, moderate suitability, mid-pack speed — no route to victory.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 26.9% vs R3 at 24.2% — just 2.7pp gap, composite ratings offer minimal predictive value at A7. T5 DOMINANT at 29.8% from 57 runs. Speed rank 1 wins 33.0% — speed is a far better predictor than composite here.
T1:25.0% T2:16.7% T3:13.5% T4:23.3% T5:29.8% T6:19.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Playing Nice | 50 | 42 | All-Rounder |
2Syds Lad | 58 | 50 | Front Runner |
3Caseys Babs | 46 | 71 | Closer |
4Tickets Katie | — | — | No data |
5Society Scary | 70 | 27 | Fader |
6Salems Bewitched | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.