| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Aghaburren Millyb 3y 16 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 83 (1) | 60 (3) | 61 (1) | 60 (1) | 34 (5) | 51 (2) | 35 (5) | 50 (2) | 44 (3) | 57 (2) | 25 | 28 | 10 | 27 | 58 | 44 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Bonnieb 2y 25 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 40 | 55 (4) | 42 (5) | 67 (2) | 47 (2) | 59 (4) | 63 (4) | 63 (3) | 72 (2) | 56 (4) | 70 (3) | 22 | 28 | 16 | 14 | 57 | 40 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Goulane Aceb 4yN/R 33 | S A Birks — 15% R216 W32 P123 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 52 | 39 (5) | 47 (2) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 61 (2) | 26 (5) | 76 (1) | 29 (5) | 29 (3) | 26 | 31 | 12 | 39 | 55 | 35 | - | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Stoneparkfortuned 2y 35 | R J Overton — 18% R340 W60 P205 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 48 | 67 (3) | 55 (4) | 69 (3) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 80 (1) | 74 (2) | 63 (3) | 49 (6) | 65 (4) | 9 | 23 | 30 | 29 | 68 | 42 | 4 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Adeleb 2yN/R 7 | J W Gaskin — 25% R306 W78 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 78 (2) | 83 (1) | 83 (1) | 72 (2) | 63 (3) | 48 (3) | 50 (2) | 39 (5) | 33 (4) | 61 (1) | 37 | 42 | 34 | 43 | 67 | 53 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ On The Walld 2y 16 | J W Gaskin — 25% R306 W78 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 73 (2) | 87 (1) | 62 (1) | 42 (5) | 72 (2) | 82 (3) | 76 (2) | 48 (5) | 90 (1) | 66 (3) | 68 | 58 | 18 | 62 | 70 | 60 | 1 | 1/3F | - | |
On The Wall is the model's clear selection in this race and one of the most convincing picks on the card at 483m. Her suitability profile is the defining feature — trap suitability of 68 from trap six is the highest figure in the race, reflecting a deep affinity for this exact berth at this venue, while track (58) and distance (62) scores both confirm she is extremely well-suited to Doncaster's 483m test. Her average performance of 70 is the highest in the field. Recent form shows a second in 30.21 at A2 from trap six and a previous win at open grade in 30.01. She is operating at her best in this grade and the model's confidence in her is well-founded. At 483m at Doncaster, the model's top-rated dog carries considerable authority and On The Wall fulfils that role comprehensively.
Primary danger. Winning A2 form from last week is strong and she must be treated as a genuine each-way proposition.
Hard to recommend at this grade on current evidence. An improved run would be a surprise.
Grade looks too hot for him right now. Would need his best to be competitive at A2 level.
Talented but drawn in what is historically his worst trap. A place is possible if the race develops on his terms.
A reserve candidate; worth watching for confirmation she runs. If she does, she is a serious player despite the worst trap draw.
On The Wall's trap suitability of 68 is the defining metric — she has a proven affinity for trap 6 at this venue that overrides the general T1 bias
T1 29.8% (best), T5 14.7% (worst). Moderate T1 advantage historically
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Aghaburren Milly | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Grouchos Bonnie | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Goulane Ace | 66 | 0 | Fader |
4Stoneparkfortune | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Redbrick Adele | 80 | 0 | Fader |
6On The Wall | 34 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aghaburren Milly | — | 0.629 | 0.623 |
| 2 | Grouchos Bonnie | — | 0.625 | 0.625 |
| 4 | Stoneparkfortune | — | — | 0.624 |
| 6 | On The Wall | 0.622 | 0.622 | 0.621 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.