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CORAL THURSDAY NIGHT 695 STAYERS
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Meganb 2y 16 | D J Elcock — 18% R11 W2 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 41 | 72 (4) | 78 (4) | 99 (1) | 88 (2) | 87 (2) | 54 (3) | 86 (1) | 76 (3) | 86 (3) | 90 (2) | 44 | 24 | 24 | 41 | 70 | 58 | 2 | 15/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Unthinkabled 3y 27 | S A Cahill — 19% R380 W73 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 46 | 86 (3) | 100 (1) | 70 (4) | 61 (6) | 73 (2) | 87 (2) | 89 (2) | 100 (1) | 59 (4) | 77 (4) | 62 | 57 | 18 | 37 | 67 | 62 | 3 | 4/5F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ower Smasherb 5y 35 | J E Harvey — 18% R71 W13 P41 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 49 (4) | 79 (3) | 49 (3) | 37 (4) | 86 (5) | 81 (2) | 58 (4) | 51 (2) | 59 (3) | - | 52 | 43 | 42 | 43 | 60 | 55 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Yougo Jennyb 3y 25 | S A Cahill — 19% R380 W73 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 19 | 66 (2) | 56 (2) | 63 (4) | 69 (3) | 72 (2) | 73 (5) | 93 (1) | 72 (1) | 61 (1) | - | 40 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 65 | 54 | 5 | 25/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Avarua Flojob 3y 28 | R P Rees — 23% R141 W32 P78 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 59 | 58 (5) | 60 (4) | 60 (5) | 82 (1) | 54 (4) | 61 (4) | 82 (2) | 46 (5) | 63 (3) | 83 (1) | 49 | 49 | 54 | 58 | 73 | 66 | 1 | 10/1 | |
The most bankable runner at Hove tonight. Her record at these EXACT conditions is astonishing: 1st, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 2nd from five consecutive Hove 695m OR runs. She quite literally IS the 695m OR race at Hove. Perf 73 is the highest in the field by 3 points. Recent form: 47→78→78→80→75→87, with that 87 being a win at these exact conditions — a perf that dwarfs anything else in this field's recent history. Even her 'bad' recent runs of 75 and 78 would win most fields. Pure Closer (CS 100, speed 47, bend 59) which is the ideal profile for 695m on a galloping track. Trainer Rees at 42% is the strongest trainer on the card, and he's been deliberately targeting this exact race for this exact dog — five times in a row. Distance suit 58 is the best by a mile. Class suit 54 is also field-best. The ONLY concern: T5 at 17.24% is below the top traps. But when a dog has placed top-2 in five consecutive runs at these conditions, trap position is noise. This is as close to a certainty as greyhound racing gets.
DANGER: Consistent Closer with 695m experience and the best trap. But perf 70 vs Flojo's 73, trainer 13% vs 42%, suit 33 vs 53 — she's clearly second best. Will place, unlikely to win.
Mid-pack All-Rounder outclassed at OR. T2 gives him a good platform but perf 67 and class suit 18 mean he can't trouble the top Closers. Third at best.
ELIMINATE: Speed 100 + CS 0 + dist suit 0 at 695m. Maximum speed over minimum distance is the worst possible profile for a marathon. Dead last.
ELIMINATE: 500m A4-A5 dog at 695m OR. Wrong distance, wrong class, wrong profile. She's there to fill a trap.
R1 composite wins 29.27% from 123 runs with POSITIVE P&L (+33.02 units) — one of the few conditions where backing the top-rated dog is profitable. T1 best at 27.27% but T5 still respectable at 17.24%. At 695m OR, the best dog usually wins.
T1:27.27% T2:25.00% T3:18.52% T4:17.02% T5:17.24% T6:20.00%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 695m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Megan | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Unthinkable | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Ower Smasher | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Yougo Jenny | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Avarua Flojo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.