| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Corcass Mollb 2y 46 | K Everitt — 21% R86 W18 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 0 | 26 (5) | 27 (4) | 44 (6) | 37 (6) | 32 (4) | 23 (6) | 34 (3) | 38 (1) | 33 (2) | 24 (5) | 20 | - | 26 | - | 32 | 2 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Honey Bobbyd 4yN/R 23 | L B Pruhs — 14% R128 W18 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 29 (2) | 28 (3) | 28 (3) | 35 (2) | 31 (3) | 32 (2) | 41 (1) | 22 (3) | 56 (6) | 23 (6) | 33 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 31 | 28 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sandwood Annieb 2y 28 | J W Gaskin — 25% R306 W78 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 50 | 36 (1) | 47 (5) | 67 (2) | 53 (4) | 62 (2) | 49 (5) | 66 (2) | 83 (1) | 78 (1) | 78 (1) | 49 | 47 | 19 | 27 | 56 | 37 | 2 | 4/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Tommys Lightb 2y 9 | S Watson — 30% R417 W125 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 21 (5) | 30 (2) | 24 (4) | 36 (1) | 26 (2) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 25 (2) | 35 | 43 | 53 | 57 | 30 | 35 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Tingleb 3y 6 | S A Birks — 15% R216 W32 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 100 | 28 (2) | 26 (3) | 30 (5) | 37 (4) | 37 (4) | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 32 (5) | 60 (1) | 43 (4) | 34 | 34 | 17 | 27 | 35 | 30 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
Corcass Moll is the model's selection in what is the most uncertain race on the card, and analytical transparency demands acknowledging the unusual nature of this pick. Her last race was a fifth at Kinsley over 268m in March — more than three months ago — and her track and distance suitability scores at Doncaster are both zero, meaning she has no historical record at this venue on this trip. Trap one at D3 275m carries the best historical win rate at 25.9% and the model has identified signals — possibly from trials or recent workout data — that place her at the top of the rankings despite the absence of conventional Doncaster form. This is a speculative selection that warrants caution and the conventional form of Sandwood Annie provides a genuine alternative case.
The strongest conventional pick. Won at this grade last week and carries the best form metrics by a clear margin. Many bettors will side with her over the model pick.
Strong each-way case based on consecutive D3 wins. Consistent winning pattern at this exact grade and trip is compelling.
Honest consistent performer. Will run his race but unlikely to trouble the principals in the finish.
Place contender. Consistent without winning — likely to fill a frame position again rather than break through.
Sandwood Annie is the stronger conventional pick on form; Corcass Moll held on the basis of T1 bias and model signals not fully captured by standard form metrics
T1 25.9% (best), T5 16.4% (worst). T3 19.6%, T4 22.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 275m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (275m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 275m | 450m | 462m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Corcass Moll | 0.624 | — | — | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Sandwood Annie | — | 0.629 | — | — | 0.629 |
| 4 | Tommys Light | — | 0.640 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Ballymac Tingle | — | 0.637 | 0.632 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.