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CORAL THURSDAY NIGHT 285 MAIDEN SPRINT
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dereks Champd 2y 25 | R P Rees — 23% R132 W30 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 21 | 71 (5) | 36 (3) | 46 (1) | 64 (4) | 65 (5) | 82 (2) | 78 (2) | 90 (2) | 39 (3) | 72 (5) | 61 | 69 | 31 | 69 | 72 | 70 | 1 | 1/5F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Signora Veloceb 4y 36 | J E Harvey — 19% R68 W13 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | 19 | 53 | 60 (3) | 65 (3) | 71 (3) | 62 (3) | 77 (2) | 71 (2) | 70 (2) | 80 (1) | 50 (4) | 80 (1) | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 | 62 | 54 | 3 | 11/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ambiguousb 2yN/R 26 | S A Cahill — 19% R375 W72 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 58 | 75 (2) | 54 (5) | 69 (2) | 59 (3) | 66 (3) | 74 (1) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 36 (5) | 60 (2) | 47 | 48 | - | 30 | 61 | 54 | - | - | ||
| 4 | ▶ Signet Clo Clob 4y 45 | J E Harvey — 19% R68 W13 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | 17 | 53 | 49 (4) | 51 (4) | 45 (5) | 53 (4) | 72 (1) | 68 (2) | 55 (3) | 69 (1) | 53 (3) | 62 (2) | 37 | 20 | - | 40 | 59 | 50 | 4 | 33/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Hypershockb 2y 23 | B S Green — 20% R412 W84 P239 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 25 | 29 (3) | 30 (3) | 34 (1) | 31 (4) | 31 (4) | 33 (4) | 35 (3) | 30 (3) | 26 (5) | 41 (1) | 65 | 33 | 18 | 43 | 56 | 53 | 2 | 10/3 | ||
The complete package for a 285m OR sprint. Speed rating 100 is the maximum score, tied with Hypershock. CS 100 means he closes at maximum pace. But unlike Hypershock, his perf is 72 vs 56 — a 16-point chasm that represents completely different class levels. His recent form shows consistent quality: 70→67→70→58→78→77, with the 78 and 77 being back-to-back Hove 285m trial wins. That 5th at 285m OR Hove is the concern — he's been beaten at these exact conditions before. But that was a 58 perf outlier in an otherwise strong sequence. Trainer Rees at 42% continues his dominance across the Hove card. Suit mean 58 is the best by 18 points — track 69, distance 69, trap 61 all strongly positive. His pace consistency of 70 is crucial at 285m — it means he's not purely a late closer but actually gets out reasonably well 7 in 10 times. Combined with speed 100, he'll be in the first two or three to the bend most of the time.
DANGER: Speed 100 from a strong trap (T5 19.44%). If she produces a career-best effort she could upset — the raw speed is there. But perf 56 vs 72 means she needs a 16-point improvement to match the pick. D2→OR is too big a jump for most dogs.
Wrong distance. Speed 19 at OR 285m is hopeless. Harvey 30% is the only positive. Mid-pack finish.
ELIMINATE: T3 at 2.27% is a death sentence. Class suit 0. Wrong distance, wrong grade, worst trap.
Consistent but too slow. T4 helps but speed 17 at OR 285m means she can't compete with the speed dogs. Harvey 32% gives slim e/w hope.
T6 dominates at 32.14% (vacant in this 5-runner). T3 is dead at 2.27% — avoid. T4 and T5 both strong at ~20%. T1 at 14.71% is below average but Dereks Champ's personal suit overrides population stats. R1-R3 all cluster at ~19-20% — very competitive, model can't separate them.
T1:14.71% T2:12.12% T3:2.27% T4:20.00% T5:19.44% T6:32.14%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 285m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.