Carries the highest average performance rating in the field at 31 — a meaningful edge at a grade where the margins between runners are tight — and has demonstrated that she can perform well above her recent form, with a peak of 58 just a few races ago showing genuine class above D5 level. Six course and distance runs at this trip means she is familiar with the track and knows what Central Park's 277 metres demands. Her all-rounder pace profile with good early speed (63 early pace rating) and solid bend navigation means she is not at a disadvantage through the critical first section of the race. Trap 5 at 19.1% is a reasonable structural position. Recent form of 19 and 15 is disappointing relative to her best, and that inconsistency is the main caveat — but the model identifies her higher ceiling and best-in-field average performance as the deciding factors in a race without a dominant contender.