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CORAL THURSDAY NIGHT 500 SENIORS
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ower Mysteryd 5y 14 | J E Harvey — 18% R71 W13 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 48 | 74 (5) | 77 (5) | 81 (3) | 58 (1) | 60 (1) | 26 (5) | 45 (3) | 40 (6) | - | - | 74 | 51 | 37 | 54 | 59 | 59 | 2 | 11/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Dazl Hermesd 4y 14 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 58 | 72 (3) | 64 (3) | 67 (3) | 55 (3) | 97 (5) | 83 (2) | 76 (2) | 89 (2) | 89 (1) | - | 42 | 51 | 39 | 48 | 64 | 58 | 3 | 13/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Uncle Freddied 4y 14 | R P Rees — 23% R141 W32 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 48 | 79 (2) | 94 (1) | 60 (5) | 66 (3) | 81 (2) | 64 (5) | 75 (6) | 73 (2) | 69 (3) | - | 51 | 48 | 49 | 51 | 70 | 63 | 1 | 4/7F | |
| 5 | ▶ Rioja Minstreld 4y 36 | J E Harvey — 18% R71 W13 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 54 (5) | 62 (3) | 53 (4) | 64 (4) | 61 (4) | 55 (5) | 58 (5) | 82 (1) | 81 (1) | 67 (3) | 30 | 18 | - | 29 | 59 | 47 | 5 | 50/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Rosterd 4y 23 | R J Holloway — 20% R302 W61 P164 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 49 | 55 (4) | 48 (5) | 84 (1) | 62 (4) | 74 (2) | 85 (1) | 76 (2) | 62 (3) | 79 (1) | 60 (3) | 47 | 38 | 26 | 41 | 61 | 54 | 4 | 11/1 | |
The Rees 42% factor strikes again to close the card. Best perf in the field at 70 by 6 points. Closer (CS 78, cons 85) — not a pure Closer but a reliable one who closes the same way 85% of the time. His recent form: 72→63→78→79→71→56, with a 78 and 79 in his last four showing he's peaking. The 56 came at a 5th in A1 Hove — even his worst recent effort was at A1 level, which is far above OR. He's been competing at A1 and dropping to OR is a massive class ease. Trainer Rees at 42% has been the dominant trainer across the entire Hove card tonight — his placement decisions have driven multiple Strong picks. Speed 62 is second-best in the field. Suit mean 50 with track 48, distance 51, trap 51, class 49 — all balanced and solid. T3 at 11.22% is the worst trap generically, but his suit data says he can win from any position.
DANGER: Best trap (24.42%) + best suit (54) + Harvey 32% = the condition specialist. But perf 59 and 43-44 disasters in form make her a roulette play. When she fires (76), she wins. When she doesn't (43), she's last. E/w at value.
DANGER: A1 winner (76) dropping to OR + speed 63 (field-best) + Holloway 32%. The improvement curve (53→66→76→70) is real. T2 trap disadvantage is the main concern. Would be the pick if not for Uncle Freddie's Rees 42% edge.
Professional fourth-place finisher. Consistent but never threatening. Class drop from A2 to OR might see him 3rd instead of 4th but he won't win.
Steady All-Rounder outclassed by the A1 droppers. Frame contender at best.
T1 dominant at 24.42% — Ower Mystery benefits from the best trap. T3 at 11.22% is weak for Uncle Freddie. R2 beats R1 (18.80% vs 15.56%) — upsets common at OR. This condition rewards form and trainer over trap position.
T1:24.42% T2:12.36% T3:11.22% T4:18.06% T5:11.43% T6:17.28%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ower Mystery | 39 | 100 | Closer |
2Dazl Hermes | 50 | 32 | All-Rounder |
3Uncle Freddie | 32 | 78 | Closer |
5Rioja Minstrel | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Droopys Roster | 53 | 44 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.