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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Annual Masond 1y 13 | J W Gaskin — 25% R306 W78 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 61 (5) | 68 (3) | 35 (2) | 63 (4) | 36 (2) | 33 (3) | 24 (6) | 40 (6) | - | - | 24 | - | 15 | - | 49 | 40 | 2 | 1/5F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Spa Hilld 2yN/R 3 | L B Pruhs — 14% R128 W18 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 100 | 27 (4) | 28 (3) | 29 (3) | 24 (5) | 22 (5) | 29 (2) | 9 (1) | 71 (6) | 27 (3) | - | 21 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 28 | 29 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mahomesd 3y 7 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 28 (4) | 27 (4) | 34 (3) | 26 (5) | 29 (3) | 28 (4) | 33 (3) | 28 (5) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 2 | 31 | 17 | 12 | 29 | 27 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Allaghaun Honeyd 3y 64 | K Everitt — 21% R86 W18 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 65 | 0 | 27 (6) | 36 (5) | 21 (5) | 45 (5) | 22 (5) | 94 (1) | 50 (4) | 32 (6) | 38 (6) | 77 (1) | 29 | 44 | 12 | - | 39 | 1 | 1 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Skirk Miab 4y 19 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 36 (1) | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 23 (5) | 30 (2) | 26 (3) | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 24 (5) | 30 (3) | 39 | 38 | 35 | 38 | 29 | 32 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
Allaghaun Honey is the model's selection and the most analytically unusual pick on today's card. Her last race was a sixth at Star Pelaw over 435m at A6 grade in March — a different venue, a different distance, and nearly four months ago. Her distance suitability at Doncaster is zero, meaning the system has no meaningful 275m record for her at this track. The model's h3 score of 61.0 is notably high, suggesting the model has identified signals — possibly recent trials or workout data that feeds into the rating — that are not visible in the conventional form record. Trap four carries a 22.6% win rate at D3 275m, which is a reasonable draw. This selection demands caution: it is the model's choice but conventional form readers will reasonably prefer Annual Mason or Skirk Mia.
Strong conventional pick. Best average, best trainer, best trap draw — a compelling alternative to the model selection.
The strongest conventional form horse. Back-to-back D3 wins at this track are the most compelling form signal in the race. A legitimate alternative to the model pick.
Place contender only on current form. The high h3 is curious but not enough to lift him to win expectations.
Consistent mid-field finisher. No indication of the step forward needed to threaten the leaders here.
Skirk Mia and Annual Mason have compelling conventional form. Model pick is deeply speculative — Skirk Mia's back-to-back wins may be the more reliable signal
T1 25.9% (best), T5 16.4% (worst). T4 22.6%, T6 20.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 275m | 285m | 435m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Annual Mason | — | 0.633 | 0.588 | — | 0.611 |
| 3 | Mahomes | — | 0.639 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Allaghaun Honey | 0.625 | — | — | 0.623 | — |
| 6 | Skirk Mia | — | 0.639 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.