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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ No Coverageb 4yN/R 27 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R323 W57 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 42 (1) | 35 (2) | 37 (1) | 31 (4) | 25 (5) | 27 (4) | 38 (5) | 43 (5) | 53 (5) | 75 (3) | 43 | 35 | - | - | 50 | 47 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Are You Sureb 4y 24 | C A Williams — 15% R373 W56 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 42 | 54 (4) | 50 (3) | 31 (5) | 53 (4) | 31 (5) | 39 (6) | 61 (1) | 49 (4) | 48 (6) | 49 (5) | 19 | 29 | 12 | 5 | 46 | 35 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Goulane Aceb 4y 24 | S A Birks — 15% R216 W32 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 56 | 39 (5) | 47 (2) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 61 (2) | 26 (5) | 76 (1) | 29 (5) | 29 (3) | 26 | 31 | 44 | 39 | 55 | 45 | 2 | 5/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Zari Hunterd 4y 23 | C A Williams — 15% R373 W56 P177 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 31 | 46 (4) | 50 (2) | 63 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (3) | 62 (3) | 42 (3) | 42 (2) | 45 (4) | 58 (1) | 24 | 28 | 12 | 14 | 51 | 39 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Flosses Fendib 2y 25 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 72 (1) | 26 (2) | 27 (3) | 29 (2) | 27 (2) | 23 (2) | 23 (5) | 23 (2) | 20 (2) | 22 (3) | 27 | 24 | - | 30 | 41 | 37 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Glideaway Falcond 3y 14 | S A Birks — 15% R216 W32 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 59 | 59 (2) | 42 (4) | 41 (1) | 29 (1) | 38 (5) | 31 (1) | 32 (3) | 33 (2) | 29 (2) | - | 28 | 37 | - | 13 | 59 | 46 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
Glideaway Falcon is the model's selection, arriving on the back of a second-place finish at the higher A2 grade last time, clocking 30.33 — a competitive performance that places her above the standard of today's A3 field on peak quality. Her average performance of 59 is the highest in the race alongside Goulane Ace, and her track suitability of 37 and a career trajectory that shows improving form justify the model's confidence. Trap six carries a respectable 25.7% historical win rate at this grade and distance, the second best in the field behind only trap three. The model prioritises her individual form over Goulane Ace's positional advantage in trap three, and her A2-level reference point provides a quality ceiling that none of the other runners can match.
The danger with the most dangerous trap draw. T3 dominance at this grade is real; if he finds his form this is very competitive.
Hard to recommend at 483m having won at 275m. The class and distance shift is too significant.
Difficult to back at this grade. Her A2 performance last time suggests she will need to run better to be involved here.
Mid-field runner. Her A3 form has been disappointing and the suitability profile does not suggest an upturn.
The trap draw makes this race very difficult. A4-to-A3 step up combined with T5 catastrophic bias means she faces an uphill task.
Falcon's A2-grade second last time outranks Goulane Ace's B2 form. Model prioritises individual quality over trap position here
T3 34.5% (dominant), T5 5.3% (catastrophic). T6 25.7%, T1 12.0%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1No Coverage | 33 | 100 | Closer |
2Are You Sure | 67 | 0 | Fader |
3Goulane Ace | 87 | 0 | Fader |
4Zari Hunter | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Flosses Fendi | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Glideaway Falcon | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Are You Sure | — | 0.631 | 0.634 |
| 3 | Goulane Ace | 0.638 | 0.629 | 0.629 |
| 4 | Zari Hunter | — | 0.632 | 0.632 |
| 5 | Flosses Fendi | 0.641 | — | 0.630 |
| 6 | Glideaway Falcon | 0.629 | — | 0.628 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.