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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Killacolla Miked 3y 27 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 41 | 58 (2) | 75 (1) | 60 (2) | 64 (2) | 71 (2) | 49 (5) | 55 (3) | 70 (2) | 61 (2) | 69 (2) | 48 | 39 | 34 | 43 | 63 | 56 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Straight Shotd 3y 24 | D D Knight — 18% R236 W42 P135 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 42 | 66 (3) | 76 (2) | 64 (4) | 66 (3) | 79 (1) | 42 (5) | 75 (2) | 67 (2) | 61 (4) | 64 (4) | 38 | 36 | 28 | 34 | 60 | 52 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Gin For Lisab 2y 15 | G S Byford — 23% R237 W54 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 59 | 52 (5) | 61 (2) | 44 (6) | 45 (5) | 63 (3) | 67 (2) | 45 (4) | 47 (5) | 74 (2) | 77 (1) | 54 | 52 | 15 | 43 | 62 | 58 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Pocket Hollieb 3y 18 | S A Cahill — 19% R380 W73 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 61 | 45 (6) | 53 (5) | 70 (1) | 52 (3) | 64 (2) | 55 (5) | 55 (4) | 42 (3) | 49 (5) | - | 27 | 38 | 11 | 35 | 57 | 49 | 4 | 12/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Grouchos Princed 3y 5 | J J Heath — 21% R377 W81 P238 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 50 | 51 (5) | 70 (1) | 47 (5) | 51 (5) | 83 (3) | 44 (6) | 58 (3) | 46 (4) | 40 (5) | - | 28 | 27 | 30 | 27 | 56 | 46 | 5 | 9/2 | |
The standout factor here is trainer G S Byford at 38% win rate — an elite-tier signal that screams placement confidence. When Byford runs a dog, it's there to win. Gin For Lisa is a Fader (CS 16) which normally spells disaster at 500m on a galloping track, but her early pace (57) and bend rating (59) mean she'll establish a clear early lead from T3. Her form trajectory is volatile but showing quality: 51→74→60→55→74→69, with two 74s in the last six runs including a win at A4 and a 2nd at A3 in her most recent outing. That A3 2nd is the key — she's already proven she can compete at this grade and nearly won. Track suit 52 and trap suit 54 are the best in this field by a clear margin. The Fader profile is the risk, but at 500m (not 515m+) the fade is manageable, and with three Closers behind her who all have speed ratings in the 40s-50s, the gap she builds early may be enough.
DANGER: Consistent Closer who will be in contention at the finish every time, but lacks the raw speed of the other Closers. His consistency (86) means he'll hit the frame but winning requires the faster Closers to make mistakes.
DANGER: Best speed (58) and genuine closing ability (CS 74) means she'll always be in the finish. But EP 41 means she concedes too much early ground to the Faders and relies on total pace collapse ahead. If Gin For Lisa holds even slightly, Patsy finishes 2nd or 3rd.
Could be anything. The 71→70 rebound is real but came against weaker opposition (trial, lower grade). Needs to prove it against A3 runners. Too inconsistent to trust as a pick but the speed is there if his revival holds.
ELIMINATE: CS 0 Fader at 500m on a galloping track = certain fade. Worst trap (T5 13.46%), worst suit mean (28), worst trainer (18%). Will lead early and finish last.
T4 dominant at 23.53% from 170 runs, T5 dead at 13.46% from 104 runs. Only 5 runners here so T4 vacant — no trap advantage to exploit. T3 at 22.44% is the best occupied trap in this field.
T1:18.42% T2:22.31% T3:22.44% T4:23.53% T5:13.46% T6:21.23%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Killacolla Mike | 44 | 79 | Closer |
2Straight Shot | 45 | 83 | Closer |
3Gin For Lisa | 57 | 16 | Fader |
5Pocket Hollie | 63 | 0 | Fader |
6Grouchos Prince | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.