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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ No Coverageb 4y 29 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R323 W57 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 55 | 42 (1) | 35 (2) | 37 (1) | 31 (4) | 25 (5) | 27 (4) | 38 (5) | 43 (5) | 53 (5) | 75 (3) | 43 | 35 | - | - | 50 | 41 | 3 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Canageob 2y 16 | J W Gaskin — 25% R306 W78 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 43 | 64 (3) | 82 (1) | 83 (4) | 60 (5) | 33 (5) | 86 (1) | 62 (1) | 42 (3) | 34 (4) | 58 (1) | 4 | 36 | 10 | 23 | 65 | 49 | 1 | 8/15F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Duggies Donnyd 3y 5 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 49 | 73 (2) | 47 (5) | 58 (4) | 52 (5) | 54 (4) | 70 (3) | 85 (1) | 53 (5) | 83 (1) | 74 (2) | 47 | 37 | 39 | 25 | 63 | 52 | 2 | 11/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Lend 3y 23 | R J Overton — 18% R340 W60 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 43 | 82 (1) | 47 (3) | 62 (3) | 48 (2) | 62 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 63 (5) | 77 (3) | 63 (4) | 33 | 33 | 25 | 34 | 61 | 43 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bombay Fantasyd 3yN/R 7 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | 69 | 61 (4) | 76 (2) | 74 (3) | 66 (3) | 68 (3) | 74 (4) | 90 (3) | 67 (3) | 91 (1) | 68 (4) | 43 | 63 | - | 22 | 72 | 67 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Melb 3y 23 | S A Birks — 15% R216 W32 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 51 | 49 (6) | 55 (3) | 80 (1) | 33 (5) | 59 (3) | 39 (4) | 50 (4) | 76 (1) | 39 (4) | 63 (5) | 32 | 24 | - | 23 | 54 | 37 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
Canageo is the model's selection in what is the most open race on the card, and the case rests on his previous A2 win at Doncaster from trap three in 30.05, combined with a trainer who posts a 32% win rate — outstanding in this context. His last run was a third from trap three in 30.37, a respectable effort in A2 company. The complication is trap two: his suitability score of just 4 from this draw indicates he has historically struggled from the inside berth, and this race sees him in a position that does not play to his strengths. The model's overall assessment accounts for that limitation but still makes him top pick. His average performance of 65 is competitive and his track suitability of 36 is reasonable. In a race this competitive, the trainer's record and his A2 win tip the model's balance.
Strong place contender and a genuine each-way proposition. He was second at A2 last week and could reverse that form.
Last week's winner at this exact grade. Must be treated as a major danger despite the small trap change.
Most talented runner on paper but the worst trap draw and an away-track reference point add complexity. She could still win on raw ability.
The T1 bias flatters a dog that is unproven at this distance and grade. Hard to recommend on form grounds.
Out of her depth at A2 on current form. Would need a career best to feature in the finish.
Canageo's trainer win rate of 32% and previous A2 win are key factors. Bombay Fantasy last ran at Nottingham — Doncaster form is the more relevant baseline
T1 29.8% (best), T5 14.7% (worst). T2 19.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1No Coverage | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Canageo | 12 | 0 | Fader |
3Duggies Donny | 100 | 100 | All-Rounder |
4Millhouse Len | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Bombay Fantasy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Ballymac Mel | 88 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | No Coverage | 0.630 | 0.632 | 0.628 | — |
| 2 | Canageo | — | 0.630 | 0.624 | 0.651 |
| 3 | Duggies Donny | — | — | 0.624 | — |
| 4 | Millhouse Len | — | 0.629 | 0.630 | 0.646 |
| 6 | Ballymac Mel | — | 0.635 | 0.632 | 0.649 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.