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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Duggies Flyboyd 3y 5 | D Calvert — 16% R571 W93 P328 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 37 (5) | 42 (6) | 61 (3) | 29 (1) | 61 (5) | 38 (1) | 41 (4) | 33 (3) | 45 (5) | - | 29 | 23 | - | 27 | 43 | 42 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Silver Specb 2y 15 | K Everitt — 21% R86 W18 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 45 | 33 (5) | 39 (5) | 54 (2) | 51 (2) | 37 (5) | 26 (4) | 61 (1) | 36 (2) | 56 (5) | 58 (4) | 20 | 30 | - | 23 | 43 | 30 | 5 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Freebied 2y 19 | S Watson — 30% R417 W125 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 61 (1) | 61 (1) | 48 (1) | 39 (2) | 36 (3) | 37 (3) | 90 (2) | 67 (4) | 48 (2) | 33 (5) | 65 | 55 | - | 51 | 53 | 50 | 1 | 8/11F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballinderry Lunab 2y 9 | S Watson — 30% R417 W125 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 47 | 61 (1) | 61 (1) | 54 (3) | 59 (1) | 42 (4) | 52 (2) | 44 (2) | 55 (2) | 61 (1) | 56 (3) | 62 | 53 | - | 60 | 55 | 54 | 3 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Gotacrushonyoub 3y 8 | J W Gaskin — 25% R306 W78 P225 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 56 | 48 (2) | 39 (5) | 47 (4) | 49 (2) | 61 (1) | 67 (2) | 83 (1) | 73 (2) | 71 (2) | 75 (2) | 62 | 50 | - | 44 | 56 | 50 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
Droopys Freebie arrives in the form of his life and is the model's top selection for this race. He has won his last two outings at this exact grade and trip — B2 450m at Doncaster — posting 28.07 and 28.13, both sharp times that put him clearly ahead of today's rivals on raw clock. His performance rating has hit P61 back-to-back, the sustained peak in his recent trajectory, and his suitability for trap three is the highest in the field at 65, meaning he has historically made excellent use of this draw. Track suitability at 55 and distance at 51 both back up the form figures. Stuart Watson runs two here but the model selects Freebie as the one best placed to dictate from the front and hold on for a third consecutive win at this course and grade.
Principal danger. She may actually win — the stablemate split is genuine and makes this race very hard to call with confidence.
Difficult to see him troubling the front two. Likely to fill a minor placing at best.
Mid-field finisher. His improving trajectory is not enough to bridge the gap to the market leaders.
Could slot into third if the Watson pair are separated by an incident, but a win looks unlikely on current trajectory.
Watson yard splits vote; trap 3 gives Freebie cleaner inside entry than Luna in trap 4
Flat distribution — T6 22.0%, T1 21.8%, minimal variation across traps
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Duggies Flyboy | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Silver Spec | 52 | 18 | All-Rounder |
3Droopys Freebie | 55 | 10 | Fader |
4Ballinderry Luna | 43 | 100 | Closer |
6Gotacrushonyou | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 450m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (450m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 275m | 450m | 483m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duggies Flyboy | — | 0.630 | — | — |
| 2 | Silver Spec | 0.635 | 0.633 | — | 0.572 |
| 3 | Droopys Freebie | 0.623 | 0.624 | — | — |
| 4 | Ballinderry Luna | — | 0.624 | — | — |
| 6 | Gotacrushonyou | — | 0.626 | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.