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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Hollyoak Taylord 2y 6 | R W Butler — 18% R217 W39 P109 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 48 | 65 (2) | 74 (1) | 63 (2) | 68 (4) | 75 (3) | 55 (1) | 70 (2) | 32 (1) | 18 (1) | - | 40 | 47 | 20 | 57 | 67 | 59 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dance Callieb 2y 15 | G Andreas — 16% R291 W48 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 53 | 48 (5) | 43 (6) | 21 (6) | 39 (2) | 32 (3) | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | 34 (2) | 28 (3) | 26 (5) | 28 | 34 | - | - | 46 | 35 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Windsor Timesd 2y 13 | N F Carter — 17% R262 W44 P137 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 47 | 74 (1) | 52 (4) | 49 (5) | 32 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 18 | - | 27 | 60 | 43 | 6 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Ellab 3y 9 | D P Brabon — 21% R374 W79 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 54 | 69 (2) | 75 (2) | 54 (1) | 50 (2) | 46 (4) | 43 (4) | 77 (6) | 47 (1) | 84 (6) | - | 34 | 51 | 59 | 53 | 61 | 54 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Lemon Lunab 1y 14 | B D O'sullivan — 19% R538 W101 P305 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 48 | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 68 (3) | 71 (2) | 64 (3) | 50 (4) | 57 (4) | 28 (5) | 24 (5) | 36 (1) | 22 | 22 | 14 | 17 | 63 | 47 | 3 | 2/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kitmins Jessicab 2y 26 | G Andreas — 16% R291 W48 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 49 | 71 (3) | 49 (6) | 53 (4) | 61 (5) | 56 (5) | 59 (3) | 73 (2) | 53 (5) | 72 (1) | 62 (3) | 27 | 35 | - | 13 | 60 | 45 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
The most complete package in this race by a meaningful margin — speed rank 1 in the field at a rating of 58, the highest average performance of any runner at 67, and eight course and distance runs at this exact trip. Her recent form sequence of 65, 74, 63, 68, 75 is consistently high and shows a dog who is in her form cycle and performing at the top of her ability at A3 over Central Park's 491 metres. Her Closer profile means she will arrive with purpose through the latter half of the race, and with a rating as high as 74 from last week she clearly has the class to win at this level. The trap 1 draw produces winners at 18.2% — solid enough — and while trap 6 is theoretically a stronger structural position, the quality gap between Hollyoak Taylor and the rest of this field is the overriding argument. Three signals stack here: speed rank 1, performance rank 1, and the strongest course and distance form record in the race.
Strong recent form and deep C&D experience but drawn in the worst structural position. The danger in this race.
Below the class required. Declining form and very low speed rating make this a difficult race for her.
Recent A4 win is encouraging but stepping up to A3 after a volatile form sequence. Worth monitoring.
Solid C&D form but slightly below the top trio in terms of quality. Consistent each-way type.
A2 win last week is notable and the best structural trap is an asset. Quality behind Hollyoak Taylor but not far behind.
Speed rank 1 wins 23.8% at A3 491m here. Trap 6 is the standout structural draw at 23.3%. Traps 4 and 5 are the weakest structural positions at under 16%.
T1:18.2% T2:17.3% T3:18.7% T4:15.9% T5:16.3% T6:23.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Hollyoak Taylor | 48 | 64 | Closer |
2Dance Callie | 55 | 0 | Fader |
3Windsor Times | 50 | 34 | All-Rounder |
4Swift Ella | 52 | 36 | All-Rounder |
5Lemon Luna | 47 | 72 | Closer |
6Kitmins Jessica | 50 | 66 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hollyoak Taylor | 0.623 | 0.609 |
| 2 | Dance Callie | 0.609 | 0.617 |
| 3 | Windsor Times | 0.611 | 0.614 |
| 4 | Swift Ella | — | 0.613 |
| 5 | Lemon Luna | 0.612 | 0.610 |
| 6 | Kitmins Jessica | — | 0.610 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.