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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Insane Shenenb 1y 6 | G Andreas — 16% R291 W48 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 35 (2) | 40 (1) | 17 (6) | 52 (2) | 30 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 37 | 23 | 39 | 35 | 36 | 5 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fiery Sallyb 4y 14 | J J Luckhurst — 14% R288 W40 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 28 | 30 (5) | 40 (1) | 26 (4) | 57 (5) | 58 (3) | 59 (4) | 80 (3) | 58 (5) | 76 (2) | 69 (2) | 38 | 30 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 36 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Foxwood Dollyd 2y 13 | B G Backhurst — 17% R217 W36 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 33 (4) | 41 (1) | 64 (6) | 59 (2) | 74 (4) | 55 (1) | 58 (3) | 67 (3) | 42 (1) | - | 37 | 23 | - | 24 | 52 | 37 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Baggios Nikitab 3y 5 | D O Pearce — 22% R124 W27 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 0 | 41 (1) | 30 (4) | 36 (1) | 50 (3) | 38 (6) | 46 (4) | 39 (4) | 44 (4) | 63 (2) | 62 (1) | 30 | 42 | - | 47 | 42 | 32 | 3 | 9/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Jenner Eightd 3y 7 | B D O'sullivan — 19% R538 W101 P305 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 76 | 38 (1) | 33 (2) | 30 (4) | 25 (5) | 34 (3) | 89 (1) | 70 (2) | 90 (1) | 84 (1) | 74 (2) | 40 | 34 | 33 | 36 | 48 | 41 | 4 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Howareya Habibib 2y 18 | S Mavrias — 16% R243 W40 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 73 | 37 (3) | 33 (5) | 39 (3) | 38 (3) | 41 (1) | 57 (3) | 65 (2) | 64 (4) | 78 (1) | 60 (3) | 32 | 30 | 3 | 25 | 45 | 35 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
The highest average performance rating in this field at 52 is the headline statistic, but it is the supporting evidence that builds the case: a recent performance sequence including ratings of 74 and 64 from earlier in the form line showing this dog is capable of running well above the D1 level she occupies today. Two course and distance runs show she knows this track. Her Closer profile with a solid early pace and bend rating suggests she can navigate the critical first section of Central Park's 277-metre sprint without losing too much ground. Trap 3 at 20.1% is a good structural draw — the third-best position in the race. Recent form of 33 and 41 from the last two runs is below her historical best, but dogs with a ceiling of 74 at this grade do not forget how to perform that well. The model identifies her higher underlying ceiling and the structural draw as the key factors in nominating her ahead of the two recent winners in this field.
Recent winner, bend rank 1, maximum early pace, and a peak of 89 showing class above this level. Trap 5 is below average but the overall profile is strong.
Recent placed form is positive but the trap is a severe structural obstacle at this grade and distance.
Prior form shows higher ability but current form declining and worst structural draw. Hard to recommend.
Won last week, speed rank 1, best structural trap. The strongest recent form argument against the model pick.
Consistent D1 form with good pace profile and second-best structural draw. Capable of placing but difficult to see her winning from here.
Speed rank 1 wins 25.6% at D1 277m. Traps 1 and 2 are structural liabilities at under 14%. Trap 4 (22.5%) and trap 6 (21.9%) are the productive structural positions.
T1:13.8% T2:12.5% T3:20.1% T4:22.5% T5:17.0% T6:21.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 325m | 450m | 491m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Insane Shenen | 0.618 | 0.568 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Fiery Sally | 0.611 | — | — | 0.610 | 0.626 |
| 3 | Foxwood Dolly | 0.606 | — | 0.620 | — | — |
| 4 | Baggios Nikita | 0.608 | — | 0.622 | — | — |
| 5 | Jenner Eight | 0.611 | — | — | 0.602 | — |
| 6 | Howareya Habibi | 0.606 | — | — | 0.609 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.