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CORAL 695 STAYERS TROPHY FINAL
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rules For Someb 3y 24 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 51 | 51 (5) | 61 (6) | 91 (2) | 71 (4) | 84 (3) | 87 (3) | 98 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 68 (2) | 58 | 48 | 40 | 41 | 77 | 67 | 1 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Minstrels Sixb 4y 16 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 48 | 82 (3) | 100 (3) | 86 (1) | 73 (3) | 98 (3) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 97 (2) | 57 (1) | - | 63 | 35 | 46 | 42 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Hopes Candyb 2y 16 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 15 | 80 (1) | 88 (3) | 84 (3) | 76 (1) | 95 (3) | 78 (5) | 91 (2) | 98 (1) | 82 (3) | 83 (3) | 31 | 45 | - | 35 | 73 | 60 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Dereks Legendd 2y 26 | R P Rees — 23% R141 W32 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 87 | 79 (2) | 61 (5) | 56 (5) | 69 (3) | 91 (1) | 95 (1) | 71 (2) | 74 (4) | 78 (3) | 66 (2) | 63 | 74 | 40 | 40 | 70 | 66 | 3 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Broncos Bulletd 3y 25 | B S Green — 20% R420 W83 P246 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 72 (2) | 52 (4) | 82 (4) | 75 (2) | 90 (6) | 57 (1) | 78 (6) | 88 (3) | 100 (2) | - | 49 | 42 | 27 | 48 | 64 | 58 | 5 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Alright Patriciab 4y 33 | D N Lewis — 19% R47 W9 P28 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 0 | 63 (5) | 81 (5) | 74 (5) | 85 (3) | 80 (4) | 100 (1) | 89 (2) | 97 (2) | 76 (3) | 86 (4) | 52 | 51 | 44 | 46 | 76 | 67 | 2 | 5/2 | |
Three consecutive wins at Hove 695m OR3. That record speaks louder than any data point. Perf 77 is the highest in the field. Her last three runs: 88→86→84 — three consecutive perfs above 84 at 695m OR3 is dominance. She also has a win at 695m OR (78 perf), showing she can compete a grade above. Pure Closer (CS 100) which is the ideal profile for marathon races. Speed 42 is modest but at 695m it's the sustained closing that matters, not raw speed. From T1 she gets the rail on every bend — at 695m there are four bends and the rail advantage compounds. Trainer Heath at 24% is below the awareness tier, which is the only negative. But when a dog has won three in a row at these exact conditions with perfs of 84-86-88, the trainer WR is noise. The 64 and 56 in her earlier form show she can have off days, but those came at different conditions. At Hove 695m OR3, she hasn't had an off day in her last three runs.
DANGER: Rees 42% + suit 54 + 89 perf peak demands respect. But CS 0 at 695m against three Closers (one of whom has won three in a row here) is a losing proposition. He'll lead to halfway and fade to 3rd or 4th. Place danger only.
DANGER: Perf 76 + speed 100 + multi-track staying form. On her day (92, 83) she beats Rules For Some. But consistency of 48 vs Rules For Some's three consecutive 84+ runs means you're gambling on the coin flip. The 92 might show up. The 62 probably will.
Closer in the best trap but perf 63 vs 77 is disqualifying. Frame runner at best. The trap won't overcome a 14-point performance deficit.
Pacemaker for stablemate Rules For Some. CS 0 at 695m from the dead trap. Two 3rds show she leads and fades. She's doing her job when she finishes 3rd.
Pacemaker who'll lead and die. CS 0 at 695m from the middle of the track. Fourth or worse.
Small sample (133 runs). T2 dominant at 28.57% but from only 21 runs. T3 dead at 4.17%. R1 and R2 almost identical at ~18% — model can't separate the top two. At 695m OR3, proven CD form trumps model rankings.
T1:18.18%/22r T2:28.57%/21r T3:4.17%/24r T4:12%/25r T5:14.81%/27r T6:14.29%/14r
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 695m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Rules For Some | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Minstrels Six | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Hopes Candy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Dereks Legend | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Broncos Bullet | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Alright Patricia | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.