Six course and distance runs at this exact grade and trip give her a meaningful track record at D1 277m Central Park, and her overall profiling across speed, form, and course indicators edges the model toward her as the marginal pick in a competitive field. Her form sequence of 35, 29, 46, 35, 42 shows the ability to reach competitive ratings at this level, with the 46 representing a previous winning performance. Recent form of 35 and 29 is below that peak but she placed third last week, showing she is still in the mix. The structural challenge is trap 1, which wins only 13.8% at D1 277m here — the second-worst draw in the race. The model weighs her overall profile above the trap disadvantage, but this is acknowledged as a tentative selection rather than a confident one. The trap evidence is a genuine concern that cannot be dismissed.