| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Millbank Roccod 3y 17 | J J Luckhurst — 14% R288 W40 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 53 | 74 (2) | 58 (4) | 62 (4) | 67 (4) | 69 (4) | 75 (3) | 88 (1) | 88 (1) | 61 (6) | 75 (1) | 37 | 32 | 25 | 36 | 70 | 52 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Franco Jojob 2y 24 | S Mavrias — 16% R243 W40 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 49 | 82 (1) | 68 (3) | 29 (6) | 32 (5) | 42 (2) | 37 (3) | 37 (3) | 35 (4) | 36 (4) | - | 27 | 18 | - | 27 | 76 | 40 | 5 | 50/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Witton Macd 2y 7 | J J Luckhurst — 14% R288 W40 P129 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 64 (4) | 60 (4) | 49 (5) | 91 (1) | 56 (5) | 46 (1) | 31 (5) | 37 (3) | 89 (1) | 55 (5) | 44 | 42 | 68 | 35 | 65 | 55 | 3 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Devonshire Aced 1y 1 | D P Brabon — 21% R374 W79 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 36 | 62 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 4 | 15 | - | - | 62 | 40 | 6 | 9/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ask The Universeb 2y 5 | G Andreas — 16% R291 W48 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 47 (5) | 68 (3) | 70 (3) | 88 (1) | 63 (4) | 92 (1) | 63 (2) | 84 (2) | 65 (4) | 92 (1) | - | 50 | 56 | 35 | 70 | 57 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Our Big Billd 3y 6 | D P Brabon — 21% R374 W79 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 47 | 66 (3) | 63 (5) | 65 (5) | 79 (2) | 77 (2) | 91 (1) | 63 (4) | 85 (4) | 55 (2) | - | 39 | 38 | 23 | 32 | 71 | 57 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
Speed rank 1 in the field with a rating of 59, and ten course and distance runs at A1 491m at Central Park is about as comprehensive a case as can be made for any runner at this venue. His form sequence of 66, 63, 65, 79, 77, 91 is consistently high and shows a dog who performs reliably at A1 level with a peak that makes him genuinely capable of dominating this field. The pace advantage at this trip is meaningful — speed rank 1 wins 25.8% at A1 491m — and his Closer profile means he is working through the final stages where the race is often decided. The honest caveat is trap 6, which wins only 15.9% at A1 491m here — the weakest structural draw in the race. But when a dog brings speed rank 1, ten C&D runs, and the best recent form in the field, the structural obstacle is outweighed by the quality of his profile. The model selects him for those three stacking reasons.
Proven A1 winner from this trap and trip. The strongest analytical alternative to the model pick.
High average performance but highly volatile. A2 win may be a peak. Hard to trust over the full trip.
Has the class at this level from historical form but currently declining. Each-way interest only.
Best structural draw but essentially unproven at this level. The draw is exceptional; the evidence is not.
Exceptional talent on best form but currently very inconsistent. Wait for form to stabilise.
Trap 4 is structurally dominant at 26.0% — nearly double trap 6 (15.9%) at the bottom. Speed rank 1 wins 25.8%. Our Big Bill stacks speed rank 1 with deep C&D form despite the T6 structural drag.
T1:20.9% T2:17.7% T3:19.2% T4:26.0% T5:16.6% T6:15.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Millbank Rocco | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Franco Jojo | 52 | 22 | All-Rounder |
3Witton Mac | 54 | 33 | All-Rounder |
4Devonshire Ace | 40 | 66 | Closer |
5Ask The Universe | 55 | 34 | Fader |
6Our Big Bill | 48 | 83 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Millbank Rocco | — | 0.604 | 0.623 |
| 2 | Franco Jojo | 0.604 | 0.606 | — |
| 3 | Witton Mac | 0.598 | 0.603 | — |
| 4 | Devonshire Ace | — | 0.606 | — |
| 5 | Ask The Universe | — | 0.601 | — |
| 6 | Our Big Bill | — | 0.600 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.