| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Beslo Mama Gooseb 5y 55 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 24 | 7 (6) | 14 (5) | 16 (5) | 19 (5) | 56 (4) | 29 (1) | 24 (3) | 24 (3) | 21 (2) | 14 (4) | 36 | 16 | 19 | 13 | 20 | 21 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Caseys Gastond 2y 26 | S Atkinson — 20% R248 W50 P169 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 60 | 47 (4) | 44 (5) | 63 (1) | 52 (3) | 23 (3) | 34 (6) | 44 (2) | 20 (3) | 40 (3) | 41 (3) | 39 | 21 | 27 | 15 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 15/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Untold Francd 2y 17 | K A Kennedy — 24% R97 W23 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 41 | 21 (3) | 27 (1) | 39 (4) | 20 (2) | 24 (2) | 19 (3) | 39 (2) | 16 (4) | 41 (3) | 32 (4) | 24 | 25 | - | 11 | 33 | 28 | 4 | 14/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Dingys Siennab 6y 27 | K A Kennedy — 24% R97 W23 P56 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 67 | 64 | 25 (6) | 30 (2) | 41 (1) | 29 (4) | 18 (1) | 35 (5) | 31 (4) | 37 (5) | 35 (4) | - | 35 | 39 | 25 | 21 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 6 | ▶ The Old Ole Taled 2y 25 | C M Dibb — 12% R310 W38 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 18 (6) | 32 (1) | 23 (5) | 28 (1) | 23 (1) | 18 (2) | 30 (4) | 17 (1) | 21 (4) | - | 28 | 36 | 38 | 31 | 23 | 26 | 3 | 10/11F | |
The Pred1 projected winner with field-best speed (67) and field-best bend rating (64) — the two most important attributes at 245m. These numbers should put her clear at the bend, and at sprint distance the lead from the bend to the line is usually decisive. Recent form shows a D5 245m win (P28, 1st) two runs ago, plus multiple runs at higher grades (A8 435m). The form trajectory reads 31-37-35-60-45 in average terms — modest but the speed and bend ratings tell the story that raw performance numbers do not capture at sprints. Trainer K A Kennedy at 28% is the joint-best in the field. Track suit 39 and distance suit 21 are moderate. The concern is the Fader profile (EP 57, CS 41, pace consistency 80) — at 435m she fades, but at 245m the trip should be short enough that the fade does not kick in before the line. T5 wins 16.7% from 12 runs — tiny sample, no structural read. This is a Tentative selection because the D5 data is so limited and the field quality is unpredictable, but the speed and bend combination is the strongest in the field.
DANGER — Best all-round sprint profile after the pick with EP 60, bend 60, and CS 59 sustainability. If Dingys Sienna fades (Fader profile), Gaston has the pace consistency to take over. The recent drop from D4 suggests she is finding her level.
Wrong profile for a sprint — EP 24 and bend 24 are both field-worst. Avg perf 20 is the lowest in the field. Even at D5 level, the speed and bend deficiency is too much to overcome. Very unlikely to feature.
Closer at 245m is the wrong profile for a sprint. EP 42 and bend 41 are below the pace-setters. Trainer Kennedy at 26% is a plus but cannot overcome the fundamental profile mismatch. T4 data is too small to be meaningful.
Unknown quantity without pace data, but speed 60 is second-best in the field and the D4-to-D5 class drop helps. The improving trajectory (20-23-24-27-28) is gradual. Could place if she breaks well but not enough data to seriously consider for the win.
CAUTION: Only 72 total runs — all trap/rank data has very small samples and should not be relied upon heavily. Speed rank 1 wins 45.0% — speed is king at this distance regardless of sample size.
T1:16.7% T2:0.0% T3:15.4% T4:41.2% T5:16.7% T6:33.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 245m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.